MLB Best Bets Today, 7/8: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Tuesday
Welcome back to another round of MLB Best Bets Today as the 2025 baseball season rolls on.Â
Tuesday’s baseball slate is loaded with 15 games on the MLB schedule. We have every team in action and plenty of ways to go for our top MLB picks and predictions. Let’s focus on two games for our MLB best bets today before dishing out a few baseball player props and other picks to consider.Â
Keep in mind, some of these odds or lines could move before first pitch. All bets below are for one unit unless otherwise noted. Without further ado, let’s dive into our MLB Best Bets Today.
MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 7/8
Our MLB Best Bets Today feature a matchup between two National League playoff contenders as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the Milwaukee Brewers. Plus, Hunter Brown and the Houston Astros host the Cleveland Guardians. As always, don’t miss some top MLB player prop bets and other baseball picks below. Check out these MLB predictions to make as you enjoy Tuesday’s baseball action.Â
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Predictions: Tuesday, July 8th
We’re gifted with a fascinating pitching matchup when the Milwaukee Brewers host the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight. The ageless Clayton Kershaw toes the rubber for LA while rookie Jacob Misiorowski starts for the Brew Crew. Even so, a higher-scoring game may be in the cards here.Â
Kershaw has been solid with a 3.43 ERA through nine starts this year. Yet, we can fade him today for a few reasons. First, his 4.34 FIP is almost a full run higher than that ERA. He has some worrisome advanced stats as well. Kershaw’s 48.9% hard-hit rate (4th percentile), 17.5% K rate (18th), 25.5% chase rate (20th), and 89 mph average fastball velo (2nd) are all career-worst metrics.
Plus, the Dodgers’ southpaw just looked shaky against the White Sox last time out, allowing 4 runs on 9 hits. Kershaw had been mostly effective beforehand. Still, those shaky advanced stats may catch up to him in the wrong matchups. Milwaukee qualifies as that today.Â
The Brewers are crushing left-handed pitching right now. Over the past three weeks, their .419 wOBA, 173 wRC+, .972 OPS, and .346 batting average in the split all lead the MLB. Plus, Milwaukee has a low 16.1% K rate with a high 10.1% walk rate vs. lefties in this stretch. It doesn’t help that the Los Angeles bullpen has a 5.86 ERA over the past two weeks.Â
On the other side, the Dodgers should add to the total as well. Misiorowski’s upside has been on full display through his first handful of starts for Milwaukee. Yet, he ran into trouble last outing, giving up 5 runs to the Mets with two home runs and three walks allowed. Another rough start could be on the table tonight.Â
Misiorowski has plenty of talent, but some underlying stats don’t lie. The rookie right-hander has a 4.46 FIP compared to his current 3.20 ERA, benefiting from a low and unsustainable .122 BABIP thus far. His 28.0% K rate is impressive, but a 13.3% walk rate is concerning.Â
Meanwhile, the Dodgers have hit right-handers well this year with a .344 wOBA (2nd in MLB), .261 BA (4th), and 121 wRC+ (1st). The LA offense is also bound to wake up after averaging 1.8 runs over the past four games.Â
Grab the over for both the full game and the first five innings. It may seem crazy to do so with Kershaw and Misiorowski on the mound, but the numbers tell a different story.Â
- Expert Dodgers vs. Brewers Picks:
- Over 8.5 Total Runs (-102 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 Runs (-108 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros Predictions: Tuesday, July 8th
The Houston Astros are rolling right now. They’re 11-3 over the past two weeks and 19-6 in the past 25 games. This is arguably the hottest team in the majors, and it’s been profitable to back them on a daily basis.Â
Of course, the Astros just lost last night in their series opener against the Cleveland Guardians. Still, that presents a prime bounce-back opportunity. Houston is 27-8 after a loss this season, for a league-best 77.1% win percentage. The club also hasn’t lost back-to-back games in a month.Â
Hunter Brown starts for the Astros, which immediately gives the home squad an edge. He’s having a Cy Young-caliber season with a 1.82 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. Brown is dominating lately with a 1.49 ERA over his last seven starts, including a 33:4 K:BB ratio over his last four outings.Â
Brown boasts multiple elite advanced metrics, headlined by a 32.1% strikeout rate (92nd percentile), 30.6% hard-hit rate (96th), and .215 xBA (85th). He’s been especially lights out at home this year with a 1.01 ERA and 2.26 FIP, including a .202 wOBA allowed and a 36.9% K rate at home. Plus, the Astros are 6-1 in his home starts.Â
We now get Brown at home tonight in a favorable matchup. The Guardians have a bottom-tier offense vs. right-handed pitching this season with a .227 BA (29th in MLB), .298 wOBA (27th), and 91 wRC+ (25th) in the split. Over the past two weeks, Cleveland’s .176 BA, .241 wOBA, and 51 wRC+ against righties are all last in the majors.
Meanwhile, Joey Cantillo is expected to start for Cleveland. He has a 3.41 ERA and 1.39 WHIP across 31.2 innings this season. The left-hander had been in the minors for the past month before getting called up from Triple-A last week to start. He tossed 3.1 shutout innings in the spot start, but we can fade him today.Â
The Astros own a top-tier offense against lefties this year with a .345 wOBA (2nd in MLB), 124 wRC+ (2nd), .263 BA (4th), and .204 ISO (2nd). They’re also hitting southpaws well over the past week with a .372 wOBA, 144 wRC+, and .307 BA. It’s a tough road matchup for Cantillo.Â
Cantillo likely won’t pitch deep into this game, especially if he runs into trouble. Well, the Cleveland bullpen doesn’t offer much confidence either, with a 5.44 ERA over the past two weeks (26th in MLB). Plus, Houston is crushing right-handed pitching over the last week (.406 wOBA, 166 wRC+).Â
Back the Astros to cover the runlines for the first five innings and the full game. They should get back in the win column after losing last night at home. Houston is 32-15 at home overall this season, including 27-14 as a home favorite.Â
- Expert Guardians vs. Astros Picks:
- Astros -1.5 Runline (+110 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
- 1st 5 Innings Astros -0.5 RLÂ (-145 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
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Best MLB Player Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 7/8
- Seth Lugo, Royals – Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-118 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox – Over 8.5 Total Runs (-118 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Will Warren, Yankees – Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-135 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Fernando Tatis, Padres – Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-135 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
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