Ohio State vs. #3 Michigan Predictions, Picks & Odds: NCAAB on FOX, 1/23

Ohio State and Michigan look to reignite their rivalry on Friday night in Ann Arbor. Michigan comes into this game riding high after overcoming its only setback earlier this month, while Ohio State seeks to demonstrate its ability to compete against top-tier teams on the road. 

On the surface, this matchup appears to be another opportunity for Michigan to showcase its offensive prowess in front of its home fans; however, betting markets might be exaggerating the potential explosiveness of this contest.

Given the significant spread and high total, our Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan picks might be wise to look beyond the obvious indicators. Recent performance, pace trends, and specific matchup details all suggest a more measured game than the stats imply.

Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan Predictions for NCAAB on FOX, 1/23

Throughout the season, Michigan has established itself as one of the most efficient teams in the nation. Conversely, Ohio State has depended significantly on its backcourt for offensive production and has shown considerable inconsistency when playing away from home.

Although Michigan is undoubtedly the stronger team, Ohio State possesses enough perimeter talent to prevent a complete rout. So, where do our Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan predictions see the value at?

Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan Best Bet: Under 163.5 (-105 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Michigan’s raw scoring statistics are impressive, averaging more than 90 points per game; however, recent games indicate a significant change in the manner in which those points are accumulated. 

The Wolverines have adopted a more methodical offensive approach, focusing on half-court execution instead of relying on constant transition opportunities. In their game against Indiana earlier this week, they demonstrated efficient scoring but didn’t maintain a rapid pace, establishing a double-digit lead by halftime and managing the game effectively from that point onward.

Ohio State’s offensive characteristics further reinforce the expectation for an under outcome. The Buckeyes average slightly over 83 points per game, but this figure is inflated by strong shooting performances against less formidable opponents. 

When facing top-tier defenses, Ohio State has encountered difficulties in maintaining efficiency, particularly from long range. Michigan allows opponents to shoot only 30.1% from three-point territory and ranks among the nation’s elite in overall field-goal defense.

Ohio State’s recent victory against Minnesota needed overtime to surpass 80 points, and this was against a defense that’s considerably less disciplined than that of Michigan. Plus, the Buckeyes are ranked outside the top 100 in assists per game, a statistic that’s significant when facing a Michigan defense known for its ability to disrupt ball movement and compel isolation plays as the shot clock winds down.

Another crucial element is the pace of play. Neither team is among the fastest in the Big Ten, and rivalry matchups like this one often become tighter early on. Ohio State understands that winning a shootout is not feasible, so we can anticipate the Buckeyes focusing on defensive rebounding and managing the clock, even if it means a reduction in offensive aggression.

Michigan’s offense hasn’t been poor, but it’s been selective. Recently, turnovers have increased, and although the Wolverines continue to be exceptional shooters, they’ve adopted a more patient approach in seeking high-quality scoring opportunities instead of forcing the tempo. This patience inherently reduces the number of possessions, which is just the angle we’re searching for..

Even if Michigan reaches its season average, Ohio State would have to significantly exceed offensive expectations to elevate this game’s total. Considering Michigan’s defensive stats, Ohio State’s dependence on guard-oriented scoring, and the probability of a controlled second half, this type of outcome seems improbable.

The total is set as if both teams will operate at peak efficiency for the entire 40 minutes. A more plausible scenario involves Michigan gradually pulling ahead while Ohio State finds it challenging to maintain offensive pace. This situation makes betting on Under 163.5 the most favorable option available, according to our Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan predictions.

How To Watch Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan NCAAB on FOX

• Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Location: Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
• TV: FOX

Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

Following the release of our Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan predictions, we’re pleased to present the latest Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan odds from FanDuel Sportsbook for this exciting matchup:

• Money Line (ML): Buckeyes +980 | Wolverines -2000
• Spread: Buckeyes +15.5 (-110) | Wolverines -15.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Ohio St. vs. #3 Michigan Injury Report & Latest News

Ohio State Injury Report

• B. Noel (F) – Questionable, Foot
• M. Herro (G) – Out, Redshirt
• J. Ojianwuna (F) – Questionable, Knee

Michigan Injury Report

• R. Liburd (G-F) – Out, Redshirt

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