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Quarterback

Joe Burrow vs. Las Vegas ($28)

For one reason or another, Burrow is under $30 and I just don’t know why. In every game before Week 9 -- they were on a Week 10 bye -- Burrow had thrown at least two touchdowns. He’s riding a six-game streak in which he’s thrown for at least 250 yards and in five consecutive games, he notched at least 20 Y! points. He squares up against a Raiders team in complete disarray and one that was absolutely torched for five touchdowns through the air last week. This is one of three games currently with an over/under at or above 50 points. Las Vegas is 22nd in pass DVOA as well and as long as the Bengals offensive line can keep Burrow standing, he should pick this secondary apart on Sunday.

Running Back

AJ Dillion vs. Minnesota ($20)

Below Dillon there is not much quality value unless we found out someone like Elijah Mitchell -- who’s listed as doubtful -- isn’t going to play, then we’d immediately take a look at Jeff Wilson. Surprisingly, Dillon is only $20 and Aaron Jones will not be suiting up for this game, meaning Dillon is going to take on a MASSIVE workload. Dillon had 21 rushes and two scores when Jones left last week and there’s no reason to think a similar workload isn’t in line here. Minnesota has an awful rush defense ranking 28th in DVOA while allowing 101 yards per game. If Green Bay gets anywhere near the goal line they’ll feature Dillon heavily and it wouldn’t surprise to see him punch in a pair of scores here.

Wide Receiver

Tee Higgins vs. Las Vegas ($15)

We’re getting in some correlation with our quarterback because if Burrow is slinging the pigskin all around the yard, Higgins is going to be on the receiving end of a lot of them. As much as we praise Ja’Marr Chase and it’s warranted, Higgins and his monster rookie year has just been forgotten. He’s also not having a terrible sophomore year commanding a 24.1% target share up to this point. He hasn’t seen less than six targets since Week 1 and twice in his seven games played Higgins has seen double-digit targets. We want the touchdowns, I know, but if this game turns into the shootout the sportsbooks are projecting, the touchdowns will come.

Darnell Mooney vs. BAL ($15)

Despite the fact that Justin Fields hasn’t looked great as a passer, it’s been clear as day who his top target in his receiving corps is and that’s Darnell Mooney. As sad as it’s been to see Allen Robinson take a backseat, he has. Now, Robinson is listed as doubtful and if he’s out, it’ll only strengthen their connection. Mooney has had at least five targets in every game since Fields took over under center and has scored two touchdowns over his last four games. Mooney and his 4.38 40 speed is a big play waiting to happen and receivers have averaged 14.8 YP/rec against Baltimore this season. It’s hard to not love a guy with a 25.4% target share when the perceived number one option in the same offense is out. Hop on this rocket ship and head to the Moon-ey. I’ll see myself out.

Tight End

Adam Trautman vs. PHI ($10)

For the stone cold minimum salary you can get Adam Trautman against the Eagles defense. Why is that significant? Well, the Eagles have allowed 88 more yards than anybody else against tight ends, 15 more receptions than anyone else and two more touchdowns as well. In Yahoo’s scoring system, tight ends against Philly are averaging 16.1 FP/game, 1.2 more than anybody else. Trautman’s deployment continues to grow each week and he’s had at least six targets in each of the last three games. He hasn’t scored this year, but has been targeted six times in the red zone, so Week 11 may be his Jakobi Meyers game.