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FaZe (World rank: #1) vs. FTW (World rank: #53) – 6:30 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: FaZe (-2050) | FTW (+1160)

Map Handicap: FaZe -1.5 (-370) | FTW +1.5 (+285)

This is a best-of-three on LAN for ESL Pro League Season 16 - Group B

FaZe - Rating at event: N/A

FaZe - Rating past three months: broky 1.17 | Twistzz 1.16 | ropz 1.08 | rain 1.06 | karrigan 0.92

FTW - Rating at event: N/A

FTW - Rating past three months: stadodo 1.00 | arrozdoce 0.99 | kst 0.97 | Ag1l 0.93 | Ddias 0.91

H2H Data:

These rosters have never faced each other.

Prediction: FaZe wins 2-0.

Well, we just saw NAVI lose as (-2100) moneyline favorites against Endpoint last week as part of Group A, so never say never in esports. Plus, it does make sense to see some upsets at this event considering this round robin group stage is not exactly the most important thing on the calendar for most teams, especially the elite ones. However, I’m still putting all of my eggs into the FaZe basket on Wednesday. FaZe are back to being the number one ranked team in the world and they are my choice to win ESL Pro League Season 16. FaZe have been rolling with a 29-16 W/L record across 45 maps played in the past three months, and they have never dropped a map to a team outside of the Top 20 Rankings with this roster. FTW have some talent, but they have only played nine maps total with a measly 3-6 W/L record during that time. FTW are not an established roster and I think they get dominated by FaZe even if FaZe are playing at 75%. FaZe are the clear target on Draftkings. Rain continues to be the entry fragger for FaZe, and I expect him to farm here, so he is my favorite play at $7,400.

  • rain leads FaZe with 0.15 opening kills per round and 29.0% opening duel attempts across 45 maps played in the past three months. 

Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority): 

rain ($7,400) | broky ($10,000) | Twistzz ($9,200) |  ropz ($8,200) | karrigan ($6,400) 

 

G2 (World rank: #9) vs. MIBR (World rank: #30) – 1:30 P.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: G2 (-535) | MIBR (+395)

Map Handicap: G2 -1.5 (-130) | MIBR +1.5 (+110)

This is a best-of-three on LAN for ESL Pro League Season 16 - Group B

G2 - Rating at event: N/A

G2 - Rating past three months: NiKo 1.22 | m0NESY 1.17 | huNter 1.11 | jks 0.93 | HooXi 0.71

MIBR - Rating at event: N/A

MIBR - Rating past three months: HEN1 1.25 | brnz4n 1.14 | exit 1.06 | JOTA 1.03 | Tuurtle 0.94

H2H Data:

These rosters have never faced each other. The teams last played in February but both lineups have changed since. G2 won that series 2-0 (16-5 Ancient / 16-6 Inferno) and NiKo led the server with 43 kills and a 1.65 Rating across two maps played. 

Prediction: G2 wins 2-1.

G2 stomped MIBR when they last played but things look a lot different now. Earlier in the year, NiKo was in God-level form while G2 were also unstoppable on Inferno. NiKo is still playing well, though he has cooled off just slightly, while G2 are still finding their new identity with HooXi & jks. G2 had won 10 in a row on Inferno in 2022, but they are now 0-1 with a 6-16 loss to Vitality on that map with this new roster. G2 did manage to finish ahead of Vitality at BLAST Premier Fall Groups, and Vitality did just go 5-0 during Group A of ESL Pro League Season 16, so G2 are certainly not in shambles. However, it is clear that G2 are experiencing growing pains as evidenced by HooXi’s 0.55 K/D ratio and 0.71 Rating with the team thus far. Perhaps G2 use this event as a way of shoring up those issues, but there is also a world where maybe G2 don’t care as much about this event, and we see some of their weaknesses on display once again. I also think MIBR are not to be slept on. They have improved in terms of firepower since the last time they faced G2, and they have had some success with this lineup so far with a 12-5 W/L record across 17 maps played. MIBR are on a four series win streak against solid lower tier opponents: 1WIN, EC Kyiv, Monte, and Tricked. Those teams might not be elite, but they are all still strong opponents and finding continued success against them is notable. I don’t expect MIBR to defeat G2 in this spot, but I do think that they will make this more competitive than the odds indicate. There aren’t many spots for value on this Draftkings slate, so I do think MIBR could be a source of salary relief. JOTA & Tuurtle have not been in their best form in recent months, but I think that just makes them a great target on Draftkings considering their salaries have come down accordingly. I’m still looking to play at least one of NiKo & m0NESY, although I think mixing in one or two MIBR guys could be the best move on Wednesday. 

  • m0NESY leads this G2 lineup with a 1.46 K/D ratio and 1.34 Rating across 10 maps played.
  • m0NESY leads G2 with 0.14 opening kills per round, while NiKo leads with 22.3% opening duel attempts during that time.

Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority): 

m0NESY ($8,600) | NiKo ($9,600) | JOTA ($5,200) | Tuurtle ($4,800) | huNter ($7,800) | HEN1 ($7,200) | brnz4n ($6,600)

 

*Top Stacks: FaZe, G2/MIBR

*Top Captains: rain, m0NESY, broky, NiKo, Twistzz, ropz

*Top Value: karrigan, JOTA, Tuurtle, huNter, HEN1, brnz4n