Fantasy Football ADP Risers & Fallers: Aug. 12
Ryan Hallam takes a look at the fantasy football landscape and gives us an idea who's rising and who's falling in drafts.
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If there is one word I wish for the Fantasy Alarm Community to remember after the first week of preseason games it would be overreaction! There was plenty of it in the offseason based on “news” that came out over the Spring and early Summer, but now that there are actual games to watch, the overreaction will continue. Remember, most teams played their starters one series, if at all. Next week’s games will be much better barometers of each team’s intention with their players. However, it wasn’t all garbage this weekend, and below are three risers and three fallers in ADP in the last few days, as well as one to watch in the near future.
Kyler Murray , QB, Arizona Cardinals
Just when you think the hype train can’t get any more momentum, please watch Murray’s preseason debut. The kid looked poised, showed a strong arm, and the ability to get out of trouble with his legs. The Kliff Kingsbury offense sure looks nothing like what the Cards were running last year and that is good news. It is tough to trust a rookie quarterback as your every week starter in fantasy football, however with the depth at the position this season you can take a chance on Murray, and still get a Philip Rivers /Tom Brady /Dak Prescott later in the draft for stability. Murray is now going among the top 12 fantasy quarterbacks and he could easily crack the top ten after this performance. If you want to get on board, draft accordingly.
Devin Singletary , RB, Buffalo Bills
Sure he might have two long time NFL veterans in front of him in Frank Gore and LeSean McCoy , but let’s be honest, McCoy is shot. He barely averaged three yards a carry last season, and rumors of his trade or release have been around all summer. While Gore still was productive last season, he is 36-years old, and his best days are behind him. Singletary looked exciting in the first preseason game. At times he used his smaller 5’7” frame to elude tacklers, and his agility was impressive. However, he also was able to show some power for a man that size, and often wasn’t taken down by the first tackler. His three catches in the first preseason game shows his versatility as a back as well, and he could easily be the starter within the first month. McCoy’s ADP continues to fall, while Singletary’s arrow is certainly pointing up.
Preston Williams, WR, Miami Dolphins.
The undrafted rookie has been the talk of Dolphins training camp all summer long. He backed up all of that talk when he tallied four catches for 97 yards in his preseason debut. You can’t overreact to preseason at times, but if you saw the game there was a lot to like. He caught a pass near the ground, he made a one handed catch on a 36 yard throw and he went up and over the defense for another long grab. These may not all have been against first team defenses, but the skills are evident.
Antonio Brown , WR, Oakland Raiders
This saga just keeps getting weirder. First reports were that Brown was missing from Raiders camp and they had no idea where he was. Then he was dealing with a foot injury stemming from frostbite from not wearing correct footwear in a cryotherapy treatment. Now, Brown is complaining about the helmet that the NFL requires him to wear, stating that it hinders his field of vision. He has said that he will not wear this new helmet, and if he is forced to, he will sue the NFL if he suffers a head injury wearing it. While the Raiders are publicly supporting him, this has to be the last thing they need. There are 1,698 active players in the NFL, and Brown is the only one who is making a big deal out of this. He has gone from quirky to becoming a real problem to deal with. This has to make Tyrell Williams at least a little more attractive. Can’t wait for the next episode of Hard Knocks.
Andrew Luck , QB, Indianapolis Colts
Stop me if you’ve seen this before. Andrew Luck has an injury in the preseason, and it isn’t getting better. While Luck still says that he will be ready for Week 1, it has to concern fantasy owners that he isn’t going to practice still this week, and his availability for the second preseason game is certainly in jeopardy. His drop in ADP hasn’t been dramatic as of yet, but if this lingers another week, being drafted as the fourth or fifth quarterback certainly isn’t out of the realm of possibility. If this does heal in time for the opener, or even the fourth preseason game, getting Luck two or three rounds later will be one of the better bargains in fantasy football this season. It will be your desire to take on the risk that will determine if you draft Luck or not in the coming days.
Keke Coutee , WR, Houston Texans
After only being able to play six games in 2018 due to injuries, it was disconcerting to see Coutee leave the first preseason game with an ankle injury. Many fantasy players have high hopes for him as a third receiver on what should be a powerful Houston offense, especially since their second receiver (Will Fuller ) is also oft-injured. The diagnosis hasn’t been official yet, but it certainly didn’t look good as the ankle rolled underneath him as he was being tackled. For what it’s worth he had posted on Twitter that it was just a mild setback, but that tweet was deleted. Coutee was a very popular sleeper a week ago, but his ADP is certain to drop from this news.
Stock to Watch
Rashard Higgins , WR, Cleveland Browns
With all around putrid quarterback play in his first two seasons, it isn’t surprising if you don’t know much about Higgins yet. He had three solid games in December with Baker Mayfield at quarterback to the tune of 200 yards and a touchdown. He looked to be the fourth receiver, but with Antonio Callaway ’s double whammy of a high ankle sprain and a four-game suspension, this gives Higgins a third receiver role on the team. Odell Beckham hasn’t exactly been the picture of health in his career either, so who knows what kind of role Higgins might play himself into. “Hollywood” Higgins got off to a great start with five catches and 98 yards with a score in the preseason opener, and could be worth a dart throw at the end of drafts with a chance of being more.
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P. Barber - RB
Peyton Barber rushed 11 times for 57 yards in Washington's Week 12 win over the Cowboys.
Most of these touches came in garbage time. This is completely Antonio Gibson's backfield on early downs and possibly on passing downs, too.
Added 8:54 pm (EST)
D. Inman - WR
Dontrelle Inman caught his only target for 15 yards in Washington's Week 12 win over the Cowboys.
Washington is using a heavy rotation behind Terry McLaurin at receiver. Inman led that group in receiving yards, but it was only 15 yards. Cam Sims, Steven Sims, Isaiah Wright, and Inman are all off the radar with the offense condensing on McLaurin and Antonio Gibson.
Added 8:50 pm (EST)
J.D. McKissic caught 2-of-2 targets for 21 yards in Washington's Week 12 win over the Cowboys.
McKissic only handled one carry and didn't get those cheap check-down targets with Washington leading in the second half. Perhaps a sign that McKissic's RB2/3 value is a thing of the past, Antonio Gibson received 27 opportunities, including seven targets. Gibson frankly deserves more reps on passing downs, which comes at the expensive of our PPR cheat code. Washington will be big dogs in Pittsburgh next week, but McKissic's script-based floor has been pulled out from under him. He's a boom-bust RB2/3 play in PPR formats.
Added 8:43 pm (EST)
Terry McLaurin caught 7-of-9 targets for 92 yards in Washington's Week 12 win over the Cowboys.
It doesn't count for fantasy, but McLaurin saved a would-be Cowboys touchdown on an interception with a D.K. Metcalf-like hawking. These type of plays are why the organization made him a team captain in his second NFL season. McLaurin also worked his way open all day long against an injured and straight-up bad Cowboys secondary. Alex Smith has reverted back to a quality back-end NFL starter after adjusting his game on his healed leg. McLaurin has earned every-week WR2 status regardless of matchup. Washington will play next in Pittsburgh.
Added 8:39 pm (EST)
Logan Thomas caught 4-of-4 targets for 20 yards and one touchdown in the Football Team's Week 12 win over the Cowboys.
Thomas found space in the end zone for his fourth touchdown of the year. He's maxed out as a high-end TE2 despite being top-five in routes run just about every week. The Washington offense runs through Terry McLaurin and their running backs right now. Thomas needs a touchdown to pay off as a streamer. That'll be a tough ask against the Steelers in Week 13.
Added 8:35 pm (EST)
Tony Pollard rushed four times for 12 yards and caught his two targets for 10 yards in the Cowboys' Week 12 loss to Washington.
Pollard simply wasn't very involved despite getting very little out of Ezekiel Elliott, who averaged 3.2 yards per carry and lost another inexcusable fumble. Pollard arguably offers more explosion, but he's nothing more than an insurance option while Zeke is healthy.
Added 8:32 pm (EST)
Dalton Schultz caught 5-of-5 targets for 24 yards in the Cowboys' Week 12 loss to Washnigton.
Schultz runs a route on most passing plays and continues to see 5-8 targets weekly, but his upside is capped by the Cowboys' flawed offense. Schultz's floor has certainly settled him as an every-week TE2 even with the NFL almost done with it's bye weeks. The Cowboys are likely to be trailing on a lot of their second-half plays. Dallas will be big road dogs to the Ravens in Week 13.
Added 8:29 pm (EST)
CeeDee Lamb caught 5-of-7 targets for 21 yards in the Cowboys' Week 12 loss to Washington.
A week after one of the best catches of the year, Lamb had a bad touchdown drop in the red zone. It was a classic rookie mistake, something Lamb has mostly avoided after being selected 17th overall. Lamb has star potential long term, but he needs more stability than what Dallas currently offers to be a must-start in fantasy. The Cowboys are likely in trouble next week against the Ravens in Baltimore. They could be without both of their starting offensive tackles.
Added 8:24 pm (EST)