The Big 12 Championship presents an exciting rematch as #11 BYU aims to redeem itself after its poorest showing of the season against #4 Texas Tech. Texas Tech is comfortably positioned in the CFP landscape regardless of the outcome. For BYU, the stakes couldn't be higher. These things matter when discussing #11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech predictions.

A victory would elevate the Cougars to one of the five highest-ranked conference champions, securing an automatic berth in the CFP. A loss, however, would merely confirm what the Red Raiders demonstrated a month ago: they’re among the most well-rounded teams in the nation.

#11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech Predictions for the Big 12 Championship, Saturday, 12/6

In their initial encounter in Lubbock, the Red Raiders overwhelmed the Cougars’ offense and maintained control throughout the game. However, that outcome only heightens the anticipation for this clash at AT&T Stadium, where BYU comes in with fresh confidence, a focused head coach, and the chance to disrupt the College Football Playoff if they can pull off a major upset.

The primary focus for most bettors will be that blowout on November 8: Texas Tech 29, BYU 7. At first glance, this outcome suggests another double-digit victory for the Red Raiders. However, for our #11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech picks, a closer examination of the game and the recent performances of both teams indicates that BYU is much more competitive than the market suggests.

 

 

 

#11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech Spread Pick: Cougars +12.5 (+104 at Rebet)

Texas Tech thoroughly dominated the first encounter, yet they squandered numerous scoring opportunities, opting for five field goals and frequently stalling in the red zone. The Red Raiders out-gained BYU by 113 yards, executed explosive plays both on the ground and in the air, and controlled the line of scrimmage, but they still struggled to finish drives — continuing a season-long problem for a team that ranks 89th nationally in red-zone touchdown percentage.

Despite their challenges that day, BYU accomplished something that very few teams can: they forced Texas Tech to kick field goals instead of celebrating touchdowns. The Cougars boast a top-10 national ranking in red-zone touchdown percentage defense, which directly mitigates the one area where Texas Tech is most susceptible. This red-zone factor alone makes the prospect of a double-digit spread appealing.

Since their defeat in Lubbock, BYU has outscored TCU, Cincinnati, and UCF with a total of 111–48. While these teams may not be powerhouses, the Cougars have demonstrated cleaner football, executed their offense more effectively, and established a defensive identity that has led to greater consistency on early downs.

Then came a significant turning point: Kalani Sitake decided to remain at BYU despite considerable external pressure. The rumors surrounding Penn State have been put to rest, thanks in part to a united effort from BYU supporters, allowing the Cougars to enter this week with renewed focus and energy.

On the other hand, Texas Tech is stable, but that stability doesn’t necessarily provide them with an additional advantage. They have performed well throughout the year, but the Red Raiders are not fighting for their playoff lives; BYU is.

The Red Raiders limited BYU to merely 188 passing yards and forced them to play underneath. They also completely shut down BYU’s running attack. However, in championship rematches, the team that was physically outmatched upfront usually makes more significant adjustments than the team that had the upper hand. BYU will have:

  • Improved scripted protections
  • More quick-game options
  • Increased misdirection runs
  • A focus on keeping Bear Bachmeier out of obvious passing situations

They don’t need to excel offensively — just be competent enough to avoid the costly short-field errors that plagued them previously. Texas Tech’s defensive front and overall athleticism still provide them with an advantage. 

They’re the more balanced and deeper team, justifying their top-four ranking. However, BYU isn’t coming in defeated. They’re arriving driven, healthy, and playing their best football of the season, which is why our #11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech predictions will side with them.

 

 

 

How To Watch #11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech - Big 12 Championship

  • Date: Saturday, December 6
  • Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
  • TV: ABC
  • Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

#11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

As we present our #11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech predictions, we are thrilled to share the latest #11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech odds from Rebet for this exciting matchup:

  • Money Line (ML): Cougars +446 | Red Raiders -465
  • Spread: Cougars +12.5 (+104) | Red Raiders -12.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: +101 | U: -110)

 

 

 

#11 BYU vs. #4 Texas Tech Injury Report & Latest News

BYU Injury Report

  • U. Fetuli (DL) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • S. Moa (RB) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • P. VanSteenkiste (S) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • N. Taumoepeau (DL) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • C. Roberts (WR) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • K. Nead (TE) – Questionable, Undisclosed
  • M. Alford (LB) – Out, Undisclosed

Texas Tech Injury Report

  • T. Low (LB) – Probable, Coach’s Decision
  • D. Bailey (LB) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • M. Griffis (QB) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • J. Curry (LB) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • C. Payton (S) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • H. Sampson (OG) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • B. Morton (QB) – Probable, Undisclosed
  • M. Stevenson (CB) – Questionable, Undisclosed
  • T. West (WR) – Out, Undisclosed
  • M. Horn (CB) – Out, Undisclosed
  • W. Hammond (QB) – Out, Knee
  • S. Gill-Howard (DL) – Out, Leg
  • D. Singleton (DL) – Out, Undisclosed
  • Q. Joyner (RB) – Out, Knee
  • M. Dingle Jr. (S) – Out, Leg

 

 

 

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