Welcome to the newly launched PrizePicks CS:GO DFS article provided by Fantasy Alarm! In this article, I will provide 2-3 of my favorite prop bets from the Prize Pick CS:GO Projections posted on their app!
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PrizePicks Prop Selections:
NiKo (G2) - Over 40.5 Kills vs. Heroic (Maps 1-2) - 11:30 A.M. ET
Projected Maps:
Heroic picks Nuke
G2 picks Mirage
You’d have to be crazy to pick against NiKo at the moment. His form has been incredible recently as he has a 1.31 Rating with 0.84 kills per round across 50 maps played in the past three months. He has been consistent with a Rating of at least one on 18 straight maps, though that does include some showmatches mixed in. NiKo Is the highest rated player at the Major since the start of the Legends Stage with a 1.39 Rating and 0.88 kills per round across six maps played, and he had 22+ kills on five of the six maps. He continued his elite form during the playoffs with a 1.44 Rating and 0.94 kills per round across two maps played against NiP, which tied him with Perfecto for the highest rated player during the PGL Major Stockholm quarter-finals. Some players seem to really step up on the big stage in front of a crowd, and NiKo is a prime example.
G2 are (-150) moneyline favorites in this spot. They previously beat Heroic 2-1 in May at Flashpoint 3, and NiKo had 47 kills across the first two maps, including 29 kills with a 1.60 Rating on Heroic’s map pick, Nuke. NiKo plays aggressive outside on Nuke, and we have seen him thrive on that map with a 1.23 Rating and 0.75 kills per round across six maps played in the past three months. He has been even better on Mirage locking down the A site and controlling palace with a 1.38 Rating and 0.88 kills per round across 16 maps played in the past three months, which is especially impressive when you considered that G2’s win rate is only 50% during that time. All signs point to NiKo going over here, and a potentially tight series with the Danes could be the perfect game condition for him to continue his dominance.
electronic (Natus Vincere) - Under 38.5 Kills vs. Gambit (Maps 1-2) - 3:00 P.M. ET
Projected Maps:
Gambit picks Overpass
NAVI picks Mirage
Electronic has been great in the past three months with a 1.14 Rating and 0.71 kills per round across 43 maps played. However, his best map has been Nuke, which is Gambit’s permaban, so we can expect to see that map removed immediately. Electronic’s overall numbers drop to a 1.11 Rating and 0.69 kills per round in the past three months across 32 maps played when you remove Nuke from the equation. So right off the bat, things do not look favorable for electronic’s projections in this series. Gambit will likely pick Overpass since NAVI should ban Vertigo, and that is one of electronic’s worst maps with a 1.09 Rating and 0.68 kills per round across nine maps played in the past three months. He has had 14 or less kills on that map five of the past eight times, including one of his worst performances ever against Vitality with 6 kills and a 0.36 Rating in a 7-16 loss back in September. We can’t be as certain about NAVI’s map pick in a crucial playoff spot, but Mirage makes a lot of sense, and once again electronic’s stats on that map are below his average with a 1.11 Rating and 0.69 kills per round across nine maps played in the past three months. This guy was an HLTV top five player in 2020, so his stats are of course still solid across the board, but this is one of the weaker spots for electronic in terms of projected maps.
NAVI are (-185) moneyline favorites, but Gambit have beaten them in the past, and Gambit could easily win on Overpass. I’m expecting these teams to split the first two maps, so electronic has plenty of potential to go under here as long as none of the maps go to overtime. He was projected for 38.5 kills on PrizePicks for Friday’s match-up against Vitality, and he just barely went over with 39 kills, even though Nuke was played and both maps were fairly close. It also would not completely surprise me to see “a tale of two NAVIs” where they look really good on one map, maybe get a little overconfident, and then ‘give up’ on their opponent’s map pick, knowing that they’ll be fine to win the series in three maps.