The name Dallas Goedert doesn’t evoke much conversation anymore, as he’s been in the league for seven seasons and has been fine for fantasy with flashes of efficiency. He’s still the distant third option on this Eagles’ juggernaut of an offense that features A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Saquon Barkley, and Jalen Hurts’ arm and legs.

After the elite options and then the next tier down of vets and rookie upside stabs like Tyler Warren and Colston Loveland, Goedert’s average draft position has him outside the top-12 options and is somewhat neglected by fantasy managers. To me, Goedert in fantasy football for 2025 is pretty underpriced for what he is. What exactly is he? Well, I can’t just up and spoil that in the intro, can I?

Let’s get into the bull case for Goedert’s TE fantasy outlook in 2025 and why his tight end profile represents an undervalued, underappreciated, and honestly, underutilized asset for fantasy managers this season. Let’s go into Goedert in fantasy football for 2025.

 

 

 

2024 Production And Role

One of Goedert’s main problems as a fantasy asset and NFL player has been his health, as he hasn’t played a full campaign since his rookie season in 2018. That said, he’s been a good fantasy asset when he has played in a fantasy points per game as well as on a per-route basis. He’s been a top-12 tight end in every single season he’s played in his career, but the injuries… well, what if Goedert DOESN’T get hurt? To take a phrase from Andrew Cooper, we can’t be Johnny Fortune-Teller and think we can predict injuries. I don’t care that he’s missed time. Draft a second tight end and get some insurance if you’re worried to that degree! That’s what the Yin/Yang Tight End Strategy is for.

Last season, the Eagles finished the 2024 regular season with just 448 pass attempts as a team, the third-lowest amount by any team since 2021, when the NFL moved to a 17-game schedule. It’s hard to earn target volume when you pass under 450 times in a season, but the efficiency was absolutely there for Goedert in the limited games he played. Goedert averaged 9.7 yards per target, over two fantasy points per target, and 5.1 targets per game last season — all right in line with his best seasons as a pro.

 

 

 

Offensive Scheme And Target Share

Last season, Goedert missed seven games, and his role was as secure as ever when he was healthy. In the always-condensed Eagles offense, it’s the trio of A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert as the clear top three targets. Nobody else is involved to a meaningful degree in the Eagles’ passing game.

Among Eagles’ pass-catchers who ran at least 150 routes last season, the trio of tight end Grant Calcaterra and wide receivers Jahan Dotson and Johnny Wilson were afterthoughts when they were on the field. And that’s with Brown and Smith both missing three games and Goedert missing seven. It didn’t matter. Calcaterra, Dotson, and Wilson stink. Out loud. All three earned a target on 10 percent or less of their routes and were out there basically getting exercise, while the trio of Brown, Smith, and Goedert earned targets on at least 20 percent or more of their routes. Saquon Barkley also finished the season with a career-low 39 targets in a full season, which contributed even more to the targets condensing to Brown, Smith, and Goedert.

With the Eagles devoting most of their resources to the run game as the only team in the NFL last season that ran the ball more than they passed, the passing volume is divided into big pieces at the adults’ table, and thankfully, Goedert is a key part of that table and will remain that way. It’s going to have to remain that way if Goedert in fantasy football for 2025 is going to be a clear value above his current sub-top-12 ADP at tight end.

 

 

 

2025 Fantasy Projections: Projections And Expectations

People are going into drafts assuming the Eagles are going to be the same team as 2024, like you can just copy and paste 2024 into 2025. It’s why people are drafting Barkley in the top half of the first round after touching the ball 482 times last season. It’s why people continually sleep on players like Goedert and reach for players that disappoint fantasy managers time and time again, like Kyle Pitts and Dalton Kincaid.

The most likely scenario in the range of outcomes for the 2025 Philadelphia Eagles and for the bull case for Goedert in fantasy football for 2025 is that week-to-week variance will likely add some passing attempts to the Eagles’ ledger. 448 team pass attempts is a historically LOW number and very unlikely to be repeated in 2025. Even adding 30-to-40 passing attempts — which doesn’t seem like much — still adds a ton of value and fantasy scoring to the passing game weapons. The Eagles could add even 60-to-70 team pass attempts just by being in not as many positive game scripts — that’s 3.3 to 3.8 pass attempts more per game — and still be a very run-focused team. A lot can break right for the passing game that would be a huge net positive for the pass catchers, and especially Goedert.

Something that’s also lost on fantasy drafters is that because this Eagles’ offense is so condensed to Brown, Smith, and Goedert, Goedert has absolutely massive contingent value if one of Brown or Smith misses time. In Week 3, Goedert put up his best game of the season: 10 receptions for 170 yards and finishing TE1 on the week. Brown missed that game. He also missed Week 4, so Goedert put up a very respectable 7-62 line on nine targets. That is the contingent upside Goedert possesses. Imagine that with MORE passing volume in 2025. That would make Goedert in fantasy football for 2025 a crazy value, an every-week starter, and an easy top-six option at tight end.

Also, we haven’t talked about touchdown variance by his quarterback, Jalen Hurts, and Barkley on the ground. Hurts only threw 18 touchdown passes last season, and as a team, the Eagles had just 24 passing touchdowns — the lowest team total since the 2015 Denver Broncos by a Super Bowl winner. In contrast, Philadelphia combined for 29 rushing touchdowns, with Hurts and Barkley combining for 27. We talk about touchdowns not being a year-to-year sticky statistic, and that’s something that can fluctuate to the benefit of the passing game as well.

There are a ton of factors that can lead to a boom season for Goedert in fantasy football for 2025, and it doesn’t really take much if you get a little bit from each bucket: touchdown variance both on the ground and through the air, more passing volume thanks to game-script variance, and some good luck in the health department. A lot of the negatives are baked into Goedert’s draft day price outside of the top 12, and it won’t take much to help him be a value at cost with his tight end profile.

 

 

 

Draft Strategy For Dallas Goedert

It's no secret that the court of public opinion and also draft analysis isn’t exactly too keen on Goedert as a fantasy asset, and one of the things propping him up with that public perception is his name value, having been around for more than a half-dozen NFL seasons. That said, Goedert in fantasy football for 2025 is a “break glass in case of emergency” in drafts if you miss out on other options in drafts.

Goedert is a key asset in managed leagues, as you’ll be able to start him when fully healthy, or make him a priority start in those same leagues if one of A.J. Brown or DeVonta Smith misses a week. Goedert’s startability is very cut and dry in redraft leagues. In best ball, he’s still a fine start, but he’ll go a bit lower as the draft analysis gives Goedert the perception of the “boring veteran tight end” in the same mold as Hunter Henry. Like Henry, you’re going to find that the upside still plays for Goedert in fantasy football for 2025 as a vital part of one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL.

For 2025’ TE fantasy outlook for Goedert, he has a lot going for him still. His placement amongst the tight ends in fantasy football signals a pretty massive tier break, where, after him, there are not many high-upside options capable of carrying your team in a given week like Goedert in fantasy football for 2025. He’s a solid pick at cost in the double-digit rounds, and when paired with a young, upside tight end, he can carry his weight for your squad. If you hit on some passing volume spikes and touchdown variance for the Eagles in 2025, even better!