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The week starts off with a typical Monday short slate, but we’ve got 10 games and 20 pitchers from which to choose. Some odd pricing on Draft Kings for some guys but that’s just the way their algorithm works. Here’s a look at the data and a list of the guys I’m playing with tonight.
| vs L | vs R | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Player | Tm | Hand | H/A | Opp | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BAA | SwStr% | ERA | xFIP | WHIP | GB% | FB% | GB/FB | wOBA | wOBA | FD | DK | Aces |
| Jon Lester | CHC | L | A | PHI | 70.2 | 8.78 | 2.17 | 0.89 | .214 | 10.3% | 2.29 | 3.30 | 1.02 | 48.6% | 31.1% | 1.56 | 0.272 | 0.259 | $11000 | $11600 | $7250 |
| Masahiro Tanaka | NYY | R | H | LAA | 71.1 | 7.07 | 1.64 | 0.76 | .218 | 12.2% | 2.78 | 3.48 | 1.00 | 56.0% | 22.5% | 2.49 | 0.245 | 0.272 | $9700 | $8300 | $6600 |
| Steven Matz | NYM | L | A | PIT | 55.1 | 8.62 | 1.79 | 0.65 | .230 | 9.8% | 2.60 | 3.05 | 1.05 | 59.2% | 23.0% | 2.57 | 0.314 | 0.242 | $9700 | $10400 | $7150 |
| Chris Archer | TB | R | A | ARI | 66.1 | 10.31 | 4.21 | 1.63 | .264 | 11.8% | 4.75 | 3.77 | 1.52 | 47.6% | 28.6% | 1.67 | 0.300 | 0.382 | $9000 | $7900 | $6250 |
| J.A. Happ | TOR | L | A | DET | 70.2 | 5.73 | 2.80 | 0.89 | .234 | 9.4% | 3.06 | 4.55 | 1.16 | 46.2% | 33.2% | 1.39 | 0.243 | 0.310 | $8000 | $8900 | $6150 |
| Michael Fulmer | DET | R | H | TOR | 41.2 | 9.50 | 2.59 | 1.08 | .239 | 12.2% | 3.24 | 3.45 | 1.22 | 49.6% | 31.3% | 1.58 | 0.253 | 0.334 | $8000 | $9900 | $6050 |
| Matt Shoemaker | LAA | R | A | NYY | 52.1 | 9.12 | 2.24 | 1.20 | .288 | 15.0% | 5.50 | 3.85 | 1.43 | 39.0% | 34.1% | 1.14 | 0.320 | 0.340 | $7900 | $7700 | $6500 |
| Tyler Chatwood | COL | R | A | LAD | 69.1 | 5.72 | 2.47 | 0.78 | .247 | 8.6% | 2.99 | 4.05 | 1.21 | 58.5% | 23.5% | 2.49 | 0.254 | 0.343 | $7600 | $9200 | $6000 |
| Trevor Bauer | CLE | R | A | SEA | 52.2 | 8.03 | 3.42 | 1.03 | .248 | 11.5% | 4.27 | 4.25 | 1.35 | 50.0% | 28.0% | 1.79 | 0.296 | 0.333 | $7400 | $6700 | $5700 |
| Colby Lewis | TEX | R | H | HOU | 70.0 | 6.04 | 1.93 | 1.29 | .242 | 7.9% | 3.09 | 4.41 | 1.11 | 37.3% | 41.6% | 0.90 | 0.318 | 0.278 | $7300 | $8700 | $5900 |
| Mike Fiers | HOU | R | A | TEX | 61.1 | 6.61 | 1.61 | 1.47 | .287 | 10.1% | 4.84 | 4.03 | 1.32 | 45.6% | 26.2% | 1.75 | 0.297 | 0.387 | $7300 | $5200 | $5850 |
| Jon Niese | PIT | L | H | NYM | 64.0 | 6.61 | 2.95 | 1.69 | .278 | 8.1% | 4.36 | 4.27 | 1.45 | 56.5% | 22.2% | 2.54 | 0.315 | 0.380 | $7200 | $7800 | $5900 |
| James Paxton | SEA | L | H | CLE | 3.2 | 17.18 | 2.45 | 4.91 | .455 | 12.6% | 7.36 | 2.69 | 3.00 | 43.8% | 25.0% | 1.75 | 0.715 | 0.483 | $7100 | $6800 | N/A |
| Danny Duffy | KC | L | A | BAL | 36.2 | 9.82 | 1.72 | 0.98 | .245 | 17.9% | 3.44 | 3.40 | 1.12 | 37.1% | 46.4% | 0.80 | 0.213 | 0.323 | $6900 | $4300 | $5500 |
| Robbie Ray | ARI | L | H | TB | 57.0 | 10.42 | 4.26 | 1.42 | .286 | 11.7% | 4.74 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 48.8% | 23.2% | 2.11 | 0.295 | 0.384 | $6700 | $8200 | $5550 |
| Williams Perez | ATL | R | A | SD | 44.1 | 4.27 | 2.23 | 0.61 | .233 | 6.9% | 3.86 | 4.50 | 1.17 | 61.6% | 21.9% | 2.81 | 0.315 | 0.230 | $6400 | $5800 | $6300 |
| Adam Morgan | PHI | L | H | CHC | 35.2 | 6.06 | 2.02 | 1.77 | .299 | 11.3% | 7.07 | 4.92 | 1.51 | 40.2% | 36.9% | 1.09 | 0.337 | 0.386 | $6000 | $4100 | $5650 |
| Mike Wright | BAL | R | H | KC | 49.0 | 6.62 | 2.94 | 1.65 | .293 | 8.0% | 5.88 | 4.70 | 1.47 | 44.5% | 32.3% | 1.38 | 0.436 | 0.330 | $6000 | $4,500 | $5600 |
| Mike Bolsinger | LAD | R | H | COL | 15.0 | 8.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 | .222 | 11.9% | 4.20 | 4.38 | 1.13 | 39.0% | 36.6% | 1.07 | 0.255 | 0.383 | $6000 | $4900 | $5650 |
| Christian Friedrich | SD | R | H | ATL | 21.1 | 6.33 | 5.48 | 0.42 | .268 | 6.3% | 2.53 | 5.23 | 1.69 | 53.6% | 31.9% | 1.68 | 0.458 | 0.288 | $5800 | $7500 | $5450 |
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Jon Lester, CHC – He’s the top option on the board against a typically strikeout-prone Phillies team (24.1% vs LHP) that has just a .266 wOBA against southpaws this season.
Masahiro Tanaka, NYY – I don’t anticipate a high strikeout total, but the Angels still haven’t fully recovered from their early-season struggles and still have trouble with many of the high-end hurlers out there. Tanaka should stifle the bats enough to be a worthwhile cash game play.
Steven Matz, NYM – Prior to last week’s disappointing outing, Matz had seven-straight quality starts and should do a number on the Pirates’ right-handed bats. The Buccos usually do well against lefties, but their .314 wOBA and 23.4-percent strikeout rate over the last seven days shows them in a valley right now rather than a peak.
Matt Shoemaker, LAA – He’s be insane over his last three starts and has a 1.59 ERA and a 31:0 K:BB over 22.2 innings in that span. I know, right? Mind blown. The Yankees have just a .301 wOBA against righties this season and that drops to .287 over the last seven days.
Tyler Chatwood, COL – Some of the Rockies hurlers still have value from road starts and Chatwood should warrant consideration for GPP play. The Dodgers got the better of him earlier this season but that was in Colorado. At Chavez Ravine, the Dodgers have just a .299 wOBA and over the last seven days, that numbers has dropped to .282 and comes with a 24.3-percent strikeout rate.
Jon Niese, PIT – Can we throw a dart on the revenge game here? I think so. The Mets have just a .305 wOBA with a 27-percent K-rate against southpaws this season and over the past week, they have a .299 wOBA and no power as evidenced by the .106 ISO.