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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: I don't know if there is a player in Major League Baseball who took advantage of the stolen base rules more than Hoerner. In 2022, he went 20-for-22 in stolen base attempts, but in 2023, he went 43-for-50, and he was one of just six players to have recorded at least 40 stolen bases last season! Furthermore, his batted ball metrics were on par with the season prior, allowing him to hit for a high average. He is one of the best in the league in getting the bat to the ball, and being fleet afoot will certainly help him a good bit. He doesn't have overwhelming power by any means, but he's become good friends with the wind in Wrigley, as two-thirds of his home runs last year came in his home park. 

2024 Outlook: Hoerner carries multi-positional eligibility, but he also carries top 60 draft capital, which is pretty expensive all things considered. Hoerner is a guy we should be able to rely on to hit at least .280 for the fourth-straight season, though I do believe his stolen base total is closer to 30 than 50 this season. Nothing in his profile leads to increased power output, so with the expectation of a reduction in stolen bases, a .280 average and 10 home runs isn't a player I need to prioritize in the first four or five rounds of my draft, especially if I'm gotten enough steals prior to that.

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