For the eighth time in nine seasons, Georgia is back at Mercedes-Benz Stadium competing for an SEC title — and yet again, it’s Alabama facing them. The Tide triumphed in the regular-season clash 24–21 in Athens. Now, the stakes are elevated, and the gap between these teams is even narrower.

The initial encounter between Georgia and Alabama resulted in a total of 45 points, and nothing observed from either team since then indicates a notably different scoring scenario. In fact, recent patterns suggest an even slower and more defensive game plan this time, which may tell you all you need to know regarding our #3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama picks.

#3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama Predictions for the SEC Championship, Saturday, 12/6

Both offenses faltered towards the end of the season, both quarterbacks have experienced their poorest performances in November, and both defenses come into this game following some of their most comprehensive displays of the season.

When you combine all these elements, the rematch is poised to be another closely fought, low-scoring affair — which leads us directly to our top #3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama predictions.

 

 

 

#3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama Best Bet: Under 48.5 (-110 at Novig)

Alabama has gone under the total in four consecutive games, and Georgia has done so in seven out of twelve. Neither offense has exhibited clean or confident play during the last month of the season.

Ty Simpson began the season on a strong note, but he’s become considerably less decisive recently. In his last two big games, he’s completed less than 60% of his passes, showing a marked decrease in downfield effectiveness. While Alabama remains a threat in the air, the big plays have been lacking lately, compelling the Tide to engage in longer drives with reduced margins for error.

On the other hand, Gunner Stockton approaches the SEC championship game following two of his poorest performances this season — a one-touchdown, one-interception outing against Charlotte, followed by a mere 70-yard passing display against Georgia Tech. He’s thrown interceptions in three consecutive games and four out of his last five.

When both quarterbacks are not performing at their best, and both defenses rank in the top 15 nationally across most key efficiency statistics, the result is a game where scoring is achieved the hard way.

Alabama's rushing performance has been erratic throughout the season, ranking outside the top 100 nationally in yards per carry and struggling to establish a dependable RB1 as the season progressed. With Kevin Riley sidelined and Jam Miller's status uncertain, the depth of the Tide's backfield has diminished at a critical juncture.

Georgia possesses greater talent in its backfield, yet Alabama was prepared for the Bulldogs' running strategy in their initial encounter, crowding the box on 19 out of 23 RB carries and yielding minimal gains early in the contest.

Although Georgia managed to secure a few significant plays, the Tide effectively limited this rushing offense to significantly below its average for the season. As both teams' passing games falter, they’re inclined to run — but neither will achieve much consistency.

Georgia and Alabama had a mere 20 total possessions during their September encounter — and many of those drives featured a pace that neither team is likely to duplicate here. Championship games with top-tier defenses frequently slow down to the low-60s or even high-50s in total plays per team. If this matchup achieves that tempo, scoring will be mathematically limited.

Both Alabama and Georgia are ranked in the top 20 nationally for defensive red-zone conversion rates. Both teams force you to settle for field goals. Additionally, both offenses are positioned outside the elite tier in red-zone touchdown percentages. Restricting one opponent to field goals is a bonus for the under. Limiting both is a strategy. 

You have two outstanding defenses, two underperforming quarterbacks, two erratic running games, and two coaching staffs that would gladly secure a victory in a slow, methodical, field-position battle. Our #3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama predictions think this game has scores like 24–20, 23–17, or 21–20 written all over it.

 

 

 

How To Watch #3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama - SEC Championship

  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 6
  • Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • Channel: ABC

#3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

Novig has unveiled the most recent #3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama odds for the matchup set to take place on Saturday afternoon. This comes after our earlier discussions about #3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama predictions:

  • Money Line (ML): Bulldogs -122 | Crimson Tide +121
  • Spread: Bulldogs -2.5 (+101) | Crimson Tide +2.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

 

 

 

#3 Georgia vs. #9 Alabama Injury Report & Latest News

Georgia Injury Report

  • D. Bobo (OG) – Out, Foot
  • K. Jones (CB) – Out, Foot
  • B. Walker (RB) – Out, Jaw
  • E. Barbour (TE) – Out, Knee
  • O. Evans (CB) – Questionable, Knee
  • J. Hall (DL) – Out, Knee
  • C. Bowens (RB) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • T. Taylor (WR) – Questionable, Undisclosed
  • C. Young (WR) – Out, Leg

Alabama Injury Report

  • K. Collins (DL) – Out, Illness
  • K. Dewberry (OG) – Questionable, Undisclosed
  • M. Waldrep Jr. (OG) – Out, Undisclosed
  • K. Riley (RB) – Out, Undisclosed
  • L. Overton (DL) – Out, Undisclosed
  • D. Kirkpatrick Jr. (CB) – Out, Undisclosed
  • J. Latham (LB) – Out, Neck
  • K. Howard (CB) – Out, Undisclosed
  • J. Miller (RB) – Questionable, Leg
  • J. Ngaluafe (TE) – Questionable, Foot
  • D. Lewis Jr. (TE) – Questionable, Undisclosed
  • J. Beaman (DL) – Out, Lower Body

 

 

 

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