We close the door on another great week for the Fantasy Alarm #FAmily and immediately dial up our first look at the DFS main slate for NFL Week 8 here in the Weekly Watch List. The DFS Playbook and Dart Board both had strong plays and I was incredibly happy to see all of those screenshots sent in touting your winnings. But while that put a huge smile on my face, I, of course, in typical fashion, spend most of my time wondering how I missed certain plays. If you've ever seen the movie Rounders, there's a line where Matt Damon's character Mike McDermott says, "In ‘Confessions of a Winning Poker Player,’ Jack King said, "Few players recall big pots they have won, strange as it seems, but every player can remember with remarkable accuracy the outstanding tough beats of his career." I do the same thing in DFS and this past week left me scratching my head when I saw that Lamar Jackson was the chalk. I had looked over the match-up between the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens, but nothing really popped all that much. Of course, when it all happened I went digging even further and found a solid breakdown from an NFL betting analyst who cited more intangibles than straight facts and data, but his argument, obviously resonated with me. The narrative of the Lions getting Super Bowl hype, alongside Dan Campbell for Coach of the Year and Jared Goff getting MVP buzz, certainly flipped the switch. It was a classic letdown game for the Lions and the start of Todd Monken's offense taking off against a Lions pass defense that had reverted to more Cover-2 zone than man-coverage due to the rash of injuries they've endured. My focus on that was not as strong as it should have been, but I won't be missing things like that again.
But there's no sense in crying over spilt milk. We still crushed it last week and I fully intend to do so here in Week 8, so let's continue to look ahead.
The #FAmily had another big week in the DFS realm and with that brings a new wave of new subscribers, so as always, I would like to welcome all of you. I love seeing all the new screen names in Discord and seeing all of these new sign-ups for the All-Pro package makes me very happy, so before we fully dive in to the NFL DFS Week 8 Watch List, please allow me to welcome all of the new members of the Fantasy Alarm #FAmily. There are a lot of you and we thank you for joining. Now it's up to us to help you cash consistently on your NFL DFS action and we are psyched to make that happen. Since you are new to the Watch List, allow me to share some thoughts real quick:
“If you give a man a fish, he’ll eat for a day. If you teach a man to fish, he’ll eat for a lifetime.”
We take this adage to heart when it comes to playing NFL DFS. The Fantasy Alarm Playbook isn’t just about handing you a list of players and a lineup to use each week. It is designed to help you learn to be a better DFS player. It’s about teaching you the process used in selecting which players to scout and, eventually, which ones to use.
Therefore, we will begin each week with the Weekly NFL DFS Watch List which is designed to keep tabs on marquee names, chalk plays and, of course, the weekly bargains who may not see the same coverage and exposure. This piece will be continuously updated throughout the week, based on the most recent news and injuries, which means you may see a name or two removed as we get closer to Sunday kick-off. You may also see a few late-week additions who pique our interest for some reason too, and by the end of the week, this Watch List will eventually become your Playbook. Again, it’s about teaching you the process.
So what exactly did last week's Playbook deliver? As always, we like to check in to ensure we remain on the right path.
Scoring The Playbook Week 7
Well would you look at that. National Tight End Day was Sunday so, of course, the double-TE lineups with Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews, the top-two tight ends in the Playbook, would be the ones to hit. We discussed the Patrick Mahomes/Kelce stack feverishly this past week as there were a ton of value plays out there. When Jon Impemba and I did the NFL DFS podcast or livestream, or whatever you want to call it, we talked about getting that high-end pairing into your lineups for GPP tournaments because of the tremendous value sitting on the board in the likes of D'Onta Foreman, Joshua Palmer and Rashee RIce. As we approached Sunday morning – and this is where you have to be at the top of your game – additional value opened up with Dan Campbell telling everyone that he wanted/needed Jahmyr Gibbs to shoulder the full workload and then receiving word that DK Metcalf being ruled out, unlocking the ability to use Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Even Jake Bobo became a solid play, if you read the write-ups in the Dart Board. In fact, there isn't a single player in the above lineups we didn't discuss at length, so just a reminder that it's not all about just reading names from the the Playbook and plugging them into a random lineup. I offer you a variety of lineup construction thoughts throughout all of my player write-ups and those, combined with everything else we offer, is how you build a winning DFS lineup each week.