2024 Player Outlook
While his strikeout rate didn’t carry over from 2023, Abbott was largely the same pitcher, posting a 3.72 ERA (5.04 FIP) and 1.30 WHIP. He allowed a good bit of hard contact last season, and his fly ball profile makes him vulnerable to home runs, especially in his home park. His stuff doesn’t jump off the page, and he doesn’t get a ton of swings out of the zone, and to be frank, a rough seven starts at the end of the year (5.66 ERA) ballooned some of his numbers. For what it’s worth, he had a 3.06 ERA in the 18 starts prior and allowed more than three earned runs in just two of those 18, compared to 4 or more earned runs in four of his last seven. We’d love to see an increased strikeout rate, which is certainly possible, but if he can keep the ball in the park, an ERA in the low-4s and a new career high in wins is on the table for Abbott in 2025. I like the value and upside at his ADP.