NASCAR DFS Advent Health 400 Playbook: Toyota Looks To Dominate
Published: May 07, 2023
The second 1.5-mile track of the year is here — Kansas Speedway. It’s time for the Advent Health 400 on Sunday for what should be one of the more exciting races of the year. Why exciting? Kansas is typically considered one of the best tracks on the schedule every year because it’s a driver’s track, not a track position or all-out strategy track like we see elsewhere. What does that mean for DFS? Well, let’s take a look at DFS strategy and the top plays for NASCAR DFS in the Advent Health 400.
What’s the weather in Kansas City?
It’s going to be HOT. How hot? It’s going to be warmer in Kansas City than Miami where there’s an F1 race this weekend. The temps in the upper-80s and low-90s mean the track will be slick and slippery for the cars on Sunday. There’s also some rain chances in the forecast with thunderstorms possible too. For right now though the forecast just looks hot for the race time on Sunday.
Advent Health 400 NASCAR DFS Strategy
This is always one of the best tracks of the year regardless of how the starting grid has been setup. That’s shaping up to be the case yet again this weekend. The hot temps and design of the track are going to combine to make likely three racing grooves for all of Sunday. That means that we should get passing, passing for the lead, and the long run speed on cars will matter. Over the course of 267 laps on Sunday we’re going to see times where a car looks uncatchable and then they’ll come back to the pack just like we always see. The other thing we see? 4-wide restarts going into Turn 1 which can bring a bit of chaos, especially in slick conditions. Over the last four races here, we’ve seen one driver lead between 107 and 135 laps in each race while the second-most laps led were between 38 and 58 laps a race. So for us, based on that plus what we’ve seen at intermediates this year, we’re going to do a one-dominator build for about half of our lineups and two-dominator builds for the rest. I don’t expect a driver to run away and hide on Sunday.
Kansas Practice and Qualifying Results
The following table shows where drivers practice over the short and long-run at practice and compares it to their starting spot. It is designed to help show the difference in who might have over or under qualified based on practice. It’s not hard-and-fast though as the race is always a different beast than a short practice.
| Driver | Avg. Prac to Qual | Qual | 1-Lap | 5-Lap | 10-lap | 15-Lap | 20-Lap |
| William Byron | -10 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 6 | |
| Kyle Larson | -3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Ross Chastain | -8 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 19 | ||
| Martin Truex Jr | -5 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| Tyler Reddick | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Joey Logano | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Ty Gibbs | -4 | 7 | 19 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel Suarez | 3 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Ryan Blaney | -8 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 13 | ||
| Austin Dillon | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 9 | ||
| Christopher Bell | 9 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | ||
| Kevin Harvick | -6 | 13 | 27 | 20 | 11 | ||
| Chris Buescher | 0 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 9 | |
| Austin Cindric | -3 | 15 | 2 | 31 | 21 | ||
| Kyle Busch | 10 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 7 | ||
| Bubba Wallace | 7 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 17 | ||
| Aric Almirola | -7 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 20 | ||
| Erik Jones | -3 | 19 | 15 | 29 | |||
| Brad Keselowski | -10 | 20 | 31 | 28 | |||
| Chase Elliott | 0 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 16 | ||
| Noah Gragson | 7 | 22 | 24 | 17 | 12 | 8 | |
| Michael McDowell | 6 | 23 | 23 | 15 | 14 | ||
| Corey Lajoie | 12 | 24 | 14 | 11 | |||
| Harrison Burton | 9 | 25 | 11 | 21 | |||
| Ty Dillon | 7 | 26 | 21 | 18 | |||
| AJ Allmendinger | 3 | 27 | 26 | 23 | |||
| Ryan Preece | -5 | 28 | 33 | 32 | |||
| Josh Berry | 8 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 15 | ||
| Justin Haley | -1 | 30 | 28 | 33 | |||
| Chase Briscoe | 0 | 31 | 32 | 30 | |||
| Todd Gilliland | 14 | 32 | 17 | 19 | |||
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 5 | 33 | 30 | 26 | |||
| Brennan Poole | -1 | 34 | 34 | 36 | |||
| JJ Yeley | 5 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 22 | ||
| Josh Bilicki | 1 | 36 | 36 | 35 |
Stacks
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