It’s been a minute since I’ve crept the pages of the MLB Best Bets & Betting Picks, so here’s to a successful and profitable week as we look to attack and get back on top. We were cursing and brought ourselves back to even without any gimmicks or odds-chasing on same game parlays, but got tripped up mid-week. Now while the count below is strictly for the picks I have put into this article, I remind you to pay attention to the Bettor Sports Betting Show with Dan Servodidio as I am with him over there three days a week and we had a tremendous Friday which included my upset-special of the Oakland Athletics taking down the Toronto Blue Jays. While I haven’t tallied all of my picks, I can tell you that my bankroll is in the black for the 2023 MLB season. Not huge winnings, but winning nonetheless. 

  • Season Record: 93-93-2
  • Bankroll: -10.26 units

Just a six-game slate tonight so let’s see what’s good

 

 

MLB Best Bets for June 26 

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers

We’re getting the best and the worst of MLB with this match-up as the woeful Tigers visit Arlington to try and keep a typically strong Texas team down after they dropped two of three to the Yankees. Can they do it? You’ve got lefty Matthew Boyd on the bump for the Tigers and while his overall numbers are pretty lame, his 3.44 road ERA which has peripherals that match, should definitely be noted. On the other side is Andrew Heany and not only are the Tigers soft against lefties (.304 wOBA with a 22.6-percent strikeout rate) but they have been even worse over the past week, posting a .268 wOBA with a .073 ISO and a near-25-percent strikeout rate. I don’t love either pitcher, to be honest, but I also don’t think we see a ton of runs in this one. Both bullpens have also been solid over the past week and neither is overworked. The Rangers will put some runs up, but not enough to compensate for the Tigers lack of punch and clear the game total. 

Pick: Tigers/Rangers Under 9 runs (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Pick: Josh Jung over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-140 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Minnesota Twins at Atlanta Braves

It looks like Spencer Strider finally turned that corner and got back on the right side of things after two horrendous starts. He held the Phillies to one run through six innings and punched out nine. I’m expecting all to be right with the universe, especially with him facing a Twins team that is soft against righthanded pitching and strikes out 27.1-percent of the time against them. Sure, they’ve won four out of five, but everyone usually looks good coming off a series against the Tigers. The Braves are coming off an emotional series against the Reds and are back at home following a six-game road trip. It’s not that they can’t put up runs, but they could be sluggish coming out of the gate and Sonny Gray hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any start this season. I think the first half of this game could be pretty quiet between these two offenses.

Pick:  Twins/Braves 1st 5 innings under 4.5 runs (-120 on BetMGM)

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets

There’s so much about this game I want to get involved with, but there is such little value as I scour through all the betting lines. Justin Verlander has been fantastic in his last three home starts and I don’t see him struggling against the Brewers who have a .301 wOBA with a 25-percent strikeout rate against righties. Over the past week, they’ve also struck out 27-percent of the time and the .268 wOBA is pathetic. But the Mets have been a laughingstock in recent games, so backing them, even against Colin Rea, is tough to do. So with the return home, I’m going to invest in Verlander.

Pick: Justin Verlander over 6.5 strikeouts (+105 on BetMGM)

Pick: Justin Verlander under 2.5 earned runs (-137 on Caesars Sportsbook)