Welcome to another day of MLB DFS here at Fantasy Alarm. We get a solid 8-game main slate on both DraftKings and FanDuel kicking off at 7:05 PM EST.

 

 

This slate has mostly clear weather, aside from the wind and rain heading to the game between the White Sox and Royals, and the severe winds in the game between the Rays and Rockies, being played in Coors Field.

With that being said, let’s dive into the slate and see what we can find for top spends and value plays. 

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MLB DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook 

MLB Weather: Today, 4/6

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals

There is rain in the forecast that will get worse as the game goes on, with 20 mph wind. It is very possible the game will not finish so keep an eye on this one as we get closer to the first pitch.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies

There is no rain in the forecast but conditions are VERY windy with sustained 35-40mph winds.


MLB DFS Lineup Construction Thoughts

We don’t have the best pitching options on this slate, but there are a few solid plays. The Rockies are playing in Coors which will, as always, heavily influence how we construct lineups. We just saw 17 runs scored on Friday night and with more wind in the forecast, it could be another high-scoring game.


There are many directions we can go on the offensive side, but my favorite is going to be the Kansas City Royals who will see a terrible pitcher in Chris Flexen on the opposing mound.

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Starting Pitchers

Top Options for Strikeouts

Best Odds for a Win

Reid Detmers vs. Boston Red Sox

Keaton Winn vs.San Diego Padres

Jon Gray vs. Houston Astros

Core MLB DFS Pitchers

Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays

Kevin Gausman found himself on a pitch limit in his first start, being pulled after throwing just 69 pitches. We can expect the Blue Jays to ramp this up in his upcoming starts, but we have to consider the possibility he doesn’t go very deep in this game.

He was still able to strikeout six batters through four innings, allowing two hits and a run. The Yankees struggled against right-handed pitchers last season, holding the fourth-worst wOBA of .297 with a 24.2% strikeout rate. He’s going to have to deal with Juan Soto and Aaron Judge which is scary, but he is a true ace and has the stuff to get it done. It’s a little difficult to justify his price tag with possible pitch limitations, so I like him more if you make multiple lineups.

Garrett Whitlock, Boston Red Sox

You can play the pitcher on either side of this game, but the Red Sox bats woke up Friday night, hitting five home runs, so I am on the Whitlock side. Boston’s pitchers have looked very strong so far this season, including Whitlock who tossed five innings in his opener with eight strikeouts while allowing one run.

Seattle proved to be a soft matchup and he looks to be in for another here against a weak Angels lineup, holding a .276 wOBA and 26.1% strikeout rate against righties. Logan O’Hoppe did hit a grand slam in Friday’s game, but the only scary bat he needs to deal with is that of Mike Trout.

Clarke Schmidt, New York Yankees

Clarke Schmidt is an interesting value arm on this slate. He’s not the most efficient pitcher in baseball, but he has his moments. He allowed three runs on seven hits in his first start but that was against a strong Astros lineup.

In 2024’s small sample size, the Toronto Blue Jays rank dead last in wOBA against right-handed pitchers at .233 while carrying a 22.7% strikeout rate. They do have some strong bats on the roster but while they continue to struggle, Schmidt could be in line for a solid outing at a value price.

Michael Wacha, Kansas City Royals

Michael Wacha was surprisingly solid last season, tossing 134 innings with a 3.22 ERA for the Padres. He doesn’t have the biggest strikeout upside, only holding a 7.83 k/9 over his last two seasons, but he draws a good matchup against the White Sox. He only went five innings in his first start but, he held a strong Baltimore lineup to just three hits with one run earned in his first start.

Rosters have changed since last year, but in 2023 Chicago ranked dead last in wOBA with a .290 on the season. They do have some power, but with Eloy Jimenez and their biggest weapon Luis Robert set to miss this game, Wacha should be able to navigate his way to a quality start. While I don’t love his price tag, he’s in a favorable spot.

 

 

Recommended MLB DFS Hitters

Highest Expected Run Totals  

Tampa Bay Rays (6.8) vs Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies (6.0) vs Tampa Bay Rays

Atlanta Braves (5.5) vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Kansas City Royals (5.3) vs Chicago White Sox


 

Core MLB DFS Hitters

Note: Will Be Updated as Official Starting Lineups Are Released

Bobby Witt Jr, Salvador Perez, Kansas City Royals

Now, there is going to be a ton of wind in this game and rain as the game goes on, but Bobby Witt and Salvador Perez are in great spots here. The White Sox are starting Chris Flexen who was one of our favorite pitchers to attack during his dreadful season last year. In 2023 he allowed a .432 wOBA and .625 SLG to right-handed bats while giving up 18 home runs. 

In 2023, Witt hit 22 of his 30 home runs off righties, while Perez hit 18 of his 23. Witt has a ton of power and has stolen base upside any time he’s on base, giving Salvy great RBI potential. He has three multi-hit games in his last four and with Flexen on the mound, I like stacking both players.

Tyler O’Neill, OF, Boston Red Sox

Tyler O’Neill has looked incredible since joining the Red Sox, now with four home runs on the year, including a double home run game on Friday night. He holds a career .208 ISO against southpaws and though Detmers has looked good, he’s hitting the ball too well to ignore.

He has a career-high of 34 home runs so we know what he is capable of in a full season. The only drawback is he’s difficult to stack with as Detmers is a lefty and the Red Sox lineup is filled with left-handed bats.

Blaze Alexander, 2B, Arizona Diamondbacks

With some great spend-ups on this slate and the price inflation from Coors Field, Blaze Alexander provides great salary relief. He's hitting 9th in a Diamondback lineup that has been pouring in runs, with one home run and three RBI on the year.

The Braves are starting Max Fried who looked atrocious in his season debut, allowing three runs without getting out of the first inning. Fried is a much better pitcher than he displayed in that start, so I don’t think he will be quite as bad, but he’s also going to have his hands full with an Arizona team that crushes lefties, holding a .432 wOBA with only a 14% strikeout rate.

Ezequiel Tovar, SS, Colorado Rockies

With Coors Field on the slate, Ezequiel Tovar presents a cheap way to get exposure to this game. The Colorado lineup has been anything but good, but Tovar has hits in four straight games, including a home run in Friday’s game in Coors.

Tovar hit 15 home runs in 2023 while holding a .186 ISO against left-handed pitchers. The Rays are starting Tyler Alexander who gave up two home runs in his first start against Toronto, which may help a struggling Colorado lineup. I prefer Tovar as a one-off rather than in a full Rockies stack, but this game could easily be blown open by the altitude and extremely high, sustained winds tonight.

 


 

Player Pool

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