When I write the EPL DFS Playbook, I try not to get too caught up in predicting how games will go. We have to do that to some degree, especially for goal keepers, but when it comes to choosing attackers, I like players who can score fantasy points in various ways. Saturday’s seven-game EPL DFS slate is different, however. For one thing, with so many games on the slate, you’re probably going to need plenty of goal-scorers in your lineup to cash, especially in tournaments. Perhaps more importantly, there several matchups that look like they should provide a lot of goals. The top five teams in goals allowed all play Saturday. It would be one thing if they were playing each other, but outside of Luton, most of the poor defensive teams are huge underdogs against sides in the top half of the table. On the other end of the spectrum, four of the top five teams in goals scored play Saturday. Liverpool and Tottenham face off in the late game, which makes the FanDuel slate even more interesting. 

 
 Goalkeepers
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
David RayaARSBOU55008.5129.50
Only two teams have allowed fewer goals or recorded more clean sheets per 90 minutes than Arsenal. Only two teams have allowed more clean sheets or scored fewer goals than Bournemouth. I might pivot to Ederson if I had a little more to spend but I think you'll get just as many fantasy points from Raya. 
Thomas KaminskiLUTEVE41002.3693.00
Kaminski has the best matchup of the cheap keepers and its not particularly close. Only three teams have allowed more saves than Everton and only two have scored fewer goals. We probably aren't getting a win but I'll take a few saves and a chance at a clean sheet. 
Andre OnanaMUNCRY53009.181111.50
I can't remember the last time the mid-priced keepers were this weak. I would prefer to stay away, but if that doesn't work for your lineup build, Onana has a decent enough shot at a win and a clean sheet after he got both at Burnley last week. Only four teams have scored fewer goals than Crystal Palace, and it certainly helps that United is back home. 
Forwards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Anthony GordonNEWBRN840013.071922.65
I don't want to overreact to Newcastle's big win against Sheffield, though Burnley has allowed nearly as many goals as Sheffield this season. Callum Wilson and Alexander Isak are both dealing with soft tissue injuries and even if both are active, Gordon is a much better bet to play 70+ minutes and to score fantasy points outside of scoring goals. 
Michail AntonioWHUSHU55006.571712.75
West Ham's top four attackers are all playable against a Sheffield side that has allowed the most goals in the league. Antonio is the riskiest of those options but also the cheapest. It also helps that he is a forward and not a midfielder. 
Reiss NelsonARSBOU76003.1134.10
Nelson's numbers are quite imprressive considering he has played just 14 minutes across two games. I would like him on both sites if he gets the start, though he looks like a better value on FanDuel.
BetoEVELUT63005.871711.80
Beto struggled a bit against Arsenal but he was quite solid in his two other starts, with six shots, three crosses and two chances created. Only two teams have allowed more goals than Luton and Beto should lead the Everton attack with Dominic Calvert-Lewin likely getting a rest. 
Erling HaalandMCIWOL1040024.262541.67
The only team that has kept Haaland out of the net this season is Newcastle. Wolves are not nearly as good defensively as Newscastle, so I like our chances for at least one more goal from Haaland. He is surprisingly easy to afford on DraftKings, but I'll pay up on both sites if I'm able.
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Pape SarrTOTLIV  1618.05
I would be awfully tempted to pivot to Manor Solomon, but I'm willing to pay an extra dollar for someone who has at least 12.1 fantasy poitns in all five starts. Liverpool is not exactly scary defensively and Sarr should get enough defensively stats himself to pad his fantasy total.
Midfielders
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Martin OdegaardARSBOU710011.822021.65
With Gabriel Martinelli out and Bukayo Saka questionable, there is a great chance Odegaard is on set pieces for this game. He has seven crosses and five chances created in his last three games, and it looks like Arsenal is basically going to start three strikers ahead of him. He is by far the safest Arsenal attacker, though he isn't cheap on FanDuel.
James GarnerEVELUT58008.981514.12
Garner appears to still be on set pieces, though he may split them with Dwight McNeil going forward. Garner has at least three crosses in all five starts, and he has a fantastic matchup with Luton.
Oliver NorwoodSHUWHU40006.191413.23
Through six games, West Ham has allowed 29 more crosses than any other team. Norwood leads Sheffield in crosses while taking 67 percent of its corners, giving him a nice floor at a bargain price.
James Ward-ProwseWHUSHU870016.732030.16
I could easily pivot to one of this teammates depending on my needs and available salary, but I think Ward-Prowse offers the best combination of floor and ceiling. He is tied for the team lead in chances created and goal involvements, and he has 10 more crosses than any of his teammates. 
Defenders
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Vladimir CoufalWHUSHU49008.31317.57
I don't really expect Coufal to record an assist in a third straight game, but he's pretty reasonably-priced considering the matchup. Coufal has at least 9.6 DK fantasy points in three straight games.
Nathan PattersonEVELUT51007.691012.42
Ashley Young has turned into a pumpkin with Dwight McNeil back in the lineup, but Patterson has 11 crosses and three chances created in his last two starts. This is likely the peak of his value, but I don't mind paying up in this matchup.
Oleksandr ZinchenkoARSBOU42005.9486.54
Zinchenko is averaging 7.3 DK fantasy points in three starts despite facing Tottenham and Manchester United in that span. This should be a much better matchup than those games, and while Zinchenko is safer on DraftKings, I believe he is playable on both sites.
Kieran TrippierNEWBRN750013.961621.73
You don't really need to pay up for a defender in this slate, but if you're looking to, Trippier is by far the best option. I like him quite a bit in the UTIL spot, depending on how much you have left to spend.
Micky van de VenTOTLIV  1011.23
Cristian Romero is far safer, but he is also much more expensive. Liverpool has long been the best matchup in the league for defensive stats, so I'm relying on that to raise van de Ven's floor. 
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Marcos SenesiBOUARS26002.24913.00
Senesi has averaged 17.7 FD fantasy points in his three starts. That alone makes him severely underpriced. When you add in that Arsenal has allowed more clearances than any team on the slate, Senesi enters must-start territory.
Draftkings Core Plays
Top TierErling Haaland$10,400
James Ward-Prowse$8,700
Mid TierMartin Odegaard$7,100
James Garner$5,800
Value TierOliver Norwood$4,000
  
   
Fanduel Core Plays
Top TierErling Haaland$25
Anthony Gordon$19
Mid TierPape Sarr$16
Beto$17
Value TierMarcos Senesi$9
Reiss Nelson$13
 

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