Week 7 NFL DFS is going to be a lot of fun. I mean, do you see some of the games and matchups we get? Chargers vs. Chiefs. Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams get a weak Pittsburgh secondary. Divisional showdowns. Oh, and we have six teams on bye! By taking a look at projected game and team totals, as well as our NFL DFS Week 7 player projections, we’ll get a good look at how we can best optimize the wide receiver position in our NFL DFS lineups. From superstar receivers to top NFL DFS stacks, the NFL DFS WR Coach will have multiple plays at various pricing tiers to help construct your lineups.
Without further ado, let’s dive into this week’s DFS WR Coach, highlighting the top plays, values, and fades at the wide receiver position to help build your NFL DFS lineups for Sunday’s main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Be sure to check out the rest of the NFL DFS Coaches and DFS Watch List throughout the week!
NFL DFS WR Top Tier Picks
How do you not play Kupp, regardless of matchup? Since returning from this hamstring injury, he’s logged 95 percent and 100 percent of the offensive snaps in his two games, putting up 15 receptions on 21 targets for 266 yards and a touchdown. The Steelers have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season, and they’ve been rather generous to slot receivers in particular. You won’t be disappointed when paying up for Kupp, as he has quickly re-established his dominance.
Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots want to try to take away your best weapon, but since Diggs joined the Bills, they haven’t been able to stop him. Excluding the playoff game against the Patriots a few years back, Diggs has six touchdowns in six games against the Patriots as a member of the Bills, while logging at least six receptions and 85+ yards in five of those games! Buffalo’s top wideout is averaging 11 targets per game this season, and he has 100 or more receiving yards in five of six games this year. He’s worth every penny.
As I mentioned with Kupp, the Steelers have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season, and while Nacua was quiet last week, the Steelers’ outside corners have not been great this season. Nacua should see a good bit of Levi Wallace and Patrick Peterson, who grade out as the 93rd and 77th cornerback in the NFL (out of 112 CBs), per PFF.
He dropped a touchdown pass last week that would have made his overall numbers better than what they ended up, but he continues to run a ton of routes and the Rams won’t run the ball 1,872 times in the second half like they did last week. The Rams should air it out early and often, and Nacua (and Kupp) stand to gain the most from that..
NFL DFS WR Mid-Tier Picks
The Colts have been horrible against perimeter wide receivers this season, and Cooper will feast on this secondary. The hope is that Deshaun Watson is back under center, but Cooper showed that he can still put up numbers with average (at best) quarterback play. With P.J. Walker under center, Cooper went for 108 yards against the 49ers defense, and this matchup should be easier for the star wideout. Keep an eye out throughout the week to see who figures to be under center in Week 7 for the Browns.
No receiver has more receptions (and targets) on screen passes than Flowers, as Baltimore actively attempts to get him involved as much as they can. He can win on other routes, but he’s elusive with the ball in his hands and that should play well against a Detroit defense that has struggled against slot receivers. Flowers gets into the slot a good bit, and I expect him to make his mark on the game on those reps in particular. Flowers is averaging eight targets and one rushing attempt per game, and Baltimore will need to score some point in this one. He found the end zone for the first time as a rookie last week, and now he’ll look to extend his touchdown streak to two games.
Seattle is bleeding fantasy points to wide receivers this season, and in fact, they have allowed the most fantasy points per game to the position! I know this Arizona offense isn’t the most high-octane passing attack you’ve ever seen, but the one constant in the passing game is Marquise Brown. He’s averaging over 10 targets per game the past three weeks, and he has 60+ yards or a touchdown in four of his last five games. If you need to save some money, Michael Wilson is the preferred play, but if you have the extra funds, this could be Brown’s biggest game of the season thus far.
Both of the Chiefs-Chargers games last year surpassed 50 points, and Palmer had a massive game in one of those contests. With no Mike Williams, Palmer has taken a larger role, and effectively serves as the WR2 behind Keenan Allen. I won’t fault anyone for looking to Allen this week, but on a point-per-dollar basis, Palmer is the guy for me in this one. While Palmer went for just 60 yards on four grabs last week, he had a touchdown and a few other receptions nullified by a penalty and was open on another end zone target that Justin Herbert missed him on. Palmer has at least seven targets and 60 yards in three straight games, and the Chargers will have to score in this contest.
You’ll want a Green Bay receiver against this porous Denver secondary, so why not take a chance on Watson? He figures to see the most of Damarri Mathis, who has easily been one of the worst corners in the league. Mathis hsa allowed 13.4 yards per reception this season, per PFF, including four touchdowns, a 143.4 passer rating when targeted, and a handful of missed tackles in coverage. In his second game back from injury he posted a 3.14 yards per route run mark, and held a very healthy 26.7 average depth of target (aDOT), per PFF. I’m taking a chance on Watson in GPPs, hoping that he can put up a monster game against this Denver secondary.
NFL DFS WR Value Picks
Rice had four grabs for a season-high 72 yards against the Broncos this past week, and not only was his 49 percent snap share his second-highest mark of the season, but he’s now logged at least 45 percent of the snaps in three of his last four. He leads Kansas City’s receiver in yards after the catch and yards per route run (2.75), per PFF.
In fact, Rice’s 7.0 yards after catch per reception is the fifth-highest mark in the league amongst wide receivers with at least 20 targets this season. This is a great matchup for Rice as well, as the Chargers have been handing out fantasy points to wideouts left and right, and it’s becoming more and more clear that Kansas City needs to get the ball in the hands of their rookie wideout.
He continues to get plenty of run in the offense, and Wilson has 56 or more receiving yards in four of his last five games. The number of targets he gets has fluctuated a bit, but he’s out there and has a very reliable route participation metric. He primarily plays out wide, though he will go into the slot on occasion, and he draws a juicy matchup against a Seattle defense that has allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers this season! He’s sub-$4,000 on DraftKings, and I love the value and upside he presents in this Week 7 NFC West battle of the birds.
Samuel is getting enough run for the Commanders and his production has been steady of late. Sure, he may only be averaging 5.8 targets per game over the last four weeks, but he’s found the end zone three times and has 50+ receiving yards in three of those four games. The Giants stink, so he finds himself in a good matchup here, though the price point is far more attractive on DraftKings (8% of budget) than FanDuel (10.67% of budget.
Furthermore, he’s actually the third-highest-priced Washington receiver on DraftKings, coming in at $4,000 and $600 cheaper than Jahan Dotson. However, on FanDuel, he comes in at $6,400 and a whopping $1,000 more than Dotson.
I don’t fancy myself recommending Patriots wideouts, especially with the way the team has been playing. However, I’m trusting the numbers here, and looking to Bourne, who is coming off a big game against the Raiders where he caught 10 balls for 89 yards and added four yards on the ground. The Bills haven’t been handing out fantasy points left and right to receivers, but one could argue that Bourne will have the best matchup out of the slot.
His 32 snaps in the slot in Week 6 were the most he’s logged in a game this season, per PFF, even though he tends to operate more as a short-yardage possession receiver on his slot reps. Buffalo’s Taron Johnson has allowed all 13 of his slot targets to be caught this season, per PFF, not to mention a 104.5 passer rating when targeted. He’s a dart throw GPP option at best.
Is Smith-Njigba going to be the latest beneficiary of the post-bye rookie breakout? His 48 yards against the Bengals in Week 6 were a season-high for the former Ohio State standout, but more importantly, he logged 72 percent of the offensive snaps, which was far and away his highest number. The Cardinals have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the last four weeks, and with no DK Metcalf, it’s the rookie’s time to shine.
NFL DFS WR Fades
I know he just had a big game, but that won’t be the case this week. No defense has been tougher on wide receivers this year than the Cleveland Browns, and if they run a ton of man coverage like they did last week, Pittman’s numbers may take a bit of a hit. The majority of his numbers, like reception percentage, yards per route run, and passer rating when targeted, per PFF, are better when facing zone coverage.