It all comes down to Game 7 in TD Garden in Boston as the Boston Celtics look to complete the first even reverse sweep in NBA Playoff history after being down 3-0 to the Miami Heat. The Celtics come into this game with a fully healthy squad as Malcolm Brogdon is back and the Heat are still banged up with Tyler Herro sidelined and Gabe Vincent’s ankle banged up. Let’s dive into the top NBA DFS plays of the day for tonight’s NBA DFS Showdown slate for Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals.
Spread: BOS -7.5
Boston Celtics Injuries
Malcolm Brogdon - IN
Miami Heat Injuries
Gabe Vincent - QUEST (played 41 minutes in Game 6)
NBA DFS Showdown CPT/MVP Top Plays
Tatum’s play in the last three games has been a primary reason why the Celtics are sitting in a position where they’ve reached Game 7. Tatum has 50+ DKP in three straight games and in four of five. He has the highest ceiling in this game and Jimmy Butler is second.
Butler has been pretty bad offensively over the last few games, and not many people are leading the conversation there. He’s shot 5-for-21, 5-for-10, and 9-for-21 in those three games and yet he’s still put up 50+ DKP in two of three. Butler has topped 50+ DKP nine times this postseason.
I know Malcolm Brogdon is back, but how effective will he be? White’s been great in this series since re-entering the starting lineup. He’s played 27+ minutes and has 30+ DKP in three straight games and there’s no reason to think Boston will do anything different with their lineup in Game 7 with how well the last three have gone. With the pricing of Tatum/Butler, it’s not the worst thing to use White as your CPT to round out the rest of our lineups.
NBA DFS Showdown UTIL Top Plays
Brown has not had a great series, but he was very good to great in Game 6 notching a 26-point double-double. When Brown and Tatum are both flowing offensively Boston is really hard to beat. I like him here in the UTIL spot.
What is going on with Bam Adebayo right now? He’s had a….bad series. Without Adebayo being good and Herro already out, I’m not sure the Miami Heat can win Game 7. He put up 40 DKP last time out and it was his first double-double since Game 3. Boston’s front-court defense is giving him an issue.
Maybe the unsung hero of this series for the Heat is Caleb Martin. The Heat cannot take this guy off the floor. He had a 21-point, 15-rebound double-double in Game 6 and has had 30+ DKP in four of the six games this series. Martin’s ability to space the floor and contribute on both ends of the floor is a plus.
Horford’s been a GPP option at best because he hasn’t been the same floor-spacer in the postseason as he was during the regular season. He has put up 30+ DKP in two of four games and in those games, he’s made 2+ threes. In four of the last five games for Horford in which he’s made 2+ threes, he’s put up 30+ DKP.
NBA DFS Showdown Value Top Plays
Despite missing Game 5 because of the ankle sprain, Vincent returned in Game 6 and played 41 minutes scoring 15 points while putting up 23 DKP. Vincent is not afraid of the moment as he took 18 shots in Game 6. He did not shoot well, but the ball will continue to find him in Game 7 and if he knocks down a few more shots, he could be the X-Factor for our DFS lineups.
After not getting much out of Robinson during the regular season, he’s been a force for the Heat in the postseason and particularly in this series. In four of the last five games he’s scored at least 13 points and has 18+ DKP in each of them. He’s going to see around 20 minutes if his shot is falling and he’s exactly what the Heat need to space the floor. He’s taking minutes from Max Strus because he’s been better at spacing than Strus has.
We saw Williams be an X-Factor in Game 4, where the series turned around, and he’s been firmly entrenched in the rotation since. He hasn’t been great in either of the last two games, but when he spaces the floor and makes shot he has DFS value. He’ll continue to get open looks, so he’ll need to knock them down. If you’re using a Tatum or Butler at the captain, those builds likely have Williams
I’m not even fully convinced it’ll be Love getting the minutes over Haywood Highsmith here to be honest, but whichever guy it is could be in the optimal build. Love had 13.5 DKP in Game 6 and at 2.8K I’d be OK with that if it allowed me to spend up as many top options as I could. I’d also be OK with punting Highsmith in hopes he’s the guy over Love.