Saturday’s EPL DFS Slate appears to be the most straightforward one we’ve had this season. Four of the bottom five teams in the Premier League table are in action Saturday and as you might expect, all four are significant underdogs. Perhaps because of that, the mid-tier players on both sites are as ugly as I recall. You’re either looking at the fourth or fifth option on one of the favorites for a solid player on a bad team that doesn’t figure to have the ball a whole lot.
That equation could change once the starting lineups are revealed, as Arsenal and Newcastle especially are dealing with injuries to their top attackers. I’ll be monitoring Arsenal most closely but any cheap starters could be especially valuable as we try to avoid the mid-priced landmines.
EPL DFS Soccer Picks November 11
Goalkeepers
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
David Raya
ARS
BRN
5900
7.41
13
9.07
You could talk me into pivoting to Nick Pope but Burnley has looked absolutely clueless against top-half sides and they are missing their only consistent attacking threat in Lyle Foster. Raya seems like the best bet by far for a win and I like his chances at a clean sheet as well.
Sam Johnstone
CRY
EVE
4900
7.07
11
9.23
Everton has not been quite as hopeless as the other underdogs on this slate, but they are 16th in the table for a reason. No team has kept more clean sheets than Crystal Palace and no team has allowed more clean sheets than Everton. There is a chance Johnstone matches the top-tier keepers at a discounted price.
Thomas Kaminski
LUT
MUN
3700
4.04
8
4.86
I don't think this is the slate to chase a cheap keeper but Kaminski looks like our best bet. Despite their name, Manchester United has a -4 goal differential, and in their last four games Luton has held the likes of Tottenham and Liverpool to one goal each. If they can do that again, I like Kaminski's chances of recording enough saves to provide some fantasy value.
Forwards
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Anthony Gordon
NEW
BOU
21
20.37
Gordon isn't as consistent as I would like for this price, but he is Newcastle's only healthy striker, and there is no denying this is a fantastic matchup. You could certainly argue he is an even better play with both Callum Wilson and Alexander Isak out.
Midfielders
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Gabriel Martinelli
ARS
BRN
9500
11.89
19
16.54
Martinelli is healthier than Bukayo Saka and Martin Odegaard and he looks like a better value. Martinelli would be a must-play if Saka is out or on the bench, as Martinelli would likely take over on corners.
Kai Havertz
ARS
BRN
3900
4.79
13
9.51
I would rather play Fabio Vieira or Reiss Nelson but Havertz is cheaper and is more likely to start. Havertz has been as inconsistent as ever since moving to Arsenal but with all of their injury woes, this will be his best chance yet to jump in the attack against the worst defense in the league.
Sean Longstaff
NEW
BOU
14
12.49
Miguel Almiron probably has more upside, and considering how friendly the matchup is, I'm fine if you want to save a buck and chase a goal. That being said, Longstaff is averaging 14.7 fantasy points in seven starts compared to 12.2 for Almiron.
Bruno Fernandes
MUN
LUT
10300
17.68
24
30.42
Fernandes is pretty clearly the safest player on the slate if Bukayo Saka is out. Fernandes doesn't have Saka's forward eligibility on DraftKings but he is $100 cheaper there.
Dwight McNeil
EVE
CRY
8000
10.39
17
16.85
The mid tier is quite ugly Saturday, especially on DraftKings. Barring some surprise starters, McNeil is the cheapest attacker that I still feel comfortable starting. McNeil has at least 14 DK fantasy points in four of his last six starts.
Midfielders
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Amadou Onana
EVE
CRY
4200
6.71
13
13.48
Onana has averaged 7.82 DK fantasy points in his last five games, and this is his cheapest price since August. He is safer than Kai Havertz, even if Havertz offers more upside.
Scott McTominay
MUN
LUT
4600
6.86
16
15.88
I'm not sure how much I believe in McTominay's recent production, but he's averaging 23.42 FD fantasy points in his last five games. He looks like one of the better mid-tier options on both sites.
Defenders
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Oleksandr Zinchenko
ARS
BRN
4800
6.24
9
8.38
Zinchenko isn't quite as consistent as I would like for this price, but he has at least 8.6 DK fantasy points in three of his last four starts. With such a great matchup, I would expect him to top that total yet again.
Vitalii Mykolenko
EVE
CRY
4900
9.04
15
22.56
Mykolenko has been fairly consistent, with at least 7.9 DK fantasy points in four of his last five starts. I'm not expecting another goal, but she should send in a handful of crosses with a shot or two for good measure.
Connor Roberts
BRN
ARS
3000
3.43
9
8.88
Roberts has been one of the lone bright spots of late for Burnley, with two crosses and five chances created in this last three games despite coming off the bench in one of those. This is a terrible matchup but Burnley has proven incapable of changing tactics to match its opponents, so Roberts should get forward often enough to return value on this meager price.
Gabriel Osho
LUT
MUN
2800
2.05
8
10.55
Both Osho and Teden Mengi were great against Liverpool last week, combining for 18 clearances. Manchester United is second to Liverpool in clearances allowed, so I expect big games from both Luton defenders Saturday. Mengi is arguably safer, but Osho is cheaper and looks like the better value.
Dara O'Shea
BRN
ARS
2800
4.19
12
15.80
O'Shea has been maligned by Burnley fans, but at least he is better than Ameen Al Dakhil. For fantasy, O'Shea has scored at least 14 FD fantasy points in five straight starts, topping 24 fantasy points in two of those. He looks like he is still too cheap if he remains in the starting lineup.