2023 Player Outlook
2023 Recap: Abbott was pretty solid for the Reds upon his promotion, posting an 8-6 record with a 3.87 ERA (4.20 FIP) with a 1.32 WHIP, and 26.1 percent strikeout rate. He cooled off a bit near the end of the year, perhaps due to some fatigue, and walks started to catch up to him. He completed five innings in just one of his last seven starts, posting a 5.46 BB/9 during that stretch. For comparison's sake, the young southpaw posted a 2.99 BB/9 in the 14 starts prior. Abbott's 147.2 IP between AAA and the MLB were far away his highest since getting drafted, so some fatigue down the stretch was to be expected. He only posted a 28.6 percent ground ball rate with the Reds last year, which is a bit concerning with Great American Ball Park serving as his home stadium, and he did allow a 1.68 HR/9 at home last season.
2024 Outlook: I expect his command to be better than what it was down the stretch, and his four-pitch arsenal has no issue missing bats. In his age 25 season, the young southpaw should take a step forward, though that doesn't mean he's devoid of any risk. Abbott will strikeout over one batter per inning, and while his ERA may be closer to 4.30 than last year's 3.87 mark, he should win 10-12 games for Cincinnati this season, making him an enticing pick inside the top 275 overall.