Saturday night features one of the most significant matchups of the 2025 college football season as the #10 Texas Longhorns travel to Athens to take on the #5 Georgia Bulldogs under the bright lights of Sanford Stadium. Both teams enter Week 12 with their playoff aspirations intact, but neither can afford to stumble again in the SEC race.

Oddsmakers have positioned Georgia as a slight favorite at home, but the more pressing question may be regarding the total points. The Bulldogs’ defense hasn’t been as dominant as usual, while Texas has recently demonstrated significant improvements in their offensive game. Our #10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia picks see a high-scoring affair when these two teams clash in Athens.

#10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia Predictions for College Football Week 12, Saturday, 11/15

Texas has quietly secured five consecutive victories, leaning on the impressive performance of Arch Manning, who has amassed over 650 passing yards and six touchdowns in the last two weeks.

On the other hand, Georgia has found its offensive groove again, led by quarterback Gunner Stockton and running back Nate Frazier, averaging more than 37 points per game during their five-game winning streak. The best bet for this crucial SEC matchup? Our #10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia predictions will take the Over 47.5 (-120 at Novig).

 

 

 

#10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia Best Bet: Over 47.5 (-120 at Novig)

On paper, both teams are known for their strong defenses, which suggests a close game. However, recent performances reveal a different narrative. Georgia’s highly regarded defense has struggled throughout the season. 

Just last week, both Mississippi State and Ole Miss successfully targeted Georgia deep — and neither of those offenses possesses the same arm strength or receiver talent that Arch Manning and Texas do.

Manning is beginning to resemble the player that Longhorn fans hoped for when he joined the team in Austin. He’s shown efficiency, composure, and deadly accuracy when afforded time in the pocket. 

His connection with Ryan Wingo, who averages over 10 yards after the catch, has significantly enhanced the Texas passing attack, making it a challenge for even the best defenses. With Georgia’s defensive line ranking 114th in pressure rate, Manning is likely to have ample time to exploit the secondary.

Texas has been scoring an average of 34.3 points per game in their last three games, including 45 points against Mississippi State and 34 against Vanderbilt. The Longhorns’ offense is firing on all cylinders, and their pace has noticeably picked up — they are running close to 70 plays per game during their current winning streak.

On the other side, Georgia’s offense has also been performing well. Gunner Stockton has quietly achieved one of the most effective stretches of his career, passing for 264 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s victory over Mississippi State. Georgia is averaging 33.4 points per game this season.

The Bulldogs effectively complement their passing game with a powerful ground attack, as running back Nate Frazier has exceeded 180 yards in two of his last three outings. This level of offensive efficiency consistently pressures defenses, and although Texas is up towards the top nationally against the run, the Dawgs possess enough versatility to advance the ball through the air if the Longhorn front tightens its grip on the ground game.

On the defensive side, both teams have displayed vulnerabilities that make the Over even more enticing. Texas has conceded 38 and 31 points in their last two matchups, frequently establishing early leads only to allow opponents to rally late.

Meanwhile, Georgia’s defense hasn’t mirrored the dominant squads from their national championship seasons. The Bulldogs have permitted over 20 points in six of their nine games, including 35 against Ole Miss and 21 against Mississippi State. Their bend-but-don’t-break approach can be effective in the red zone, but when both teams are capable of stretching the field like this, big plays are bound to happen.

Anticipate both quarterbacks to excel. Manning’s composure under pressure has significantly improved, and Georgia’s lack of a pass rush should enable him to utilize his weapons effectively.

Stockton’s grasp of Georgia’s system continues to develop, and he’ll encounter favorable matchups against a Texas defense that has struggled against mobile quarterbacks and play-action strategies throughout the year.

This matchup has our #10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia predictions believing it’ll look like a classic SEC shootout under the lights — not the grind-it-out battle we might’ve anticipated a few years back. Both offenses are too dynamic, both defenses too erratic, and both coaching staffs too bold to play conservatively.

 

 

 

How To Watch #10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia College Football Week 12

  • Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV: ABC
  • Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA

#10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

We’ve just shared our #10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia predictions for the matchup. Now, let's take a look at the latest #10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia odds for the game from Novig:

  • Money Line (ML): Longhorns +186 | Bulldogs -200
  • Spread: Longhorns +6.5 (-111) | Bulldogs -6.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -120 | U: +103)

 

 

 

#10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia Injury Report & Latest News

Texas Injury Report

  • M. Taaffe (CB) – Questionable, Undisclosed
  • A. Cojoe (OG) – Out, Knee

Georgia Injury Report

  • J. Horton (DL) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • L. Luckie (TE) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • J. Hall (DL) – Out, Undisclosed
  • K. Jones (CB) – Out, Undisclosed
  • T. Taylor (WR) – Out, Undisclosed
  • E. Barbour (TE) – Out, Knee
  • C. Young (WR) – Out, Leg

 

 

 

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