Welcome back to another week of the CFB DFS Playbook Saturday Night Edition. Today we will dive into the Saturday college football 7pm Week 10 Night slate with a focus on the top CFB DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel. Some of the top players and teams in the nation will be in action for this Saturday Night CFB Week 10 slate and that includes a shootout between two of the top quarterbacks in the land as Caleb Williams and #20 USC host Michael Penix Jr. and #5 Washington. J.J. Maccarthy and Blake Corum will lead #3 Michigan against Purdue and Jayden Daniels and #5 LSU travel to Alabama to face Jase McClellan and the 8th ranked Crimson Tide. Check out the college football betting odds, team totals, and over/under's below to get an idea of which games or teams to target in CFB DFS lineups. If you're building CFB DFS lineups tonight, be sure to check out our college football weekly projections and CFB DFS lineup generator. So now we are ready to dive in and check out my top CFB DFS top picks and plays for Saturday Night, November 4th.
College Football Week 10 Saturday Night Odds
7p ET BYU @ West Virginia (-10.5) 50.5 O/U
7p ET Kansas @ Iowa State (-2.5) 53.0 O/U
7p ET Utah State (-2.5) @ San Diego State 57.5 O/U FD Only
7:30p ET Kentucky (-4.0) @ Mississippi State 46.0 O/U
7:30p ET Washington (-3.0) @ USC 76.5 O/U
7:30p ET Purdue @ Michigan (-32.5) 50.5 O/U
7:30p ET LSU @ Alabama (-3.0) 61.5 O/U
8p ET Miami (-4.5) @ North Carolina State 44.0 O/U
CFB DFS Quarterbacks
Michael Penix Jr. – Washington @ USC ($10.6K DK/11.5K FD)
This is the heavyweight fight of the year. Caleb Williams vs. Michael Penix Jr. I have been going round and round over who to choose as my top arm of the slate and right now I am leaning towards Penix Jr. who is trying to navigate an unbeaten season for Washington. Penix, who is considered the clear favorite for the Heisman, has been producing at an incredible level this season as he is currently 203-of-295 (68.8% completion rate) for 2,945 yards with 24 touchdown passes to six interceptions. His 82.7 QBR is currently sixth in the country as he has his sights on 4,000 passing yards and/or 40 passing touchdowns for the year. Penix Jr. has been battling an illness the last two weeks, but it didn’t show as he threw for 369 passing yards with four touchdowns and an interception on 21-of-38 attempts against Stanford on the road last Saturday. With a 76.5 total (15 points higher than the closest game on the slate) we could see a record-breaking night for both Penix Jr and Williams.
Jalen Milroe - Alabama vs. LSU ($8.3K DK/10.6K FD)
Jalen Milroe has arrived. He has now thrown for multiple touchdowns in three straight games while completing 99-of-153 passes for 1,617 yards and 13 touchdowns compared to five interceptions on the season. The Crimson Tide quarterback ranks second in the SEC and eighth nationally in passer efficiency rating at 175.0 while leading the league and ranking third in Division I with a 16.33 yards per completion mark. He also is averaging 10.57 yards per pass attempt to rank second in the conference and third nationally and is putting up over 22 DK points per game. LSU’s pass defense allows 238.5 yards per game in the air and with the second highest game total of the night this $8.3K tag on Milroe is a solid point per dollar play.
Rocco Becht - Iowa State vs. Kansas ($5.3K DK/7.5K FD)
Rocco Becht thrown at least one touchdown pass in his first eight starts as Iowa State’s quarterback — a feat matched only by Kyle Kempt in 2017. The first-year starter has been clean and efficient and a win over Kansas tonight would ensure the Cyclones return to bowl eligibility after enduring their first losing season in six years in 2022. Becht has now thrown nine touchdown passes to just three interceptions since Big 12 play began and is coming off a big win over Baylor where he finished 19 of 31 for 238 yards and one touchdown to go with one pick. I love Rocco Becht as a value dart at only $5.3K on DraftKings.
Other Top Quarterbacks
Caleb Williams, USC ($10.7K DK/12.0K FD) - He has struggled recently but most seem to forget Williams is still second in the entire FBS in passing yards with 2,646 and is tied for first in the country in passing touchdowns with 25. Williams or Michael Penix Jr. should anchor your main lineups and you really can’t go wrong with either.
Garrett Greene, West Virginia ($8.5K DK/10.8K FD) - Greene is the mid-priced pivot off Jalen Milroe. The dual-threat quarterback has run 72 times this season for 404 yards and eight touchdowns. He has been over 30 DraftKings points for three straight games and faces a weak BYU defense that is allowing 236 yards in the air and 154.5 yards on the ground.
Mike Wright, Mississippi State ($5.5K DK/7.3K FD) - Will Rogers is out with a shoulder injury and Wright replaced him in last week’s loss to Auburn. He can hurt you with his legs and can throw the ball making Wright a solid value at only $5.5K on DraftKings. We do have one concern here as MSU coach Zach Arnett didn't tamp down speculation that freshman Chris Parson potentially could be QB1 come tonight.
Jake Retzlaff, BYU ($5.5K DK/4.0K FD) - This is a FanDuel play ONLY due to price as Retzlaff, the junior college transfer will be BYU’s starter against West Virginia as Kedon Slovis is hurt. Retzlaff was one of the best junior college quarterbacks in the country last year as he completed 312 of 493 passes for 4,596 yards and 44 touchdowns with an efficiency rating of 165.4. Retzlaff makes everything fit for your FanDuel lineup but he is far from a sure lock tonight.
CFB DFS RUNNING BACKS
Ray Davis - Kentucky @ Mississippi State ($7.6K DK/10.2K FD)
Ray Davis’s historic season continued last Saturday night against Tennessee, and now the Wildcats’ running back joins some elite company. Davis scored in the first half giving him his 8th touchdown in as many games and with the 8th touchdown the Vanderbilt transfer becomes the first Kentucky player to score in 8-straight games since legendary wide receiver Randall Cobb did it in 2009. The SEC’s leading rusher (823 yards) managed just 42 yards on 16 carries in the loss to Tennessee but his per-game rushing average of nearly 103 yards ranks in the top 15 nationally while his 6.48 yards per carry are second in the SEC and 12th nationally. Ray Davis is your top pay up at running back tonight.
Jase McClellan - Alabama vs. LSU ($6.3K DK/7.4K FD)
Jase McClellan has waited patiently at Alabama and now is reaping the rewards. He is the bell cow of the Crimson Tide offense that is seeing itself return to its roots in establishing a healthy rushing attack. He has racked up 569 yards and four rushing touchdowns while receiving at least 10 carries in every game. More importantly McClellan has carried the ball 43 times in Bama’s two most recent games, by far the biggest workload over any two-game stretch in his career. Chances are that Bama will lean heavily on McClellan against LSU and throw in some doses of physical Roydell Williams (339 yards, one touchdown). LSU is allowing 156.5 yards per game on the ground and will also be missing Mekhi Wingo and several other Tiger defenders.
Devin Neal - Kansas @ Iowa State ($6.8K DK/8.9K FD)
Devin Neal is averaging a healthy 6.7 yards per carry and has already amassed 771 rushing yards in eight games. Neal’s rushed for 91 yards or more in each of Kansas’s three conference wins while running for a combined 111 yards in the Jayhawks two losses. In other words, when he has room to roam, the Jayhawks tend to win like when he ran for 112 yards and a TD last week for Kansas in the 38-33 upset of then-No. 6 Oklahoma. With a 21.6 DraftKings point average Neal is a good bet to make value tonight even against a tough Iowa State defense.
Eli Sanders - Iowa State vs. Kansas ($4.2K DK/6.6K FD)
Sanders came to Iowa State as a four-star recruit out of Chandler, Ariz. And he had just nine carries as a true freshman, appearing in four games to preserve his redshirt. The limited experience on the field, though, didn’t limit Sanders’ ability to learn at the feet of one of the best running backs in school history- Breece Hall. This is a kid with explosive speed that can make big plays, catch the ball out of the backfield and run the ball downhill. He is getting better every week and is coming off a team high of 14 carries for 90 yards plus Sanders has double-digit carries in four of his last five games, so he will continue grow to be a huge part of the Cyclones offensive plans.
Other Top Running Backs
Blake Corum, Michigan ($8.5K DK/10.0K FD) - Corum has at least one touchdown in every game and is tied for the national lead with 13 rushing scores and is a force on a per-carry basis with an average of 5.5 yards. Always low owned due to price Corum could easily nuke the slate and win a GPP.
Marshawn Lloyd, USC ($6.5K DK/8.5K FD) - Lloyd has double-digit DraftKings points in eight straight games and is coming off a season best 36.7 points last week when he ran for 115 yards and two touchdowns plus added three catches for another 72 yards. Lloyd just scores as he has a rushing touchdown in six of his eight games this season and there will be plenty of points in this game tonight.
Dillon Johnson, Washington ($7.3K DK/8.6K FD) - Johnson compliments the prolific Husky passing attack as he provides a solid running game to keep the opponents off balance. He ran the ball 18 times last week for 84 yards and a touchdown and is now averaging 14.9 DraftKings points per game.
Jahiem White, West Virginia ($3.1K DK/5.4K FD) - White was not having the kind of season he was capable of when the team traveled to Orlando to play UCF last Saturday, but his natural talent finally took over as he had runs of 11, 19 and 32 yards to finish with 85 on the ground. This is a talented young runner that should be getting more and more run as the season goes on. This is a nice GPP flyer price for White.
CFB DFS WIDE RECEIVERS
Rome Odunze - Washington @ USC ($8.8K DK/10.0K FD)
Rome Odunze has 51 catches for 907 yards and 7 touchdowns this season as his receiving totals rank fourth nationally in terms of yards per game, at 113.4. Now he gets a chance to face a USC defense that just gave up 49 points to Cal on the road last week and is permitting the second-most yards in the Pac-12. Washington leads the nation in passing yards per game and Odunze has been a huge part of that success as Michael Penix Jr. has looked to him whenever the Husky quarterback has needed to make a big play. The Trojans will have their hands full with Odunze and there’s a strong chance Rome could go off this Saturday night.
Ja’Lynn Polk - Washington @ USC ($7.7K DK/9.7K FD)
Ja’Lynn Polk, who had a 148-yard, two touchdown night at Stanford last weekend, has now logged three straight games of 100 yards or more (six on the season). His 92 YD TD reception was the longest scoring play of the season for Washington and the longest touchdown catch by a Husky since Marcel Reece had a 98 YD TD vs Arizona in 2007. You want at least two or three players in your main lineup from the Washington/USC game tonight and Polk is turning into a star with Jalen McMillan out. He now has 36 targets over the last three games for 20 catches, 368 yards and three touchdowns.
Kevin Concepcion - North Carolina State vs. Miami ($6.3K DK/8.2K FD)
Kevin Concepcion is tied for fourth in the ACC with 42 receptions and seventh with 493 receiving yards. He will be facing a Miami pass defense that struggled against Malik Washington of Virginia and Concepcion and Washington are two very similar players. Washington had 12 receptions for 152 yards on 26 targets last weekend against the Canes and both players dominate the targets for their teams. Concepcion, a slot receiver, was the 24/7 True Freshman of the Week last Saturday with five receptions for 83 yards and two touchdowns as North Carolina State beat Clemson 24-17. We could see the same or even more tonight against Miami.
Jayden Higgins - Iowa State vs. Kansas ($4.3K DK/7.7K FD)
After Iowa State wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson left for the NFL after last season, there was a hole left behind in the wide receiver room. Through seven games this season, the holes have seemingly been filled by Eastern Kentucky transfer wide receiver Jayden Higgins. Higgins is the top value play at receiver tonight. He has caught 11 of his 18 targets over the last two games to go along with 246 yards receiving and a touchdown. Higgins has moved to the outside and seen his targets increase immensely and at $4.3K he is a steal against Kansas.
Other Top Wide Receivers
Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas, LSU ($8.9K DK & $7.8K FD/$9.8K FD & $9.9K FD) - No one has been able to stop both LSU studs. Nabers leads the team in targets (81) and yards (981) and is second in touchdowns (9). Thomas leads the team in touchdowns (11) and is second in both targets (50) and yards (732). This is no easy matchup against Alabama, and we will catch both low owned so why not take a chance on either in a GPP.
Tahj Washington, USC ($6.9K DK/8.2K DK) - Washington has back-to-back games in double digit fantasy points and is now averaging 13.3 per game. He gets a shot tonight in what may turn out to be a classic offensive slugfest. GPP-only but this could be a repeat of the Colorado game where Washington caught eight passes for 117 yards and a score.
Barion Brown, Kentucky ($5.0K DK/6.8K FD) - Brown is one of the most electrifying skill players in college football and UK must find a way to get the ball in his hands. Tonight, he gets a solid matchup against a Mississippi State defense that is allowing 238.5 yards receiving per game.
Jacolby George, Miami ($4.8K DK/7.7K FD) - The North Carolina State pass defense has been mostly average this year (allowing 227.4 yards in the air) and the Hurricanes benefit from a very strong receiver core that includes Xavier Restrepo, with 648 receiving yards and four scores plus the much cheaper Colbie Young and Jacolby George, who each have at least 400 yards and four touchdowns apiece. George is my lean tonight but all three are in play.
Germie Bernard, Washington ($3.9K DK/6.3K FD) - Bernard is a speedy ex-Mel Tucker recruit that has been dealing with ankle issues. He had three targets last week (3-43-0) and if this game shoots out like expected there should be plenty of points to pass around and Bernard is just too cheap to ignore in tournaments.
Michael Penix Jr- Washington
Ja’Lynn Polk- Washington
Jase McClellan- Alabama
Jayden Higgins- Iowa State (V)
Michael Penix Jr- Washington
Jase McClellan- Alabama
Ja’Lynn Polk- Washington
Jake Retzlaff- BYU (V)