We get a rematch of the fight everyone expected Amanda Nunes to coast through but didn't. It will be fun to see if Pena can weather the storm again and come out with a second win over the Lady GOAT. We're in the bigger Octagon so finishes will be at a premium. 

 

 

 

MMA DFS Playbook for UFC 277

Main Event
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Julianna Pena vs Amanda Nunes7000/9200-Stackability: Moderate+230/ -275+450/-125
 
      
Expensive
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Michael Morales9500Adam FugittSomewhat-Safe-600-190
 
Magomed Ankalaev9400Anthony SmithSomewhat-Safe-560+150
 
Drew Dober9000Rafael AlvesSomewhat-Safe-165+130
 
Drakkar Klose9100Rafa GarciaModerate-200+275
 
      
Mid-Range
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Brandon Moreno8900Kai Kara-FranceModerate-210+225
 
Alexandre Pantoja8700Alex PerezModerate-195+180
 
Matthew Semelsberger8600Alex MoronoSomewhat-Risky-155+215
 
Ihor Potieria8400Nicolae NegumereanuSomewhat-Risky+100+175
 
Joselyne Edwards8300Ji Yeon KimSomewhat-Risky#N/A#N/A
 
Sergei Pavlovich8200Derrick LewisRisky-145-110
 
Derrick Lewis8000Sergei PavlovichRisky+125+150
 
      
Pay-Downs
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Alex Perez7500Alexandre PantojaSomewhat-Risky+165+425
 
Rafael Alves7200Drew DoberSomewhat-Risky+140+250
 
Anthony Smith6800Magomed AnkalaevRisky#N/A#N/A
 
Kai Kara-France7300Brandon MorenoRisky#N/A#N/A
 
Hamdy Abdelwahab7700Don'Tale MayesRisky+175+250
 
Blood Diamond7400Orion CosceRisky+175+300
 
Rafa Garcia7100Drakkar KloseRisky+170+450

 

Favorite Plays for UFC 277

High Priced: Magomed Ankalaev. For all the toughness Anthony Smith has he eats a ton of punishment. Especially if he doesn't hold a wrestling advantage, which I doubt he does here. Ank can be a little too cautious at times but Smith leaves far too many openings and has a lot of miles on his chin. 
 

Mid-Range: Matthew Semelsberger. This, again, comes down to an opponent that lets too much through his defense. And again, if Morono can't bail himself out with wrestling he's become a sitting duck. Semelsberger has shown the ability to capitalize on those opportunities. 
 

Low Priced: Rafael Alves. This is a solid discount on a dangerous fighter. Alves has huge power and goes for broke early. Dober has shown an excellent chin but has needed that toughness far too often. Dober should be the favorite but an Alves win comes with big points. 


UFC 277 Example Lineup



 

Live Dogs for UFC 277

Pena, Perez, Alves, Smith, Kara-France, Abdelwahab, Diamond 

 

UFC 277 Stats & Picks

   
Julianna PenavsAmanda Nunes
$7,000DFS Salary$9,200
Record: 12-4-0RecordRecord: 21-5-0
3Knockouts#N/A
5Subs 
+230Vegas Odds-275
4/10Lineup Pool6/10
   
Brandon MorenovsKai Kara-France
$8,900DFS Salary$7,300
Record: 19-6-2RecordRecord: 24-9-0 (1 NC)
13Knockouts3
4Subs11
-210Vegas Odds#N/A
5/10Lineup Pool3/10
   
Derrick LewisvsSergei Pavlovich
$8,000DFS Salary$8,200
Record: 26-9-0 (1 NC)RecordRecord: 15-1-0
11Knockouts21
3Subs1
+125Vegas Odds-145
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Alexandre PantojavsAlex Perez
$8,700DFS Salary$7,500
Record: 24-5-0RecordRecord: 24-6-0
12Knockouts8
0Subs9
-195Vegas Odds+165
5/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Magomed AnkalaevvsAnthony Smith
$9,400DFS Salary$6,800
Record: 17-1-0RecordRecord: 36-16-0
5Knockouts8
7Subs0
-560Vegas Odds+430
6/10Lineup Pool23/10
 0 
Alex MoronovsMatthew Semelsberger
$7,600DFS Salary$8,600
Record: 21-7-0 (1 NC)RecordRecord: 10-3-0
19Knockouts6
14Subs6
+135Vegas Odds-155
3/10Lineup Pool5/10
   
Drew DobervsRafael Alves
$9,000DFS Salary$7,200
Record: 24-11-0 (1 NC)RecordRecord: 20-10-0
6Knockouts3
1Subs11
-165Vegas Odds+140
5/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Don'Tale MayesvsHamdy Abdelwahab
$8,500DFS Salary$7,700
Record: 9-4-0RecordRecord: 5-0-0
7Knockouts5
8Subs1
-205Vegas Odds+175
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Drakkar KlosevsRafa Garcia
$9,100DFS Salary$7,100
Record: 12-2-1RecordRecord: 14-2-0
5Knockouts5
0Subs0
-200Vegas Odds+170
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Michael MoralesvsAdam Fugitt
$9,500DFS Salary$6,700
Record: 13-0-0RecordRecord: 8-2-0
1Knockouts10
8Subs1
-600Vegas Odds+450
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Joselyne EdwardsvsJi Yeon Kim
$8,300DFS Salary$7,900
Record: 11-4-0RecordRecord: 9-5-2
4Knockouts5
3Subs3
#N/AVegas Odds+110
4/10Lineup Pool3/10
   
Nicolae NegumereanuvsIhor Potieria
$7,800DFS Salary$8,400
Record: 12-1-0RecordRecord: 19-2-0
2Knockouts7
3Subs3
-120Vegas Odds+100
3/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Orion CoscevsBlood Diamond
$8,800DFS Salary$7,400
Record: 7-1-0RecordRecord: 3-1-0
9Knockouts6
6Subs1
 Vegas Odds+175
4/10Lineup Pool4/10

 

 


 

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