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NFL Matchups - Week WC Preview

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans

Venue: NRG Stadium(Houston)Sat. 1-5 @ 4:35 pm ESTOver/Under: 47.5

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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-1.5), Saturday, 4:35 pm EST.

Last meeting (12/9/18, Week 14): The Colts won 24-21. Andrew Luck threw for 399 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Marlon Mack rushed for 33 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries. T.Y. Hilton caught nine passes for 199 yards. Deshaun Watson threw for 267 yards and a touchdown and also rushed for 35 yards on five carries. Ryan Griffin caught five passes for 80 yards.

Indianapolis Colts  

Andrew Luck - Luck has been fantastic all season and Week 17 was no different. He put up his 13th multi touchdown game and his ninth game with at least three scores. In two games versus the Texans this season, he has put up a total of 863 passing yards and six touchdowns with only one interception. He is the top QB play this week.

Marlon Mack - Mack has saved some of his best work of the season for the end of the year. Over his last three games, he has put up 292 yards rushing and three touchdowns. He has a tough test this week versus a Texans defense who have allowed the fifth fewest fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season.

T.Y. Hilton - Hilton has been great when he has been on the field. He only had two games that he played this year where he scored less than 10 fantasy points and he lit up the Texans in their divisional matchups this year. The only discouraging part is that his two touchdowns this season came in Week’s 1 and 2.

Dontrelle Inman - Inman has started to come on late a bit for the Colts. He has had back to back weeks with a touchdown and has been targeted and on the field more than Charles Rogers and Ryan Grant . He has a tough matchup with Johnathan Joseph , so he is a risky play.

Eric Ebron - All it took for Ebron to finally break out was getting out of Detroit. He scored double digit fantasy points in 11 of the 15 games he played this year and is a big part of the passing game. In two games versus the Texans this year, he caught nine passes for 105 yards and two touchdowns.

Houston Texans

Deshaun Watson - Watson was great in his return from an ACL tear. He has scored at least double digit fantasy points in all but two games this season. He hasn’t been the monster we saw in his small sample last year, but he has been great down the stretch with with an average of just over 24 fantasy points per game over the last six weeks. He is my second favorite play after Luck.

Lamar Miller - After missing Week 16 and most of Week 15, Miller bounced back nicely versus a tough Jags defense. Now that he is back and healthy, Alfred Blue and D’Onta Foreman. The Colts front seven has played better as of late, but he should get a ton of touches.

DeAndre Hopkins - Hopkins has been fantastic this season. He has put up at least 12 fantasy points in every game this season and had 20+ in seven of those games. In his games versus the Colts this season, he scored 32.9 and 12.4 fantasy points respectively.  He is a stud and the top receiver play this week.

Keke Coutee - Coutee practiced fully early in the week which means he seems likely to return after missing a bunch of weeks to injury. He has a tough matchup out of the slot, but he should soak up the majority of the targets that DeAndre Carter and Vyncint Smith received the last two weeks.

Prediction: The Colts win 30-24.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys

Venue: AT&T Stadium(Arlington)Sat. 1-5 @ 8:15 pm ESTOver/Under: 43.5

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Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (-1.5), Saturday, 8:15 pm EST.

Last Meeting (9/23/18, Week 3): The Seahawks won 24-13. Dak Prescott threw for 168 yards, one touchdown and an interception. Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 127 yards on 16 carries. Greg Swaim caught five passes for 47 yards. Russell Wilson threw for 192 yards and two touchdowns. Chris Carson rushed for 102 yards and a touchdown on 32 carries. Tyler Lockett caught four passes for 77 yards and a touchdown.

Seattle Seahawks

Russell Wilson - Wilson has had some bumps in the road, but has been very good most of the season. He has double digit touchdown passes in all but three games this season.  However, he gets a Cowboys defense that has been great this season, allowing the 10th fewest fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Chris Carson - Carson has been great down the stretch for the Seahawks with three straight games of over 115 yards and four total touchdowns in that span. He gets a tough matchup versus the Cowboys, who has allowed the eighth fewest fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. However, in their matchup earlier this season, the Seahawks really emphasized the run and I would expect that to continue.  

Doug Baldwin - Baldwin has been very hit or miss this season. He put up his two best weeks during the fantasy playoffs, which was nice if people played him, but he has been plagued by injuries all season long. He has a tough matchup this week as he will see a ton of Jourdan Lewis and Bryon Jones, so he isn’t high on my list of guys I am rolling out this week.

Tyler Lockett - There has always been upside with Lockett, but this season, he has really come into his own and showed some decent floor. He scored at least double digit fantasy points in all, but two games this year. He will see Chidobe Awuzie most of the game, so it is not a bad matchup as long as Wilson has enough time to get him the ball.

Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott - In spite of having nothing to play for, Prescott not only played in Week 17, he put up his best game of the season. Prescott has been great since getting Amari Cooper from the Raiders, putting up at least 14 point in each game except the loss at Indianapolis. There is still some risk, but Prescott has a pretty safe floor this week.

Ezekiel Elliott - Elliott has been fantastic this season, leading the league in rushing while adding 77 receptions. The receiving has been a nice addition to his fantasy value, giving him an extra dimension when defenses sell out versus the run. He gets a Seattle defense that really struggled this year against receiving backs allowing the third most receiving yards and the most touchdowns to the position this year.  

Amari Cooper - Cooper was fantastic after being traded to the Cowboys, but has struggled the last three weeks. He has a fantastic matchup this week versus Shaquill Griffin , who has struggled in coverage this year. This should be a nice bounceback game this week.

Cole Beasley - Beasley had a nice game in Week 17, but he has been hit or miss all year. He will see a lot of Justin Coleman out of the slot, who has been pretty good this year. I probably would avoid him in most formats.

Michael Gallup - Gallup has had an uneven rookie season, but has flashed his talent at times. He has caught at least three passes in four of his last five games, so there are targets, but he is touchdown dependent.

Prediction: The Cowboys win 20-18.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens

Venue: M&T Bank Stadium(Baltimore)Sun. 1-6 @ 1:05 pm ESTOver/Under: 41.5

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Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5), Sunday, 1:05 pm EST.

Last Meeting (12/22/18, Week 16): The Ravens won 22-10. Lamar Jackson threw for 204 yards and a touchdown. Gus Edwards rushed for 92 yards. Mark Andrews caught two passes for 83 yards and a touchdown. Philip Rivers threw for 181 yards and two interceptions. Melvin Gordon rushed for 41 yards and a touchdown on 12 carries. Keenan Allen caught five passes for 58 yards.

Los Angeles Chargers

Philip Rivers - Rivers has not put up many fantasy points the last two weeks, but last week was largely because the Chargers went into cruise control early on. Prior to Weeks 16 and 17, Rivers had scored at least 13.5 points in every game this season. He is a boom or bust play versus the Ravens this week, who he lost to at home in Week 16.  

Melvin Gordon - Gordon has struggled to really get things going since returning from injury in Week 16 versus the Ravens. However, he has been fantastic when on the field, scoring double digit fantasy points 11 of his 12 games this year and over 20 points in eight of them. The Ravens have only allowed the fourth fewest fantasy points per game to opposing backs this season, so it will be tough sledding.

Keenan Allen - In spite of missing a game in Week 15, Allen has been great this year. He put up double digit fantasy points in every game except one and had four 20+ point games this year. He will see a ton of Tavon Young this week out of the slot this week, which is a nice matchup.

Tyrell Williams - There was a brief moment in which Tyrell appeared to be heading for a breakout, but that has seemingly disappeared. Since Week 10, he only has one game of double digit fantasy points and zero touchdowns. He has a tough matchup this week with Marlon Humphrey s, so don’t expect a big week.

Mike Williams - Williams has been boom or bust all year. He has eight double digit scoring weeks, but two of them have come in the last three weeks. He will see a lot of Jimmy Smith , who has struggled at times giving up big plays. There is risk here, but I think Williams is worth the gamble in DFS.

Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson - Jackson continues to do the majority of his damage on the ground. Since the Week 10 bye, Jackson has rushed for at least 65 yards in every game but one. There isn’t a ton of upside with him, but he has a fairly safe floor.

Gus Edwards -  Edwards has been the go to back for a while now, but last week, he and Kenneth Dixon split carries evenly. Dixon is clearly the better athlete, but that hasn’t meant much until now. The Chargers have struggled mightily versus receiving backs as well this year, allowing the most receiving yards to the position in 2018, opening up some work for Ty Montgomery as well. Right now I would rank the backs: 1) Edwards, 2) Dixon, 3) Montgomery, but all have different levels of playability depending on the format and price attached.

Michael Crabtree , John Brown , Willie Snead - None of the wide receivers in Baltimore are fantasy viable with Jackson’s run first approach, but if I was going to bet on one this week, it would be Snead out of the slot.

Mark Andrews - Andrews is clearly Jackson’s favorite targets and while that doesn’t mean a ton, it gives him some sleeper value at tight end with so few options available.

Prediction:  The Ravens win 20-17.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears

Venue: Soldier Field(Chicago)Sun. 1-6 @ 4:40 pm ESTOver/Under: 41

   Weather

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears (-5.5), Sunday, 4:40 pm EST.

Last Meeting (11/26/17): The Eagles won 31-3. Mitch Trubisky threw for 147 yards and two interceptions. Trubisky also rushed for 12 yards on four carries. Dontrelle Inman caught four passes for 64 yards. Carson Wentz threw for 227 yards and three touchdowns. LeGarrette Blount rushed for 97 yards on 15 carries. Zach Ertz caught 10 passes for 103 yards and a touchdown.

Philadelphia Eagles

Nick Foles - In spite of missing a few snaps in last week’s game, Foles is expected to be ready for Sunday’s game versus the Bears. Foles has been very good the last two weeks and his heroics were legendary in the playoffs last year, but he is going up against a fantastic defense in Chicago and shouldn’t be bet on to come out of this one a victor.

Wendell Smallwood , Josh Adams , Darren Sproles - The Bears have the top ranked run defense in the league, allowing the fewest fantasy points this year to the position. Add in the fact that the Eagles has a three way split in carries last week and there is no reason to bank on any of these guys.

Alshon Jeffery - With Foles back under center, Jeffrey has been a bigger part of the offense. He has scored double digit fantasy points in each of his last four games. He does face off versus one of the league’s best corners in Kyle Fuller , so in one and done leagues, he probably isn’t the guy you want to gamble on.

Nelson Agholor - When the Eagles traded for Golden Tate , Agholor became the forgotten man in the offense. However, that has changed the last two weeks with Foles back under center. He has back-to-back 20+ point games and has been a bigger part of the offense. He has the easier outside corner on him as well in Prince Amukamara , so if any receiver on the Eagles is worth the gamble, Agholor.

Golden Tate - Tate has struggled in the offense since Wentz was shelved for the season. Foles has yet to make him a focal point of the offense. He has an extremely tough match this week versus arguably the league’s best slot corner in Sherrick McManis , so don’t think this is the week things turn around.

Zach Ertz - Ertz has been one of the best tight ends in the league this season, breaking the season record for catches in a season for a tight end. He is Foles’ outlet much like he was for Wentz. This is a tough matchup, but he should be heavily involved.

Chicago Bears

Mitchell Trubisky - Trubisky continues to be a very good game manager. However, that has led to some less than spectacular fantasy days.  He has 11 of 14 games this season with double digit fantasy points, but only three games with 20 or more. He gets an Eagles defense allowing the eighth most fantasy points this year to opposing quarterbacks, so it is a boom or bust moment for Trubisky.

Jordan Howard - Howard has been very hit or miss this season, but over the last four games he has gotten into his stride a bit. He has four straight double digit point games. He gets an Eagles defense that has been decen versus the run this year, but he is a safe option to get enough touches to matter.  

Tarik Cohen - Much of the Bears offense is boom or bust, but none more so than Cohen. Cohen has only nine games with at least 10 fantasy points, but four of those were 20+ point efforts. He doesn’t need many touches to be a difference makers, but he is hard to predict week to week.

Allen Robinson - Robinson did not play last week, but is a full go at practice this week, so he is expected to return. Robinson has struggled along with the growing pains associated with Trubisky this season, but when Trubisky is on, Robinson is usually the beneficiary. He has a great matchup here versus Avonte Maddox , who has struggled in coverage this season.

Taylor Gabriel - Gabriel has a low floor, low ceiling option out of the Bears offense this year. He only has five game with double digit fantasy points, but he continues to get more looks that the flashy rookie Anthony Miller . Gabriel shouldn’t be rostered in most postseason formats.

Trey Burton - Burton was surprisingly bad this season in spite of signing a big deal to be the tight end in Chicago. He was just never able to get on the same page with Trubisky. The Eagles have allowed the fourth fewest points this season to opposing tight ends, so don’t expect that to change now.

Prediction: The Bears win 17-15.

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