Top Tier
Marcus Stroman, RHP NYM - Stroman has been up and down recently, just like the Mets’ as a whole, but facing the still struggling Marlins offense should help him be a bit more on the up side of things on Thursday. Over the last few weeks, the Marlins are deadlast in the league in ISO (.103) and well below-average in wOBA (.275) and wRC+ (73) as well as striking out more than a quarter of the time. Stroman has a better WHIP, K:BB ratio, BAA, and ERA on the road and now gets one of the best pitcher parks in the league to take the mound in.
Huascar Ynoa, RHP WAS - The Nats have had some impressive comebacks in the last week or so but in general their offense is still just trying to finish out the season as best they can. Ynoa has been very good at shutting down the Nationals’ offense in previous starts this year already, and that was when they had more firepower. In 12 innings against them he hasn’t allowed an earned run and has struck out nine while at home this year he’s been nearly two runs better in ERA than on the road while also posting a far better WHIP, BAA, and K:BB ratio (42:9) in 35 innings compared to 32 on the road.
Mid-Tier
Nestor Cortes Jr., LHP NYY - Nasty Nestor as the nickname goes is facing the electric offense from Toronto, but he still has the upper hand. At home this year in 31.1 innings, Cortes has posted a 1.71 ERA, 36 Ks, and a .93 WHIP. Toronto has been solid against LHPs the last few weeks but Cortes is just a different pitcher at home and has the power to make even the best hitters look foolish at times.
Ranger Suárez, LHP PHI - This one is dependent on the weather and if the game plays as there is a decent chance of rain in Philly, however if it plays is a good match-up. He gets the Rockies out of Coors which is already a win and they haven’t exactly been lighting the world on fire against southpaws either of late. Suarez has been great as a starter for the Phillies, giving up one or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts including games against the Dodgers and Rays. At home he also has a better K:BB ratio, WHIP, and BAA than he’s posted on the road in more innings and if the game plays, he could be in a great shot for a win.
Value Tier
Carlos Hernández, RHP KC - Hernandez has been better on the road this year and is producing more than a K per inning and walking less players. Baltimore has been striking out 26.7-percent of the time against RHPs the last two weeks and while they are making decent contact, they’ve not done much damage with that contact. He works as a cheap flier on this small slate.