If you give a man a fish, he’ll eat for a day. If you teach a man to fish, he’ll eat for a lifetime.
We take this adage to heart when it comes to playing NFL DFS. The Fantasy Alarm Playbook isn’t just about handing you a list of players and a lineup to use each week. It is designed to help you learn to be a better DFS player. It’s about teaching you the process used in selecting which players to scout and, eventually, which ones to use.
Therefore, we will begin each week with the Weekly NFL DFS Watch List which is designed to keep tabs on marquee names, chalk plays and, of course, the weekly bargains who may not see the same coverage and exposure. This piece will be continuously updated throughout the week, based on the most recent news and injuries which means you may see a name or two removed as we get closer to kick-off. You may also see a few late-week additions who pique our interest for some reason too, and by the end of the week, this Watch List will eventually become your Playbook. Again, it’s about teaching you the process.
PLAYERS ADDED (11/21):
THURSDAY NIGHT GAME UPDATE:
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
Will Fuller , WR -- hamstring (questionable -- game-time decision)
Marlon Mack , RB -- hand (out indefinitely)
T.Y. Hilton , WR -- calf (questionable -- expected to play)
Parris Campbell , WR -- hand (questionable -- week-to-week)
Eric Ebron , TE -- ankle (questionable -- expected to play)
Mo Allie-Cox, TE -- thumb (questionable -- status uncertain)
Pierre Desir , CB -- knee (questionable -- game-time decision)
Spread: Texans -3.5
Mostly cloudy with temperatures in the mid-70s, with a chance of scattered thunderstorms around 9pm CT, winds blowing SSE at 8-10 mph
Last Game -- October 20th: Indianapolis wins 30-23
Colts have won the last three-straight games against the Texans and have won five of the last six dating back to Nov. 5, 2017
Average margin of victory over last six game -- 7 points (four games finished one score apart)
If you are playing the Showdown Slate, here is who I like:
Deshaun Watson , QB -- The Colts have been without Pierre Desir for the last four games and while he is a game-time decision, he may not be at 100%. The Colts have allowed an average of 228.8 passing yards per game with 14 thouchdowns through the air. They have also allowed opposing QBs to post a 93.8 passer rating against them and Watson is in need of a big rebound game after last week's thrashing at the hands of the Ravens.
Jacoby Brissett , QB -- The Texans secondary continues to be their defense's Achilles heel and adding Vernon Hargreaves to the mess could be more harm than good. The Texans have allowed 272.4 passing yards per game with a whopping 22 touchdowns allowed through the air. If Brissett is truly getting T.Y. Hilton back, this could turn into a bit of a shootout.
Nyheim Hines , RB -- The Houstion run defense has suffered tremendously since the loss of J.J. Watt and Hines should see an increased role with the loss of Marlon Mack . The Texans rank 25th against RB pass-plays and are allowing just over 65 yards per game to them. In a shared backfield with the potential of a heavy passing attack, Hines could have a strong effort.
Jordan Wilkins , RB -- Even though Jonathan Williams had a strong game last week after Mack went down, the two backs are likely to split the workload between the tackles. Wilkins has, to me, been the more impressive runner over time and feel like he could be the choice at the goal-line and in short-yardage situations.
DeAndre Hopkins , WR -- He's a no-brainer in this match-up, especially with the COlts giving up over 80 yards per game to the opposing WR1.
Kenny Stills , WR -- With Will Fuller being a game-time decision, we'll look to Stills as the potential deep-threat this week. If Fuller is in, a pivot to him is likely, but if not, Stills will be the guy stretching the field.
Keke Coutee , WR -- Could be intriguing if Fuller is out.
T.Y. Hilton , WR -- If the calf is ok and he's good to go, he could be an intriguing add, especially if ownership stays low on him.
Zach Pascal , WR -- With or without Hilton playing, he makes for a solid possibility. If Hilton is out, he'll see plenty of targets. If Hilton is in, he'll see more one-on-one match-ups with Hilton drawing coverage away.
Jack Doyle , TE -- Should Eric Ebron be out, he becomes an even bigger target. Brissett looks for him near the red zone and while the texans rank fifth in coverage against the position, the yardage they've allowed to the position since Watt has been out has steadily increased.
Darren Fells , TE -- You won't see a lot of yardage, but Watson definitely looks for him inside the red zone.