DFS PGA Playbook - AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Drew Phelps explores every Fairway, reads every Green and uses his DFS Golf experience to put together a winning DFS Playbook for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Another fantastic edition of the Waste Management Open at TPC Scottsdale with so much drama down the stretch on Sunday. You have a guy who has finished second twice and both times in tragic fashion, once again faultering on the back nine. Seeing such a likeable figure as Rickie Fowler is on the PGA Tour finally come through, that's what makes sports truly special. You could not help but root for the guy and I know I got all feels seeing him embrace his Dad and his new fiance' in the pouring raing, it was almost something out of a movie script. I do have to toot my own horn for a second, I told every last one of you that Rickie Fowler was a fanastic play at this price on DraftKings. The talent is just too great for that depressed price tag. Ok, enough with the tooting, let's keep these good times rolling into another amazing event at Pebble Beach.
The Pebble Beach Pro-Am is another one of those special events where the tournament is played over three different courses and there is no cut until after the third round. I’ve said this repeatedly but when you get an extra round from all your golfers, you can afford to take more risk in your lineups. I would definitely lean more towards constructing a stars and scrubs lineup.
Let’s talk about the courses. We’ve got Pebble Beach Golf Links (Par 72 – 6,816 yards), Monterey Peninsula (Par 71 – 6,838 yards) and Spyglass Hill (Par 72 – 6,858 yards). You’ll notice that these courses are rather short and these players can go low but that is almost completely weather dependent. Per reports, the winds are looking moderate throughout the weekend ranging from eight to 15 MPH. There is a 90 percent chance of rain throughout the day on Friday. When I see such weather in the forecast, I'll definitely lean more towards players with experience playing on this course over the debutants despite their recent form.
There are two type of players you can target this weekend. I want either a bomber with good total driving numbers, who can also hit their wedges accurately from the rough or I want a course manager who can play the wind. As long as there is wind in the forecast, you'll have a lot of players missing greens which is why scrambling and play from the rough is vital to success this weekend.
The hardest part of setting lineups for the Pebble Beach Pro-Am is that there are a lot of top priced players with great track records. Spieth, DJ, Day, Snedeker, Mickelson, Walker, & Holmes all have terrific resumes at Pebble which makes it hard to determine a core. Unless you are able to set 150 lineups and use all the combinations of these top players, you'll have to put your foot in the ground and pick your core to ride. I’ve given mine below in the playbook. You will not see Phil Mickelson in my playbook because I just can't pick right with that guy. I don't believe in him at the Desert Classic and he finishes T2, but then I jump back on the bandwagon at basically his home course and he misses the cut. You feel free to play him with his four wins and two second place finishes in 2016 and 2018, but I'm just going to stay away.
One more thing you must remember about this event, the celebrity factor. You've got a lot of big name celebrities playing with these pros which gives you another level of distraction. Bill Murray is a staple of this event and makes it all about him. Just make sure you check out which type of celebrity is playing with your golfer, that can play a big role in determining the winner this weekend.
Pebble Beach is one of the great public venues in the United States and always a fun weekend of golf. There are not many golf hacks out there that wouldn’t give a full pay check for a chance to play this track, myself being one of them. The U.S. Open will be played at Pebble Beach this June, this tournament will give me and most of the DFS golf community vital information to make their selections this summer. Watch this event very closely!
UPDATE: DO NOT PLAY PATRICK CANTLAY ... HE HAS WITHDRAWN FROM THE TOURNAMENT!
ONE & DONE PLAY OF THE WEEK: Paul Casey
LONG SHOT BET OF THE WEEK: Jimmy Walker (+12500)
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