Los Angeles Dodgers at Tampa Bay Rays

Over/Under - 8 

Dodgers -155

In a pivotal Game 4 match-up, the Dodgers send Julio Urias to the mound opposed by Ryan Yarbrough of the Rays. While Urias enters with a 4-0 record this postseason with 16 strikeouts in 16 innings, Yarbrough's upside could be capped by a potential bullpen game. Tampa hopes to guide Yarbrough at least one time through the order but he may be limited to nine batters then leaving for a bevy of relievers this evening. After Game 3, the Dodgers set an MLB record with 48 two-out RBI eclipsing the Red Sox and own their first 2-1 lead since their last championship in 1988. 

When looking at the run total, the roof will be closed this evening. During the regular season, with the roof closed six times, the runs scored average of 11.83 leans to the over. With it closed, in 24 regular season games the runs per game dropped to 8.21 for a reference point. This postseason, the Dodgers average 5.82 runs per game while the Rays average 4.82 which suggests an advantage for Los Angeles if they can get to Yarbrough or the bullpen early on. Before delving into the showdown slate, here's some interesting player prop bets for tonight: 

For a home run: +300 (Corey Seager, Randy Arozarena), +360 (Justin Turner), +390 (Cody Bellinger, Mookie Betts, Will Smith), +395 (Max Muncy)

Total Runs: Los Angeles Dodgers over 4.5 (-107); Tampa Bay Rays over 3.5 (+114)

Strikeouts: Julio Urias over 5.5 (+115)

MVP/Captain

1. Justin Turner, 3B LAD - Not only did Turner rack up two extra-base hits last night, he's now tied for the Dodgers franchise lead with 11 postseason home runs in his career with Duke Snider. Attributing his recent hot streak to a tweak from the end of the regular season, Turner has hit his stride. He also leads or is tied for the franchise lead in postseason hits (75), doubles (18), home runs (11), RBI (40) and OPS (.894). This postseason, Turner boasts a robust 1.126 OPS and his ability to hit either handed pitching makes him a terrific play on this slate with pricing not catching up to his recent uptick in performance. 

2. Randy Arozarena, OF TB - Launched his eight home run of the postseason in the ninth inning last night tying him with Nelson Cruz, Carlos Beltran and Barry Bonds for the most in any postseason in history. Arozarena also broke the MLB record in hits by a rookie (23) in the postseason as well. He's hit as many home runs in the postseason (17 games) as he hit in the regular season (42 games) and also set the record for total bases (52) in the postseason. With 12 extra-base hits, Arozarena's in fourth place all-time in postseason history behind Albert Pujols (13 in 2011), Nelson Cruz (13 in 2010) and David Freese (14 in 2011). 

3. Julio Urias, SP LAD - Only eligible on Draft Kings, Urias has made four postseason appearances this year garnering the win in all of them with a minuscule 0.56 ERA (one ER in 16 innings) and 0.63 WHIP featuring a 16:3 K:BB giving up only seven hits. Despite only turning 24 in August, Urias owns 16 career postseason outings with a 6-2 record, 2.84 ERA and 26 strikeouts against eight walks in 31.2 innings. Urias improved his strikeout percentage to 27 percent with a robust 22 K-BB percentage this postseason putting him a prime spot to pay off in DFS contests. 

Mid-Tier

1. Mookie Betts, OF LAD - It's tough not to put Betts into the MVP or Captain tag, but on Draft Kings, it's tough to build a lineup with Betts in the Captain spot compared to Turner. Betts became the fifth player in World Series history to record two games with two or more hits along with two stolen bases in each of them. He's hitting .333 (4-for-12) versus the Rays with a home run, two runs, two RBI and the four steals. He not only insured a free taco day for the country, Betts looks to add to his MVP resume in tonight's contest. 

2. Corey Seager, SS LAD - Sitting one spot behind teammate Turner in the Dodgers postseason franchise lead in home runs, Seager has hit 10 during his career in postseason play including seven this year. Through 15 games in this year's postseason, Seager's slashing .304/.405/.750 with 16 runs and 16 RBI. Yahtzee. 

3. Manuel Margot, OF TB - Slated to hit clean-up tonight, Margot has hit safely in eight of his last nine games going 10-for-3 with six RBI. He's also hit five home runs this postseason with a .286 average overall. He stole a base last night as well so there's a chance for Margot to return profit at his price point with power or speed making him a nice pivot this evening. 

Bargain Tier

1. Max Muncy, 1B LAD - Well, he's not really a bargain but Muncy averaged a home run in just over four games played the last two years and it's been seven games since his last dinger, so playing for upside makes sense here. Muncy's produced 23 runs plus RBI in 15 postseason contests this year with an OBP of .448 due for some regression to the mean. He also hit four home runs versus LHP in the regular season. Many will migrate to Will Smith, which makes sense but Muncy could pop one out with the roof closed. 

2. Kike Hernandez, 2B LAD - A boom or bust play, it's often an unlikely hero who changes the outcome of a World Series game, just ask Austin Barnes. Tonight's candidate, Kike who can run into a mistake. If the Rays bullpen makes one, Hernandez could make them pay with traffic ahead of him on the bases. It feels like overkill, but Pollock rakes versus LHP all regular season and floundered in the postseason. Can he turn the tide tonight? 

Noting these lineups remain EXAMPLES, using the information above and our own lineup generator, they are not meant to be simply plugged and played. Best of luck!