I’m not sure if this feature is new to PrizePicks or if I had simply never realized it before, but when I logged into PrizePicks to begin my research for this article, I had a message telling me you can mix players from different sports in your entries. Since I’m making picks for the NBA and PGA every week, it only seemed natural to make a four-pick entry this week with both NBA and PGA plays. As always, I list my picks in order of preference, so if you only want a two-pick entry, I would recommend my first two picks. I am still making four picks per sport, so if you aren’t quite ready to venture into PGA, simply scroll down to see the rest of my NBA picks.
.jpg)
Bradley Beal vs Dallas Mavericks
Projected Fantasy Points: 48.1
OVER
Beal has gone well over 48.1 fantasy points in four of his five games since the All-Star break, and Dallas has allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season.
It certainly doesn’t hurt that Beal is at home and is playing on two days’ rest.
Jason Day
Projected Fantasy Points: 18.5
OVER
Jason Day certainly looks like an elite fantasy play this week, but he isn’t quite projected like one. In three tournaments this year, Day has finished fourth, fifth and 13th. He has finished no worse than 23rd in his last four appearances at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Day ranks fourth on tour in Birdie or Better Percentage and 19th in Round 1 Scoring Average.
Karl-Anthony Towns @ Detroit Pistons
Projected Fantasy Points: 53.5
UNDER
KAT has been a beast since the All-Star break, but he appears to have the deck stacked against him in this game. Towns’s teams have never won against Andre Drummond , and Drummond has dominated Towns on the boards. Towns managed just 38.6 fantasy points in his first meeting with Drummond this season, and that was at home with one day of rest. The Timberwolves lost an hour traveling to Detroit after hosting the Thunder last night, and I would be shocked if Towns can meet the high bar he has set for himself over his last five games.
Tommy Fleetwood
Projected Fantasy Points: 18.0
UNDER
Fleetwood is a fine player, but he isn't exactly lighting the world on fire, going seven straight tournaments without a top ten. More importantly for our purposes, Fleetwood ranks 146th on tour in Birdie or Better Percentage and 98th in Round 1 Scoring Average.
Marc Leishman
Projected Fantasy Points: 18.0
OVER
More than most tournaments, the Arnold Palmer Invitational seems to feature a lot of the same names on the leaderboard year after year. Leishman won here in 2017 and finished seventh a year ago. He has three top-fives in five starts in 2019, and he ranks in the top 15 in Par 5 Scoring and Birdie or Better Percentage.
Andre Drummond vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Projected Fantasy Points: 48.9
OVER
As we mentioned above, Drummond has dominated Karl-Anthony Towns head-to-head, averaging 6.2 offensive rebounds per game in seven career games against Towns. Drummond managed just 40.2 fantasy points in his first meeting with Towns back in December, but Drummond has been much better in February and March. As we mentioned above, the Pistons have home court and a two-day rest advantage in this game.
.jpg)
Blake Griffin vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Projected Fantasy Points: 44.4
OVER
I don’t love picking three players from the same game or two from the same team, but I obviously love this spot for the Pistons, and I don’t think it is adequately reflected in these projections. Also, there is a reason Blake is the last NBA player on my list. That being said, he had 50.6 fantasy points in his previous meeting with the Timberwolves. Only the Clippers and Suns have allowed more fantasy points to opposing power forwards than Minnesota this season.
Keegan Bradley
Projected Fantasy Points: 17.0
UNDER
Keegan Bradley’s projection is rather modest, but he will still need to make birdies and go low on the par fives to get there, and neither of those are his strong suit. Bradley ranks 158th in Par 5 scoring and 99th in Birdie or Better Percentage this season. Bradley has finished better than T27 just once this year, and while he will probably play well enough to make it to the weekend, I doubt he goes low on Thursday.