Entropiq (World rank: #9) vs. Finest (World rank: #37) - 9:00 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Entropiq (-400) | Finest (+305)
Map Handicap: Entropiq -1.5 (-110) | Finest +1.5 (-115)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+140) | Under 2.5 (-170)
- This is a best-of-three online series for the Elisa Invitational Winter 2021 Main Qualifier - Swiss Round 3 (Teams with a 1-1 record)
- Entropiq - Rating at event: El1an 1.38 | Krad 1.14 | NickelBack 1.12 | Lack1 1.11 | Forester 0.99
- Entropiq - Rating past three months: El1an 1.15 | Forester 1.15 | Krad 1.02 | NickelBack 1.00 | Lack1 1.00
- Finest - Rating at event: anarkez 1.17 | kreaz 0.93 | shokz 0.79 | Golden 0.70 | lollipop21k N/A
- Finest - Rating past three months: anarkez 1.10 | shokz 1.10 | kreaz 1.04 | lollipop2k 1.03 | Golden 0.78
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other. The teams did face in December 2021 at ESEA Premier S39 Europe with mar in the Finest lineup instead of Golden and Entropiq won 2-0 (16-11 Overpass / 16-12 Ancient). Krad topped the leaderboards with 55 kills and a 1.35 Rating across two maps.
Map Projections:
Entropiq removes Inferno
Finest removes Nuke
Entropiq picks Ancient
Finest picks Overpass
Entropiq removes Vertigo
Finest removes Dust2
Mirage is left over
Prediction/Narrative: Entropiq wins 2-0.
Finest have recently been playing with two experienced stand-ins: Golden & lollipop21k. Golden was benched from Fnatic last year as the former IGL really struggled to bring any firepower to the table, and his struggles have continued in this lineup. Finest have lost three out of the four series that Golden has played in, and he was still bad even in their sweep against eSuba with a combined 23 kills and 33 deaths across two maps. Golden has a 0.78 Rating with 0.48 kills per round as a member of Finest, and I think his time as a professional CS:GO player should have already come to an end. Lollipop21k brings a lot more firepower to this team, but I still think they are heavily outmatched against number nine world ranked Entropiq. Finest’s lineup likely lacks chemistry due to their limited time playing together, while Entropiq’s roster played 453 maps as a unit just in 2021. Overall, Finest does not concern me as a potential live underdog.
Entropiq’s most played map recently has been Ancient, where they have an impressive 19-5 W/L record along with a 35.5% 4v5 conversion rate in the past three months. Finest have lost seven of their last nine on Ancient, so Entropiq should be heavily favored if that map is played, and it likely will be since Finest typically ban Nuke to start. Finest’s go-to map has been Overpass, where they have been solid with a 16-7 W/L record and 77.8% 5v4 conversion rate, but Overpass is also one of Entropiq’s best maps having won six of their last seven on it. Overall, the map pool does not look good for Finest considering their best map is also a comfortable map for Entropiq. I think this should be a fairly easy 2-0 sweep for Entropiq. On Draftkings, my preference would be to stack three from Entropiq.
- On Ancient, El1an leads his team with a 1.23 K/D ratio, while Forester leads with a 1.19 Rating across 24 maps played in the past three months.
- On Overpass, Forester leads his team with a 1.32 K/D ratio and 1.24 Rating across 18 maps played in the past three months.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
Forester ($9,200) | El1an ($9,600) | Lack1 ($5,800) | Krad ($8,000) | NickelBack ($6,800) | lollipop21k ($5,000)
AGO (World rank: #55) vs. LookingForOrg (World rank: #65) - 12:00 P.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: AGO (-135) | LookingForOrg (+110)
Map Handicap: AGO -1.5 (+205) | LookingForOrg +1.5 (--260)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+110) | Under 2.5 (-135)
- This is a best-of-three online series for the Elisa Invitational Winter 2021 Main Qualifier - Swiss Round 3 (Teams with a 1-1 record)
- AGO - Rating at event: Furlan 1.28 | kRaSnaL 1.11 | F1KU 1.10 | leman 1.04 | Grashog 0.72
- AGO - Rating past three months: F1KU 1.08 | leman 0.98 | kRaSnaL 0.95 | Furlan 0.89 | Grashog 0.85
- LookingForOrg - Rating at event: Liki 1.06 | sterling 1.01 | HaZR 0.98 | SaVage 0.82 | SPELLAN N/A
- LookingForOrg - Rating past three months: sterling 1.22 | HaZR 1.17 | Liki 1.13 | SaVage 1.12 | SPELLAN N/A
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other.
Map Projections:
AGO removes Overpass
LookingForOrg removes Mirage
AGO picks Ancient
LookingForOrg picks Nuke
AGO removes Vertigo
LookingForOrg removes Dust2
Inferno is left over
Prediction/Narrative: AGO wins 2-1.
Last time that we saw AGO play, mwlky was playing with them, which no longer appears to be the case. Their roster has been a rotating cast of characters since parting ways with mHL & snatchie, and it’s tough to get a read on this team at the moment. Their recent matches have been full of losses, but the level of competition seems to be much higher than that of LookingForOrg, who play in the Oceanic region. LookingForOrg have great stats based on the weaker play of their Oceanic opponents, but in the past month they have struggled internationally with a 5-8 W/L record across 13 maps played. During that time, all members of the team posted a K/D ratio below one, while EspiranTo was the only player to finish with a Rating greater than one. EspiranTo had been standing in for ap0c, who had to return to Australia for personal matters, but LFO will have a new stand-in for this match with SPELLAN on the server, which only lowers my confidence in this team. Overall, neither team is in peak form at this point in time, but I still feel as though the core of AGO is much stronger than that of LookingForOrg.
AGO do not have a comfortable map pool by any means. LookingForOrg will likely ban Mirage, which means that AGO may decide to pick Ancient, which is their most played map in the past three months, but they have now lost six in a row on that map against teams such as Entropiq & forZe. AGO typically ban Overpass, which means that LFO will likely pick Nuke, where they have been solid with a 9-4 W/L record in the past three months. LFO barely beat MASONIC on Nuke earlier in the month, and they also lost to Tricked, so they are by no means a lock on that map considering their struggles on an international stage. Overall, I think the map pool obviously looks better for LookingForOrg on paper, but AGO have the potential to win on any map in the pool with their talent, and I think the Oceanic team will fall short, especially with SPELLAN standing in. On Draftkings, my preference would be to stack two or three from AGO, with sterling or Liki as my favorite potential one-offs from LFO.
- KRaSnaL leads his team on Ancient with a 0.90 K/D ratio and 1.01 Rating across 10 maps played in the past three months.
- F1KU has been excellent on Nuke with a 1.09 K/D ratio and 1.15 Rating across nine maps played in the past three months.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
F1KU ($8,800) | kRaSnaL ($7,000) | Furlan ($6,200) | sterling ($8,600) | Liki ($6,600) | leman ($8,400)