Welcome to Saturday’s MLB Best Bets and Betting Picks. While this column is here to help guide and assist you in your baseball bets, be sure to check out everything else we offer. Every Monday through Friday we have the 4pm ET Bettor Sports Betting Show hosted by Dan Servodidio as well as the Fantasy Alarm Show on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio where we have a roundtable for picks and MLB prop bets as well. Our MLB tools and even the MLB DFS research will help you along as well. I’m sure most of you who are following along with this article series are aware of it all, but just in case, I wanted to bring it all to the forefront. Now let’s get back to our MLB best bets for today.

  • Thursday’s Record: 1-2
  • Season Record: 77-77-2
  • Bankroll: -8.10 units

Full 15-game slate with some interesting pitching match-ups, so here’s what looks good.

 

 

MLB Best Bets for June 3 

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets

While I’m not a Jose Berrios fan, I feel like there’s some disrespect going on here with the money line. Considering how well he’s pitched recently – 2.30 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP over his last five starts – and how mediocre the Mets bats look over the past week (.316 wOBA), you wonder why the Jays aren’t a bigger favorite. Suspicious? I’d say so. But with the Jays swinging the bats so well right now, Tylor Megill’s struggles and how soft the Mets bullpen has looked (5.82 ERA over the last seven days), I’m siding with the visitors here. The Mets may have had a solid sweep of the Phillies, but they haven’t carried that momentum over in this series.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Money Line (-115 on BetMGM)

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

What I like about this pitching match-up – Drew Smyly vs Yu Darvish – is how much these two teams strike out. You would expect to see it from the Cubs who have a 23.7-percent K-rate against righties on the season and 27.7-percent overall over the past seven days, but the Padres might surprise you here. Against lefties, the Padres are fanning at a 23.6-percent clip, but over the last seven days, that number has jumped to 27.8-percent. Neither club is swinging the sticks well at all, so we’ll look for lots of whiffs and very few runs early on.

Pick: Cubs/Padres First 5 Innings under 4.5 runs (-120 on Caesars Sportsbook)

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros

Both clubs are swinging the bats well right now – Houston with a .350 wOBA and .242 ISO over the past seven days while the Angels are not far behind with .348/.202 marks themselves, but the Astros have dominated the Halos in Texas, winning seven of the last eight in Houston. Cristian Javier is on the bump for Houston and he’s been dominant as expected, posting a 2.40 ERA with a 0.83 WHIP over five starts (30 innings) in May. Sandoval has thrown three quality starts in his last four outings, but this Houston lineup, while posting mid-level numbers against lefties this season, has a .312/.359/.615 slash line against Sandoval over 96 at-bats. We’ll stay on the trend backing the Astros at home and we’ll get our value on the run line.

Pick: Houston Astros -1.5 Run Line (+115 on BetMGM)