Endpoint (World rank: #30) vs. HYENAS (World rank: #48) 

  • Moneyline Odds: Endpoint (-185) | HYENAS (+140)
  • Map Handicap: Endpoint -1.5 (+165) | HYENAS +1.5 (-225)
  • Map Total: Over 2.5 (+110) | Under 2.5 (-145)

This is a best-of-three series for the group stage of Spring Sweet Spring 3.

  • Endpoint - Rating past three months: mezii 1.21 | CRUC1AL 1.09 | Thomas 1.09 | Surreal 1.01 | MiGHTYMAX 0.97
  • HYENAS - Rating past three months: gade 1.08 | Kjaerbye 1.06 | Fessor 1.06 | aizy 1.03 | b0RUP 0.99

H2H Data

  • These rosters have never faced each other. There have been several changes to both lineups since the ex-North core of HYENAS faced Endpoint in 2020, so I am not putting any weight into those results.

Projected Maps

  • Endpoint removes Nuke
  • HYENAS removes Ancient
  • Endpoint picks Inferno
  • HYENAS picks Mirage
  • Endpoint removes Dust2
  • HYENAS removes Overpass
  • Vertigo is left over.

The map pool will continue to be difficult to predict with Ancient now in the mix. HYENAS have prioritized banning that map though, so it should be removed here along with Nuke getting removed by Endpoint. Inferno and Mirage are the most likely first two maps in this series and Vertigo would make the most sense as a decider since I imagine that HYENAS do not want to face Endpoint on Overpass, and Endpoint would probably ban Dust2 in this spot.

  • Endpoint - Key stats on Inferno past three months (20 maps): 10-10 W/L record, 47.5% pistol round win percent, 73.8% round win percent after getting first kill, 28.1% round win percent after receiving first death
  • Endpoint - Notable performers on Inferno past three months (20 maps): mezii +15 K/D Diff, 1.10 Rating | CRUC1AL +31 K/D Diff, 1.08 Rating | Thomas -8 K/D Diff, 1.05 Rating
  • Endpoint - Key stats on Mirage past three months (14 maps): 9-5 W/L record, 42.9% pistol round win percent, 69.7% round win percent after getting first kill, 34.1% round win percent after receiving first death
  • Endpoint - Notable performers on Mirage past three months (14 maps): mezii +63 K/D Diff, 1.20 Rating | CRUC1AL +43 K/D Diff, 1.12 Rating | Surreal -11 K/D Diff, 1.06 Rating | MiGHTYMAX +6 K/D Diff, 1.04 Rating | Thomas -17 K/D Diff, 1.03 Rating
  • HYENAS - Key stats on Inferno past three months (6 maps): 3-3 W/L record, 33.3% pistol round win percent, 68.1% round win percent after getting first kill, 27.3% round win percent after receiving first death
  • HYENAS - Notable performers on Inferno past three months (6 maps): Kjaerbye +24 K/D Diff, 1.20 Rating | Fessor +2 K/D Diff, 1.09 Rating | b0RUP +9 K/D Diff, 1.08 Rating | gade +10 K/D Diff, 1.03 Rating
  • HYENAS - Key stats on Mirage past three months (9 maps): 6-3 W/L record, 44.4% pistol round win percent, 79.7% round win percent after getting first kill, 22.8% round win percent after receiving first death
  • HYENAS - Notable performers on Mirage past three months (9 maps): gade +42 K/D Diff, 1.18 Rating | aizy +14 K/D Diff, 1.11 Rating | Kjaerbye +25 K/D Diff, 1.11 Rating | Fessor -6 K/D Diff, 1.08 Rating

Analysis

Endpoint is the favorite here and they were on a five series win streak prior to their loss to ENCE on Sunday, so they have been in good form lately. I like Endpoint to win, and I think the 2-0 sweep is the most likely outcome, though there is some talent on HYENAS. Endpoint have the better map pool right now and it will be difficult for HYENAS to overcome them in a best-of-three. Mezii is too cheap on Draftkings for being the star player of Endpoint, and CRUC1AL looks like a strong play as well. I would recommend stacking Endpoint and the whole lineup is in play for me, even MiGHTYMAX, though he is a volatile play. If you do want to stack HYENAS then gade has been the highest rated player, but I think they will need Kjaerbye to be the star player at the top of the leaderboards if they want to upset Endpoint. Fessor is great at getting multi-kills and the map pool set-ups nicely for him, so I would consider him as well in a HYENAS stack. Still, Endpoint are the main focus for me here and mezii & CRUC1AL look like smash plays.  

MIBR (World rank: #45) vs. Iberian Family (World rank: #83) 

  • Moneyline Odds: MIBR (-355) | Iberian Family (+250)
  • Map Handicap: MIBR -1.5 (-105) | Iberian Family +1.5 (-125)
  • Map Total: Over 2.5 (+135) | Under 2.5 (-185)

This is a best-of-three series for the group stage of Spring Sweet Spring 3.

  • MIBR - Rating past three months: chelo 1.25 | exit 1.10 | boltz 1.06 | shz 1.05 | yel 1.03
  • Iberian Family - Rating past three months: SunPayus 1.27 | DeathZz 1.10 | adamS 1.01 | Slaxx 0.97 | dav1g 0.96

H2H Data

  • These rosters have never faced each other.

Projected Maps

  • MIBR removes Nuke
  • Iberian Family removes Ancient
  • MIBR picks Mirage
  • Iberian Family picks Vertigo
  • MIBR removes Inferno
  • Iberian Family removes Overpass
  • Dust2 is left over.

The map pool will continue to be difficult to predict with Ancient now in the mix. Iberian Family have prioritized banning Ancient and I think they will remove it here. MIBR will likely go with Mirage, though it has been a strong map for Iberian Family. Vertigo is typical map pick for Iberian Family and should be their choice here. The decider map in this scenario would likely be Dust2, but Inferno would be a possibility as well.

  • MIBR - Key stats on Mirage past three months (4 maps): 3-1 W/L record, 50.0% pistol round win percent, 83.3% round win percent after getting first kill, 36.2% round win percent after receiving first death
  • MIBR - Notable performers on Mirage past three months (4 maps): chelo +25 K/D Diff, 1.42 Rating | yel +36 K/D Diff, 1.36 Rating | exit +30 K/D Diff, 1.29 Rating | shz +10 K/D Diff, 1.22 Rating
  • MIBR - Key stats on Vertigo past three months (4 maps): 1-3 W/L record, 50.0% pistol round win percent, 70.0% round win percent after getting first kill, 26.6% round win percent after receiving first death
  • MIBR - Notable performers on Vertigo past three months (4 maps): chelo +7 K/D Diff, 1.19 Rating | shz +1 K/D Diff, 1.09 Rating | exit +2 K/D Diff, 1.04 Rating
  • Iberian Family - Key stats on Mirage past three months (3 maps): 3-0 W/L record, 50.0% pistol round win percent, 81.0% round win percent after getting first kill, 50.0% round win percent after receiving first death
  • Iberian Family - Notable performers on Mirage past three months (3 maps): SunPayus +40 K/D Diff, 1.64 Rating | adamS +21 K/D Diff, 1.39 Rating | dav1g +11 K/D Diff, 1.26 Rating | DeathZz +6 K/D Diff, 1.19 Rating | Slaxx +11 K/D Diff, 1.12 Rating
  • Iberian Family - Key stats on Vertigo past three months (6 maps): 4-2 W/L record, 41.7% pistol round win percent, 73.9% round win percent after getting first kill, 37.1% round win percent after receiving first death
  • Iberian Family - Notable performers on Vertigo past three months (6 maps): SunPayus +51 K/D Diff, 1.33 Rating | DeathZz +21 K/D Diff, 1.21 Rating 

Analysis

The first two maps would set-up nicely for Iberian Family if we do see Mirage & Vertigo, but I still favor MIBR heavily here on Mirage or any other map that they do pick. I think we probably see a 2-1 win for MIBR here with Iberian Family having solid odds on Vertigo, but I like MIBR for DFS regardless. It is impossible to ignore SunPayus on Iberian Family especially at only $7,200 on Draftkings. He is not a priority target for me since I think his team will struggle, but he can still put up some stats in a losing effort and his potential upside is through the roof, so consider him for GPPs. As for MIBR stacks, Chelo looks like a lock, but his expensive price tag makes things difficult. I would still include him as much as possible. Exit has been solid with this roster so far, but he seems a bit overpriced at $9,400. Shz and Boltz both look like good plays, and yel seems way too cheap at $6,200. Yel looks like one of the best value plays on the slate and he has plenty of upside with the AWP. 

ALTERNATE aTTaX (World rank: #99) vs. Copenhagen Flames (World rank: #41) 

  • Moneyline Odds: ATN attax (+195) | CPH Flames (-275) 
  • Map Handicap: ATN attax +1.5 (-150) | CPH Flames -1.5 (+115)
  • Map Total: Over 2.5 (+125) | Under 2.5 (-170)

This is a best-of-three series for the group stage of Spring Sweet Spring 3.

  • ATN attax - Rating past three months: PANIX 1.12 | Krimbo 1.10 | prosus 0.97 | ScrunK 0.92 | kRYSTAL 0.85
  • CPH Flames - Rating past three months: roeJ 1.21 | nicoodoz 1.11 | Zyphon 1.08 | jabbi 1.03 | HooXi 0.94

H2H Data

  • These rosters have never faced each other.

Projected Maps

  • ATN attax removes Ancient
  • CPH Flames removes Dust2
  • ATN attax picks Inferno
  • CPH Flames picks Overpass
  • ATN attax removes Nuke
  • CPH Flames removes Mirage
  • Vertigo is left over.

The map pool will continue to be difficult to predict with Ancient now in the mix. ATN attax have prioritized banning Ancient so far and will likely ban it to start here with CPH Flames most likely removing Dust2. Both teams like Vertigo, so I think ATN attax are better off picking something else, but the problem is that they do not have a strong map pool right now. I think Inferno makes the most sense for them especially since they just beat forZe on that map. CPH Flames should pick Overpass, and Vertigo would be the most likely decider if ATN attax do not choose it as their map pick.

  • ATN attax - Key stats on Inferno past three months (14 maps): 7-7 W/L record, 32.1% pistol round win percent, 71.6% round win percent after getting first kill, 36.0% round win percent after receiving first death
  • ATN attax - Notable performers on Inferno past three months (14 maps): Krimbo +79 K/D Diff, 1.24 Rating | PANIX +18 K/D Diff, 1.10 Rating
  • ATN attax - Key stats on Overpass past three months (8 maps): 5-3 W/L record, 56.2% pistol round win percent, 70.1% round win percent after getting first kill, 30.2% round win percent after receiving first death
  • ATN attax - Notable performers on Overpass past three months (8 maps): PANIX +17 K/D Diff, 1.09 Rating | kRYSTAL -1 K/D Diff, 1.05 Rating
  • CPH Flames - Key stats on Inferno past three months (8 maps): 5-3 W/L record, 56.2% pistol round win percent, 69.8% round win percent after getting first kill, 33.0% round win percent after receiving first death
  • CPH Flames - Notable performers on Inferno past three months (8 maps): nicoodoz +37 K/D Diff, 1.22 Rating | jabbi +24 K/D Diff, 1.13 Rating | Zyphon +8 K/D Diff, 1.08 Rating | roeJ -4 K/D Diff, 1.07 Rating
  • CPH Flames - Key stats on Overpass past three months (16 maps): 13-3 W/L record, 68.8% pistol round win percent, 76.0% round win percent after getting first kill, 33.0% round win percent after receiving first death
  • CPH Flames - Notable performers on Overpass past three months (16 maps):  roeJ +95 K/D Diff, 1.38 Rating | Zyphon +60 K/D Diff, 1.24 Rating | jabbi +50 K/D Diff, 1.19 Rating | nicoodoz +28 K/D Diff, 1.08 Rating

Analysis

Copenhagen Flames are heavy favorites here, but I am not sure I agree with the odds, and I think that ALTERNATE aTTaX make for an interesting stack for GPPS, particularly PANIX & Krimbo. CPH Flames might be popular on this slate, but roeJ is expensive and Inferno is not one of his best maps if it does get picked. Nicoodoz looks like a decent play, but his team will likely pick Overpass which is a map where he has struggled to find impact with AWP at times. Zyphon and Jabbi are reasonably priced so I do not mind them, and I would mainly fade HooXi on any slate, especially this one. The odds would tell you that Copenhagen Flames stacks are a good play, but this team is just not a priority for me in this series. I do not think ALTERNATE aTTaX are a lock either by any means, but PANIX and Krimbo are both cheap and can hard carry this team, and they both may even have low ownership in GPPs. I would be cautious with this series, and I would definitely consider the underdogs here. 

EXTREMUM (World rank: #25) vs. Budapest Five (World rank: #80) 

  • Moneyline Odds: EXTREMUM (-445) | Budapest Five (+300) 
  • Map Handicap: EXTREMUM -1.5 (-120) | Budapest Five +1.5 (+110)
  • Map Total: Over 2.5 (+140) | Under 2.5 (-190)

This is a best-of-three series for the group stage of Spring Sweet Spring 3.

  • EXTREMUM - Rating past three months:  jkaem 1.13 | BnTeT 1.08 | Gratisfaction 1.01 | Liazz 0.97 | AZR 0.94
  • Budapest Five - Rating past three months: fleav 1.08 | kory 1.08 | FASHR 1.05 | mar 1.05 | Coolio 0.99

H2H Data

  • These rosters have never faced each other.

Projected Maps

  • EXTREMUM removes Overpass
  • Budapest Five removes Inferno
  • EXTREMUM picks Vertigo
  • Budapest Five picks Mirage
  • EXTREMUM removes Ancient
  • Budapest Five removes Nuke
  • Dust2 is left over.

The map pool will continue to be difficult to predict with Ancient now in the mix. Ancient could certainly be in play here. We have not seen EXTREMUM play an official match on the map yet, and Budapest Five won their only match against Ambush, 16-14. I expect the teams to stick with their typical picks and bans, which would give us Vertigo and Mirage as the first two maps. EXTREMUM have lost five in a row on Vertigo against strong teams, but I think they are still comfortable picking it into Budapest Five here. Dust2 makes sense as the decider here, but Ancient could be an option.

  • EXTREMUM - Key stats on Vertigo past three months (11 maps): 4-7 W/L record, 59.1% pistol round win percent, 69.1% round win percent after getting first kill, 24.5% round win percent after receiving first death
  • EXTREMUM - Notable performers on Vertigo past three months (11 maps): jkaem +7 K/D Diff, 1.12 Rating | BnTeT +5 K/D Diff, 1.04 Rating
  • EXTREMUM - Key stats on Mirage past three months (5 maps): 3-2 W/L record, 50.0% pistol round win percent, 62.2% round win percent after getting first kill, 34.8% round win percent after receiving first death
  • EXTREMUM - Notable performers on Mirage past three months (5 maps): jkaem +22 K/D Diff, 1.29 Rating | BnTeT +6 K/D Diff, 1.09 Rating | Liazz 0 K/D Diff, 1.05 Rating
  • Budapest Five - Key stats on Vertigo past three months (4 maps): 1-3 W/L record, 37.5% pistol round win percent, 66.0% round win percent after getting first kill, 30.9% round win percent after receiving first death
  • Budapest Five - Notable performers on Vertigo past three months (4 maps): FASHR 0 K/D Diff, 1.10 Rating | kory +2 K/D Diff, 1.08 Rating
  • Budapest Five - Key stats on Mirage past three months (7 maps): 4-3 W/L record, 57.1% pistol round win percent, 72.6% round win percent after getting first kill, 35.1% round win percent after receiving first death
  • Budapest Five - Notable performers on Mirage past three months (7 maps): kory +3 K/D Diff, 1.19 Rating | mar +18 K/D Diff, 1.11 Rating | fleav +24 K/D Diff, 1.08 Rating | FASHR -2 K/D Diff, 1.05 Rating | coolio +1 K/D Diff, 1.04 Rating

Analysis

EXTREMUM is the obvious play here as heavy favorites, but the cheapest plays on the slate are on Budapest Five which can offer some salary relief. FASHR looks alright considering he is only $4,400 and kory looks okay too at $5,600. Still, this should be an easy series for EXTREMUM, and I would only consider having a very small amount of exposure to Budapest Five in GPPs. Jkaem and BnTeT look like smash plays, but they are so expensive that it is tough to get them both into a lineup. Everyone is in play for me on EXTREMUM and I like stacking any three, but jkaem and BnTet are the priority for sure. Liazz gets a lot of criticism and has been inconsistent, but I really like him in this spot at $7,400 on Draftkings, especially since he has been solid on Mirage. I am not expecting an upset for Budapest Five and they would be lucky to get a map here, so EXTREMUM has to be a target for DFS. 

**Favorite Stacks: EXTREMUM, MIBR, Endpoint, ALTERNATE aTTaX (riskier stack for GPPs)

**Favorite CPT plays: BnTeT, mezii, Chelo, jkaem, CRUC1AL, shz, exit

**Favorite value plays: yel, Liazz, Boltz, Gratisfaction, Krimbo, PANIX, Thomas, SunPayus, FASHR, kory