You know that person in your fantasy football league who always drafts a bunch of rookies every year? It seems like every league has (at least) one. How often does that person win? Not very often, right? That’s not to say that strategy never works; if you drafted Christian McCaffrey , Alvin Kamara , Kareem Hunt , JuJu Smith-Schuster and Evan Engram in 2017, that obviously worked out pretty well. If you drafted Royce Freeman , Rashaad Penny , Ronald Jones , Michael Gallup , James Washington , D.J. Moore or Mike Gesicki last season, you probably had a hard time making the playoffs. There is a time and a place for drafting most rookies, but as we mentioned above, there is usually at least one person in every league who does not want to wait for the appropriate time. More often than not, that is a mistake.

For both fantasy and NFL teams, rookies offer endless possibilities. When you have never seen a player fail, you can talk yourself into all kinds of potential, even if...