Top Tier
Kevin Gausman, SF - Gausman has started to slow down some from when he was lights out over the summer. His last start was also against San Diego and it didn’t go that well. That being said, San Diego in general hasn’t been hitting the ball well against RHPs in the last few weeks and Gausman has been a run and a half better in ERA on the road (in 20 more innings). San Francisco is continuing to push to win the division and beating up on a divisional foe will help their cause as well.
José Urquidy, HOU - He finally looked like his old self in his last start with six innings and six Ks and now the Angels come knocking. The Angels have struck out nearly 27-percent of the time and aren’t hitting well against right-handed pitchers either with a .218 average and a .290 wOBA. Urquidy is trying to get back into form of the playoff run Houston is getting ready to embark on and facing the Angels should be a good chance for him to continue getting into form.
Mid-Tier
Jordan Montgomery, NYY - Monty is coming off one his best showings of his career with 12 Ks against Baltimore and he may top that this outing. Texas has a 27.8-percent K-rate and a lowly .236 average against southpaws the last few weeks and the wOBA and wRC+ aren’t great either. Montgomery also has better numbers at home this year to boot.
Antonio Senzatela, COL - Senzatela has been better at home much of the year and even though he’s facing the Dodgers on Tuesday, he’s still worth taking a shot at. The Dodgers don’t have the best record against RHPs in the last few weeks and Senzatela has looked good in his last five starts having not allowed more than three earned runs in any of them. It’s a riskier play in the mid-tier but if the group is on the other side of the match-up and Senzatela hits, more room to move up for you.
Value Tier
Alec Mills, CHC - Mills has been an every other start type pitcher right now as in he’s had two good ones in the last four starts and the good ones were good with 14.1 combined innings and one earned run. The Twins are the worst offense in the league right now against right-handed pitchers with a .181 average, 25.4-percent K-rate, and well below-average wOBA and wRC+ which could give Mills a third good start, which would be fitting as he’s coming off a bad start.
Drew Rasmussen, TB - Rasmussen had a very good seven-inning start against the Jays last time he faced them. He’ll need to lean on that showing this time as the Blue Jays have been on a roll against right-handed pitchers. If he can slow the Jays' roll, he’ll be in a good spot to hit value but there is risk here.