It is time for Sunday baseball! Today we have a 9-game main slate on both DraftKings and FanDuel starting at 1:35 PM EST. Both the game in Coors and Mexico City (which seems to be quite the offensive launching pad as well) are not on the main slate, so you don’t have to worry about the impact of them in the lineups. After his start got pushed, we finally have Spencer Strider pitching today, and it looks like the rain should stay away enough not to mess with his game. Unlike when he was originally supposed to take the mound, there are some other top pitchers joining him today, with Drew Rasmussen, Sonny Gray, and Nestor Cortes all taking the mound. Plenty of exciting offenses are highlighted in this slate as well, so let’s dive into the playbook. Be sure to check in with our MLB DFS Tools, with the daily MLB projections, MLB DFS rostership projections, and our MLB DFS Lineup Generator when building those lineups today to help you decide which players you should be targeting!

 

MLB DFS Playbook April 30

MLB Weather Updates

Possible rain in a few games; none look to be at risk of being postponed, but keep an eye on these games as we get closer to game time:

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox

DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts

I love the top three pitchers of Spencer Strider, Drew Rasmussen, and Sonny Gray today (I do rank them in that order). They are spendy, though, so it would be difficult to double up on them at the top. I would rather pick one of them and pair them with one of the cheaper pitcher options, such as the two I have highlighted as my favorite starters. You could also go with both cheaper pitchers to spend up on your hitters, but it is a lot of upsides you are leaving on the table by not getting a share of those top pitchers. My favorite offenses of the day are the Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles, and the Toronto Blue Jays. Keep an eye on the rain today, but it doesn’t seem like any of the games are going to be postponed. 

Recommended DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options for Strikeouts

Spencer Strider vs New York Mets

Nestor Cortes vs Texas Rangers

Sonny Gray vs Kansas City Royals

Brady Singer vs Minnesota Twins

Best Odds for a Win

Sonny Gray vs Kansas City Royals

Drew Rasmussen vs Chicago White Sox

Spencer Strider vs New York Mets

Chris Bassitt vs Seattle Mariners

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Favorite Starters to Use for DFS Lineups

Brady Singer, Kansas City Royals

Brady Singer has not been very good this season, but it is only 5 starts and I still believe in Singer as a pitcher. He had a fantastic season for the Royals last year and I think this is just a slow start for him. He settled in a little bit in his last start getting a quality start by only giving up 1 run to the Arizona Diamondbacks off 5 hits and striking out 5 in 6 innings of work. Minnesota is a decent offense but not terrifying and I am betting on Singer to continue to get back on track today in this start. 

Logan Allen, Cleveland Guardians

Logan Allen excelled in his debut. He went 6 innings, giving up only 1 earned run off 5 hits and 1 walk while striking out 8. It was against the Miami Marlins and today he has to face the Boston Red Sox, which is a much taller task, but I think he is up for it. He has great command and if his secondaries are working, he can get some strikeouts, as we saw against the Marlins. There is quite a bit of risk here because the Red Sox are still a pretty solid offense, but at such a low price, I have high hopes for the rookie to get another good start here today. 

Recommended DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals 

Tampa Bay Rays vs Mike Clevinger

Toronto Blue Jays vs Marco Gonzales

Boston Red Sox vs Logan Allen

Milwaukee Brewers vs Jose Suarez

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Favorite Hitters to Use for DFS Lineups

Brandon Lowe, 2B Tampa Bay Rays

Brandon Lowe is coming off a bit of a cold streak. Last week he had a 4-game stretch where he went 0 for 16 with 10 strikeouts, highlighted by a 5-strikeout game against the Houston Astros. He then broke out of it with a 3 hit game, including a home run, and I am confident that was a sign of him starting to get back on track. Brandon Lowe struggled with health last year, which both kept him off the field, but also impacted his numbers when he did play. He is already only one homerun shy of the total of 8 he had last year through 65 games. I bit of a cold streak doesn’t shy me away, and I still think he is one of the best-hitting second basemen in the game and gets a solid matchup today facing Mike Clevinger of the Chicago White Sox.

Gunnar Henderson, 3B/SS Baltimore Orioles

Despite Gunnar Henderson having a .194 average and striking out a third this season, he still has an OBP of .357. Gunnar has great plate discipline and, even with a slow start, is providing value for the Orioles. As he continues to get more comfortable facing major league pitching, he will start making more contact and will still likely turn into an incredible hitter for the Orioles. Getting to face Spencer Turnbull today should help him out, as lefties are slashing .294/.357/.529 against him this year. 

Josh Lowe, OF Tampa Bay Rays

I am going after both Lowe’s in Tampa Bay today (though they are pronounced differently). Brandon Lowe has been fantastic this year, but it isn’t even close to what Josh Lowe has done against right-handers, with the fifth-highest wRC+ against right-handers in the majors. Josh Lowe hit another home run last night and continues to be fully locked in at the plate. He has power and speed upside and is turning into a staple of this red-hot Rays offense. What I already highlighted as a good matchup against Clevinger should hold true for all the Tampa lefty bats, especially Josh Lowe.

Jack Suwinski, OF Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates are facing Josiah Gray today, who seems to have figured things out a bit more with a great start in his last outing, where he threw 6 shutout innings against the New York Mets with 9 strikeouts. I think Gray will pitch well enough that I am not targeting too many Pirates today, but I would target Jack Suwinski against pretty much any right-handed pitcher at this point. He has a 1.129 OPS against righties this season and is currently riding a 5-game hit streak. 

Player Pool

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Stacks

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