TONIGHT'S FIGHT BETWEEN DONALD CERRONE AND JOE LAUZON HAS BEEN CANCELLED DUE TO AN ILLNESS FOR LAUZON.

The UFC continues to mix in some travel as they are visiting Austin. That means Texas judging so we want finishes more than ever. There's a lot to like about this card, which isn't always the case after a PPV. You have your pick of underdogs, as well. That all should make for a good night of MMA DFS. 

Check out all of the latest UFC Austin odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's UFC Austin event. Good luck in your MMA daily fantasy lineups!

 


MMA DFS Playbook: UFC Austin

Main Event
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Calvin Kattar vs Josh Emmett8800/7400-Stackability: Moderate-240/ +200+200/+380
Both of these fighters only put on big shows. Kattar is one of the better boxers in MMA and has an edge to his game. Emmett throws with huge power and is getting back on track after tearing his knee up a few years ago. Kattar will front run and Emmett will look to stage a comeback with those heavy haymakers. That makes the line accurate but both have good paths to DFS scoring.
      
Expensive
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Adrian Yanez9400Tony KelleySomewhat-Safe-280+115
Yanez is a smooth young striker with upward mobility. His one knock is that he's patient and doesn't push hard for a finish. Kelley is a tough vet but very hittable.
Cody Stamann9500Eddie WinelandSomewhat-Safe-540+140
There aren't many holes in Stamann's game but he finds himself on a 3 fight losing streak after facing some of the divisions best. This is a much more manageable opponent. He might even find a rare finish with an aged Wineland.
Ricardo Ramos9300Danny ChavezSomewhat-Safe-280+225
It's been an up and down ride in the UFC for Ramos. He's coming off a loss and getting a step down against Chavez. If Ramos can out-grapple Chavez the way others have his plus BJJ could earn a finish.
Jasmine Jasudavicius9100Natalia SilvaModerate-240+250
Jasmine showed a lot to like in her debut win against the solid Kay Hansen. She's still very raw but gets an even more raw opponent in Silva.
Gloria de Paula9200Maria OliveiraModerate-260+275
It's hard to expect a win from de Paula when her only UFC victory came over Diana Belbita. Oliveira isn't long for the UFC but she's not this much worse than GdP.
      
Mid-Range
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Albert Duraev8600Joaquin BuckleyModerate-240+110
Duraev was as good as advertised in his debut. Control heavy wrestling is the name of his Russian game. That could be disastrous for Buckley who hits big but is an incomplete mixed martial artist.
Gregory Rodrigues8500Julian MarquezModerate-165+130
Rodrigues will be looking to get back in the win column against a known name in Marquez. He should have success early and is dangerous on the feet and the mat. The main risk with Rodrigues is that he can gas out with his muscled up physique.
Kevin Holland8900Tim MeansSomewhat-Risky-285+140
Now that Holland is cutting to 170 he looks much more comfortable in the strength department. He can beat anyone on the feet if he's motivated. It's when he gets put on the mat he struggles.
Kyle Daukaus8700Roman DolidzeSomewhat-Risky-245+165
Dauk has put on some pretty fun fights for us. He's game to strike and has pretty good BJJ. Dolidze is strong with some power and grappling of his own but probably out-gunned here.
Phil Hawes9000Deron WinnSomewhat-Risky-250+105
Hawes has the inside track given Winn tends to do very little in a fight. Unless that has changed drastically then Hawes probably presses him against the cage for large stretches en route to a decision win.
Donald Cerrone8300Joe LauzonSomewhat-Risky-165+120
Cowboy uses his length and Muay-Thai to tee off on opponents. Sometimes that's enough for him these days. He doesn't have many fights left in him at this point but Lauzon is pretty past his time.
Damir Ismagulov8400Guram KutateladzeRisky-170+380
Damir is a tight fighter with a an advanced striking game. He's a lot to handle for most in the UFC. Guram has big power but probably isn't a match in the technique department.
      
Pay-Downs
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Tim Means7300Kevin HollandSomewhat-Risky+240+550
The Dirty Bird is still plugging along. He'll have his hands full with the rangy Holland. If he can deploy some grappling that's been Holland's Achilles' heal and Means is crafty with it.
Julian Marquez7700Gregory RodriguesSomewhat-Risky+140+275
I've been hoping for a good spot to fade Marquez as a favorite but he's never healthy when the UFC has him in that spot it seems. Now they've gotten tired of matching him with cushier opponents and he's an underdog to the dangerous Rodrigues. He's found a way to win despite eating punishment and being in trouble often. Maybe he can do it again here.
Guram Kutateladze7800Damir IsmagulovRisky+145+330
We saw Damir get dropped in his last fight. He was able to rally and still take home a win but that chin bears watching. Guram hits like his Viking namesake.
Maria Oliveira7000Gloria de PaulaRisky+220+800
In low level women's MMA it pays to back the underdog in the long run. It's hard to know when to jump on one so it's best to do it when the odds are wide.
Joe Lauzon7900Donald CerroneRisky+140+250
It's hard to know what to expect from Lauzon after this long a lay off and looking fairly shot already. Cerrone is looking a bit shot himself though. If you don't stand right in front of him he has some struggles.
Joaquin Buckley7600Albert DuraevRisky+200+300
The man has huge power and takes chances most aren't willing to. That combo will always lead to upsets.
Roman Dolidze7500Kyle DaukausRisky+205+500
The one big flaw we've seen from Daukaus has been an over willingness to get hit by big shots to exchange. Dolidze does pack some power.
Tony Kelley6800Adrian YanezRisky+235+550
This is exactly the kind of spot Kelley can pull an upset in. He's able to eat big punishment and come out the other side still cracking. If Yanez isn't ready for a dogfight that could be a problem.
Danny Chavez6900Ricardo RamosRisky+235+475
If the Chavez that dominated in his debut shows up Ramos could be in trouble. When opponents have taken the fight to him Ramos has had trouble.

 

MMA DFS Example Lineup: UFC Austin
 


 

Live Dogs for UFC Austin

Emmett, Means, Marquez, Kutateladze, Oliveira, Lauzon 


 

Stats & Picks for UFC Austin

   
Calvin KattarvsJosh Emmett
$8,800DFS Salary$7,400
Record: 23-5-0RecordRecord: 17-2-0
11Knockouts6
2Subs2
-240Vegas Odds+200
7/10Lineup Pool3/10
   
Donald CerronevsJoe Lauzon
$8,300DFS Salary$7,900
Record: 36-16-0 (2 NC)RecordRecord: 28-16-0
10Knockouts9
17Subs17
-165Vegas Odds+140
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Tim MeansvsKevin Holland
$7,300DFS Salary$8,900
Record: 32-12-1 (1 NC)RecordRecord: 22-7-0 (1 NC)
19Knockouts13
5Subs5
+240Vegas Odds-285
4/10Lineup Pool5/10
   
Joaquin BuckleyvsAlbert Duraev
$7,600DFS Salary$8,600
Record: 14-4-0RecordRecord: 15-3-0
10Knockouts3
0Subs9
+200Vegas Odds-240
3/10Lineup Pool6/10
   
Damir IsmagulovvsGuram Kutateladze
$8,400DFS Salary$7,800
Record: 23-1-0RecordRecord: 12-2-0
12Knockouts7
1Subs1
-170Vegas Odds+145
4/10Lineup Pool24/10
 0 
Julian MarquezvsGregory Rodrigues
$7,700DFS Salary$8,500
Record: 9-2-0RecordRecord: 11-4-0
6Knockouts5
3Subs4
+140Vegas Odds-165
4/10Lineup Pool6/10
   
Adrian YanezvsTony Kelley
$9,400DFS Salary$6,800
Record: 15-3-0RecordRecord: 8-2-0
9Knockouts9
2Subs17
-280Vegas Odds+235
5/10Lineup Pool3/10
   
Jasmine JasudaviciusvsNatalia Silva
$9,100DFS Salary$7,100
Record: 7-1-0RecordRecord: 12-5-1
2Knockouts3
1Subs7
-240Vegas Odds+200
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Court McGeevsJeremiah Wells
$8,200DFS Salary$8,000
Record: 22-10-0RecordRecord: 10-2-1
5Knockouts4
5Subs4
-125Vegas Odds+105
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Ricardo RamosvsDanny Chavez
$9,300DFS Salary$6,900
Record: 15-4-0RecordRecord: 11-4-1
3Knockouts3
7Subs0
-280Vegas Odds+235
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Maria OliveiravsGloria de Paula
$7,000DFS Salary$9,200
Record: 12-5-0RecordRecord: 6-4-0
7Knockouts3
1Subs0
+220Vegas Odds-260
3/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Eddie WinelandvsCody Stamann
$6,700DFS Salary$9,500
Record: 24-15-1RecordRecord: 19-5-1
15Knockouts6
4Subs2
+420Vegas Odds-540
2/10Lineup Pool6/10
   
Phil HawesvsDeron Winn
$9,000DFS Salary$7,200
Record: 11-3-0RecordRecord: 7-2-0
7Knockouts4
2Subs0
-250Vegas Odds+210
3/10Lineup Pool4/10


 

 


 

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