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Quarterback
Trevor Lawrence vs. SEA ($24)
Don’t let the lack of Jameis Winston’s success fool you; this Seattle secondary is not good. They’re 24th in pass DVOA on the year and have allowed the fourth most passing yards in the league. In fact, they’re allowing 294 passing yards per game. Lawrence had arguably his best game throwing the football the week before the bye week, the week the Jags won their first game. He figured out that when you feed your best players -- Laviska Shenault and Marvin Jones -- good things happen. It was his second 300 yard passing game and this week, against Seattle, could be his third. It hasn’t been a major line movement, but this game total that opened at 43 has risen to 45, which is actually tied for the second biggest move of the slate.
Running Back
Antonio Gibson vs. DEN ($17)
This, straight up, is one of the better plays of the entire slate on Yahoo! There is no reason Antonio Gibson should be $17. This is a game script that favors him, one that shouldn’t ever get out of hand where J.D. McKissic is handling as much work as Gibson is. The best news we could’ve gotten on the Gibson front is that he was able to log a FULL practice on Friday and isn’t even listed on the injury report heading into this Week 8 bout with Denver. On the year, this Denver defense that has looked good at times, has actually been bad against the run ranking 26th in rush DVOA. Denver has also really shut down the passing game for running backs and if McKissic proves to be ineffective, Gibson should be on the field more than we’ve seen in a while. He’s had two 20 carry performances this season and Sunday could very well mark the third.
Wide Receiver
Marvin Jones Jr. vs. SEA ($16)
I’m a big correlation guy, so obviously using Lawrence, I want a weapon of his paired with him. Considering this platform uses half-point PPR, Jones better suits our needs than someone like Laviska Shenault would. In five of the seven games this year, the Seahawks have allowed a 100 yard pass catcher, four times being a receiver and once against Alvin Kamara just last week. At times this week, Marvin Jones will be lining up across CB Sidney Jones, who’s the 119th best rated corner in coverage this year. That’s out of 121 qualified. Jones has targeted nine times or more on three separate occasions this year and he’s scored in each of those outings, the last time coming before the bye week, so that momentum should carry into this game.
Tee Higgins vs. NYJ ($16)
Everyone knows how big of a year Ja’Marr Chase is having and everyone knows by now how great their connection is and has been since college. The forgotten man is Tee Higgins and despite leading ALL receivers in targets a week ago, it’s like nobody cares. He had 15 targets in Week 7 and not a person in the world cares because Chase went over 200 yards. The Jets are 28th in pass DVOA and although this game should be in hand early, the Bengals should look Higgins’ way early and often here. Higgins has snuck into the end zone twice this year in the five games he’s played and scored six last year, so he knows how to find paydirt and Week 8 is going to get him back on track in that regard.
Tight End
Pat Freiermuth vs. CLE ($11)
The last time we saw the rookie take the field it was against the Seahawks in prime time and he caught all seven of his targets for 56 yards. Did he score? No, but he and Ben Roethlisberger were very clearly insync in this one and with Juju-Smith Schuster out for the year and Eric Ebron ruled out for Week 8, that connection could grow even stronger here. Cleveland hasn’t allowed a ton of production to the tight end spot, but they have allowed three touchdown receptions and if the Browns build a nice lead building their running game, the Steelers may be forced into a game script favoring the pass and favoring Freiermuth.
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