CFB Best Bets - Saturday, 11/8: Expert Picks, Predictions & Player Props
The 2025 College Football season rolls on with a full Saturday slate of Week 11 games. Welcome to our CFB Best Bets as we break down CFB picks for this week’s action. Let’s focus on two matchups for our top CFB predictions. Plus, check out more college football bets below. Â
Saturday’s Week 11 college football slate lasts all day and all night. That means we have plenty of ways to go for our CFB picks. Note that all bets below are for one unit unless otherwise noted. Without further ado, let’s dive into our CFB Best Bets.Â
CFB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets: Week 11 Saturday, 11/8
Let’s kick off Saturday’s Week 11 CFB Best Bets with a Big Ten matchup between Maryland and Rutgers. Plus, Missouri hosts Texas A&M in a Top 25 SEC showdown. Be sure to check out more CFB picks below for other notable Week 11 games, including Georgia vs. Mississippi State and Oregon vs. Iowa. That includes some intriguing college football player props as well. Good luck! Â
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Maryland vs. Rutgers Prediction: Saturday, November 8th
Both of these teams find themselves in the bottom tier of the Big Ten this season. Maryland and Rutgers both come into this game cold, too. The Terrapins have lost 4 straight games, while the Scarlet Knights are 1-5 in their last 6 contests. Someone has to win this Week 11 matchup, though, so let’s pick a side.Â
Despite the current losing streak, Maryland has kept things competitive. We’ll ignore last week’s blowout loss to Indiana, which is understandable, as the Hoosiers are doing that to everyone. Previously, the Terps lost by 4 points to Washington and by just a field goal to both Nebraska and UCLA.Â
Conversely, Rutgers has suffered big deficits in most of its losses. The Knights lost by 22 points to Illinois last week and previously lost by double-digits to Oregon, Washington, and Iowa. They also have an average margin of defeat of 20 PPG in their five losses so far.Â
In this matchup, Maryland has advantages on both sides of the ball. Rutgers ranks 121st in the country in total yards allowed per game, while giving up 33.8 PPG to FBS opponents (117th). The Scarlet Knights’ defense also ranks 133rd nationally in EPA/Play and 134th in success rate.Â
It’s a favorable situation for the Terps to rebound offensively after being held to 10 points against Indiana a week ago. True freshman QB Malik Washington has endured some expected growing pains, but he’s also looked good against subpar secondaries. The Maryland passing attack should have enough success against a Rutgers defense that’s allowed a 19:4 TD:INT ratio this year, while ranking 135th in EPA/Pass and 134th in success rate vs. the pass.Â
Meanwhile, Maryland’s defense boasts some impressive advanced stats this season. The Terps are 13th in the FBS in EPA/Play defensively and 38th in defensive success rate. They’re especially strong against the pass, ranking 18th nationally in EPA/Pass with more interceptions (15) than touchdowns allowed (13).Â
Furthermore, Maryland has dominated this rivalry over the past decade. The Terrapins have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including 5 of the last 7 matchups. After Rutgers beat them on the road last year, the Terps will have revenge on their minds to return the favor here.Â
There’s also this interesting trend to note. Teams that played Indiana the week before are 6-0 ATS in their next FBS matchup. This trend suggests that those squads may be getting crushed by the Hoosiers, but the elite competition usually brings out their best in the following game. Maryland is in that position this weekend.Â
- Expert CFB Pick: Maryland +2.5Â (-110 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Texas A&M vs. Missouri Prediction: Saturday, November 8th
Let’s now focus on a Top 25 matchup in the SEC, as No. 3 Texas A&M takes on No. 22 Missouri. This game carries plenty of weight for both teams’ College Football Playoff resumes. Instead of picking a side, let’s focus on the total here.Â
Both defenses should set the tone to keep this lower-scoring. We also have Texas A&M and Missouri both coming off their bye weeks ahead of this game, which ideally favors the defenses from a preparation angle.Â
Notably, Missouri lost quarterback Beau Pribula to a dislocated ankle last game. That thrusts true freshman Matt Zollers into the starting QB role. Zollers actually looked good against Vanderbilt two weeks ago when he replaced Pribula, and he was a blue-chip high school recruit. Yet, the freshman’s inexperience and lack of in-game reps against SEC defenses could be tough to overcome.Â
Zollers’ first start also comes against a tough Texas A&M pass defense. The Aggies rank 13th nationally in success rate vs. the pass and 26th in EPA/Pass. They also rank 34th in passing yards allowed during conference play. Considering this matchup, Missouri may opt to roll with a conservative offensive game plan to avoid any turnovers or mistakes from Zollers. The Tigers have a workhorse back in Ahmad Hardy to lean on, so expect a heavy dose of rushes.Â
It’s also worth noting that Missouri’s offense has taken a clear step back when facing SEC opponents, after previously dominating in non-conference play. The Tigers rank 96th in the country in yards per play during conference action, and have just a 36.8% third-down conversion rate in SEC games.Â
On the other side, the A&M offense boasts plenty of playmakers with a Heisman Trophy candidate in QB Marcel Reed. Yet, the Missouri defense should be up for the challenge to keep the Aggies’ skill players in check – especially at home here.Â
Mizzou is 5th in the country in total yards allowed per game, while giving up just 16.8 PPG (13th in FBS). The defense also ranks 5th nationally in success rate and 19th in EPA/Play. It’s a top-tier defensive unit that could be the difference-maker in the game to keep it lower-scoring, and even create an upset potential for the Tigers.Â
- Expert CFB Pick: Under 48.5 Total Points (-110 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
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Best CFB Prop Bets & Other Picks: Saturday, 11/8
- Georgia Team Total – Over 31.5 Points (-135 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Wake Forest +7.5Â (-140 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
- UCLA Moneyline (-105 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Stanford Team Total – Under 16.5 Points (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Kentucky +3.5Â (-120 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Oregon vs. Iowa – Over 40.5 Total Points (-140 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Josh Hoover, TCU – Over 273.5 Passing Yards (-115 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Kedrick Reescano, Arizona – Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-115 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
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