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Version1 (North America Rank: #7) vs. T1 (North America Rank: #12) - 3:00 P.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Version1 (-140) | T1 (-105)
Map Handicap: Version1 -1.5 (+225) | T1 +1.5 (-360)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (-120) | Under 2.5 (-120)
Version1 - Stats past three months:
penny 1.12 Rating | 238 Average Combat Score | 0.82 Kills Per Round
Zellsis 1.08 Rating | 227 Average Combat Score | 0.77 Kills Per Round
effys 1.00 Rating | 191 Average Combat Score | 0.67 Kills Per Round
wippie 0.97 Rating | 201 Average Combat Score | 0.69 Kills Per Round
vanity 0.95 Rating | 187 Average Combat Score | 0.66 Kills Per Round
T1 - Stats past three months:
autimatic 1.24 Rating | 253 Average Combat Score | 0.85 Kills Per Round
Brax 1.22 Rating | 221 Average Combat Score | 0.80 Kills Per Round
curry 1.17 Rating | 234 Average Combat Score | 0.85 Kills Per Round
Skadoodle 1.06 Rating | 187 Average Combat Score | 0.69 Kills Per Round
dawn 1.06 Rating | 186 Average Combat Score | 0.69 Kills Per Round
H2H Data:
These teams have never faced each other.
Projected Maps:
Version1 bans Bind
T1 bans Breeze
Version1 picks Ascent
T1 picks Icebox
Split/Haven is the decider map.
Prediction/Narrative:
Version1 wins 2-1. We have the return of Zellsis, who was suspended from professional play after an offensive remark he made to a tournament official at the VCT Reyjkavik tournament. Zellsis has been key for V1 in the past as their second highest rated player in recent months, and he could have significant impact on this series. As for T1, they changed their roster at the end of June and have not looked back since. With Brax returning to lead the way, T1 have now won 10 maps in a row and look to be in perhaps the best form that we have seen from them. The experience on the side of T1 is something to note, but this is the toughest challenge that they will have faced with their new lineup, and I give the edge to Version1 now that Zellsis is back.
Favorite PrizePicks Play:
Curry (T1) - 73.5 Fantasy Score
Last three maps played on Ascent
07/25 vs. Built By Gamers (13-9 Win): 21 Kills + 4 Assists = 46 Fantasy Points as Astra
07/01 vs. O.O.D.A. Loopers (13-6 Win): 13 Kills + 2 Assists = 28 Fantasy Points as Astra
03/05 vs. 100 Thieves (8-13 Loss): 10 Kills + 4 Assists = 24 Fantasy Points as Cypher
Last three maps played on Icebox
07/25 vs. Built By Gamers (13-9 Win): 13 Kills + 4 Assists = 30 Fantasy Points as Reyna
07/23 vs. Renegades (13-5 Win): 22 Kills + 3 Assists = 47 Fantasy Points as Reyna
07/22 vs. Taipan Esports (13-3 Win): 15 Kills + 4 Assists = 34 Fantasy Points as Reyna
Tony’s Play: Under 73.5 Fantasy Score
This projection of 73.5 from PrizePicks seems too high for me given the match-up. Curry has averaged an impressive 0.85 kills per round in the past three months, but this is the toughest opponent that T1 will have faced with their newest lineup, and I see them losing at least one of the first two maps, with a 2-0 sweep for Version1 as a realistic possibility as well. Icebox seems to be the most likely map pick for T1, and they have previously been running a two duelist combination on Icebox which includes curry on Reyna. His projection on Icebox would be decent as Reyna, but he was the bottom frag on his team last time on that map when Built By Gamers kept things close, and there is also the possibility that T1 switch up their team comp. Curry tweeted out a cryptic gif of KAY/O last night, but I am not expecting to see him play the new agent, especially on a map like Icebox. I think curry’s stats should be much worse on any other map that is played since he should be in a different role (unless for some reason Breeze was played), and because I favor Version1 on those maps. At a projection of 73.5 fantasy score, you would basically need T1 to sweep 2-0 like they have been doing against weaker teams in the qualifiers, and I just do not see that happening against Version1 now that Zellsis is back.
FaZe (North America Rank: #3) vs. Rise (North America Rank: #13) - 5:30 P.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: FaZe (-220) | Rise (+145)
Map Handicap: FaZe -1.5 (+160) | Rise +1.5 (-240)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (-110) | Under 2.5 (-130)
FaZe - Stats past three months:
corey 1.34 Rating | 269 Average Combat Score | 0.95 Kills Per Round
babybay 1.32 Rating | 270 Average Combat Score | 0.90 Kills Per Round
ZachaREEE 1.13 Rating | 197 Average Combat Score | 0.75 Kills Per Round
Rawkus 1.12 Rating | 206 Average Combat Score | 0.72 Kills Per Round
BabyJ 1.06 Rating | 202 Average Combat Score | 0.72 Kills Per Round
Rise - Stats past three months:
Shanks 1.20 Rating | 245 Average Combat Score | 0.87 Kills Per Round
supamen 1.16 Rating | 220 Average Combat Score | 0.81 Kills Per Round
neptune 1.10 Rating | 222 Average Combat Score | 0.78 Kills Per Round
Derrek 1.09 Rating | 206 Average Combat Score | 0.70 Kills Per Round
POISED 1.01 Rating | 198 Average Combat Score | 0.70 Kills Per Round
H2H Data:
These teams have never faced each other.
Projected Maps:
FaZe bans Icebox
Rise bans Breeze
FaZe picks Haven
Rise picks Split
Ascent/Bind is the decider map.
Prediction/Narrative:
FaZe wins 2-1. BabyJ joined the roster at the very end of June, and the month of July has been solid for FaZe. They have now won 10 maps in a row, and BabyJ has been a reliable sentinel for them. Some people were concerned when ZachaREEE was announced as the IGL for this current roster, but so far so good. With that being said, we still have a legitimate upset threat with this strong Rise roster. I think that FaZe should win, but this could be a really competitive series between two teams capable of winning. I give the slight edge to FaZe on any map that would be played outside of maybe Split, but the gap between these teams is not as large as the odds seem to suggest in my opinion, and this should be a tight series even in a sweep.
Favorite PrizePicks Play:
Shanks (Rise) - 70.5 Fantasy Score
Last three maps played on Haven
07/02 vs. Built By Gamers (7-13 Loss): 13 Kills + 1 Assist = 27 Fantasy Points as Jett
07/01 vs. Xplicit (13-3 Win): 10 Kills + 5 Assists = 25 Fantasy Points as Jett
05/22 vs. Renegades (13-8 Win): 14 Kills + 6 Assists = 34 Fantasy Points as Raze
Last three maps played on Split
07/09 vs. Gen.G (13-8 Win): 26 Kills + 3 Assists = 55 Fantasy Points as Jett
07/08 vs. XSET (13-5 Win): 11 Kills + 4 Assists = 26 Fantasy Points as Jett
07/09 vs. Cloud9 Blue (13-7 Win): 17 Kills + 6 Assists = 40 Fantasy Points as Jett
Tony’s Play: Over 70.5 Fantasy Score
70.5 is simply too low of a projection for a player like Shanks who leads his team in the past three months with a 1.20 Rating, 245 Average Combat Score, and 0.87 Kills Per Round. The reason that his projection is so low is probably because FaZe is a heavy moneyline favorite, but I disagree with the odds and think that Rise will win at least one map in a competitive series. The map pick for FaZe is unclear, but we should see Shanks on a duelist for both of the first two maps, and he has even been playing Jett on Ascent, where he previously played Sage. Rise will most likely pick Split if FaZe does not ban it, and we have seen Shanks dominate that map, including his 55 fantasy point performance against the sixth ranked team in North America, Gen.G. All it takes is one good map from Shanks for this total to easily go over, and I see tremendous upside at this projection.
Favorite Plays:
Curry (T1) - UNDER 73.5 Fantasy Score
Shanks (Rise) - OVER 70.5 Fantasy Score