Esports DFS Playbook: CS:GO November 24
Sean Mitchell brings you all the important stats and map data to build winning lineups for Tuesday's 3-Match BLAST CS:GO DFS Slate!
CS:GO DFS Playbook Blast Premier Fall 2020 Showdown (3-Match)
Complexity (Ranked 10th in World) @ Sprout (Ranked 19th in World):
Betting Odds: Complexity -345/Sprout +245
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +115/Under -155
*This a Round of 16 Best of three match to begin this Event.
*Sprout played on Monday and came away with a 2-0 sweep over HellRaisers in the ESEA MDL Season 35 Europe and have now won two of their last three. Their lone loss in that span was to sAw in an 0-2 reverse sweep. Complexity were losers in their last match, a semi-final match against Vitality in the IEM Beijing-Haidian 2020 Europe Event with an 0-2 result. Vitality went on the win that Event, as well. However, Complexity had been on a mini-streak before the loss winning three-straight prior to.
*Statistics for Complexity Over the Last Month of Play (16 Maps): blameF 1.22 Rating, k0nfig 1.16 Rating, jks 1.10 Rating, RUSH 0.98 Rating, Poizon 0.93 Rating.
*Statistics for Sprout Over the Last Month of Play (30 Maps): faveN 1.14 Rating, snatchie 1.08 Rating, dycha 1.07 Rating, denis 1.00 Rating, Spiidi 0.96 Rating.
*These two teams have played two best of three matches so far in 2020 with Complexity sweeping both matches. Only one map of the four played in those two matches saw Sprout win double-digit rounds and that was on Nuke in a 16-12 loss. Other maps were Inferno (16-4), Overpass (16-6), and Inferno again (16-9).
*For Complexity vs Sprout (4 Maps): blameF +39 K-D Diff, 1.91 K-D, 1.48 Rating. K0nfig +32 K-D Diff, 1.57 K-D, 1.37 Rating. Rush (Best numbers against any team in 2020 so far) +34 K-D Diff, 1.81 K-D, 1.33 Rating. Poizon +17 K-D Diff, 1.33 K-D, 1.22 Rating. (*Reminder jks was not on Comp for these matches)
*For Sprout vs Complexity (4 Maps): No positive stat-lines for Sprout over this sample. Best number was -26 K-D Diff for Spiidi.
*The first two ban maps for this match should include Overpass and Inferno. The first maps chosen for this map will likely be Nuke or Mirage for Complexity and Vertigo for Sprout. I am going to think that Complexity likely goes away from Nuke as it has been a very good map to Sprout lately, and we see Mirage and Vertigo.
*Complexity on Mirage (11 Maps): poizon 1.23 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.33 IMP, 85.7 ADR. K0nfig 1.20 Rating, blameF 1.20 Rating, jks 1.13 Rating, RUSH 0.84 Rating. On Vertigo (9 Maps): blameF 1.28 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.38 IMP, 89.9 ADR. K0nfig 1.11 Rating, jks 1.07 Rating, poizon 1.04 Rating, RUSH 0.99 Rating.
*Sprout on Vertigo (16 Maps): dycha 1.22 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.31 IMP, 85.8 ADR. Snatchie 1.16 Rating, faveN 1.11 Rating, Spiidi 1.10 Rating, denis 1.06 Rating. On Mirage (16 Maps): faveN 1.21 Rating, 0.81 KPR, 1.20 IMP, 83.1 ADR. Snatchie 1.05 Rating, dycha 1.05 Rating, Spiidi 0.94 Rating. Denis 0.91 Rating.
Spirit (Ranked 16th In World) @ Virtus.pro (Ranked 15th in World):
Betting Odds: V.Pro -130/Spirit +100
Map Odds: 2.5 Over -110/Under -120
*This is a Round of 16 opening best of three match for this Event.
*Virtus.pro’s most recent match was a close loss to OG in the Flashpoint 2 event just a couple days ago but had won three of their prior four before the loss. Spirit have lost two of their last three, but it was also to a trio of heavy-hitters in Vitality, OG, and NaVi. They did however beat both Sprout (2-1) and North (2-0) prior to those losses.
*Statistics for Virtus.pro Over the Last Month of Play (31 Maps): Jame 1.22 Rating, YEKINDAR 1.17 Rating, buster 1.10 Rating, qikert 1.02 Rating, SANJI 0.98 Rating.
*Statistics for Spirit Over the Last Month of Play (17 Maps): mir 1.19 Rating, magixx 1.12 Rating, sdy 1.07 Rating, chooper 1.03 Rating, iDISBALANCE 1.03 Rating.
*These two teams are pretty familiar with each other and have played four matches so far in 2020. Spirit swept them 2-0 in their most recent showdown at WePlay! Clutch Island Event, and it was a revenge feat as Vpro had beat them 2-1 earlier in that event. Spirit has also won the two prior, making their wins in three of the four matches played. Three of the four matches saw three maps, as well.
*For Spirit vs V.pro (15 Maps): iDISBALANCE +42 K-D Diff, 1.18 K-D, 1.15 Rating. Mir +38 K-D Diff, 1.14 K-D, 1.16 Rating.
*For V.pro vs Spirit (15 Maps): Jame +28 K-D Diff, 1.12 K-D, 1.11 Rating. Quikert +17 K-D Diff, 1.06 K-D, 1.09 Rating.
*The first two ban maps for this match should include Vertigo and Nuke. Both teams have been choosing Dust2 as their first choice lately, with V.Pro picking it almost 70% of the time. A secondary map for Spirit will likely be Overpass. Looking at their prior matches, Dust2 was in three of four, Train, Mirage, Overpass, and Inferno showed up twice. In their most recent match, Spirit did go with Train, where they won 16-13. I would think that they would go back to this well here honestly. I think we see Dust2 and Train.
*Spirit for Train (5 Maps): mir 1.33 Rating, 0.89 KPR, 1.50 IMP, 85.0 ADR. Magixx 1.15 Rating, chopper 1.02 Rating, iDISBALANCE 1.02 Rating, sdy 0.86 Rating. For Dust2 (12 Maps): mir 1.30 Rating, 0.82 KPR, 1.29 IMP, 87.3 ADR. Magixx 1.22 Rating, iDISBALANCE 1.19 Rating, sdy 1.16 Rating, chopper 1.15 Rating.
*Virtus.pro for Dust2 (20 Maps): Jame 1.30 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.25 IMP, 78.4 ADR. YEKINDAR 1.25 Rating, qikert 1.15 Rating, buster 1.12 Rating, SANJI 1.00 Rating. For Train (7 Maps): Jame 1.34 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.10 IMP, 80.9 ADR. Buster 1.33 Rating, YEKINDAR 1.18 Rating, qikert 1.12 Rating, SANJI 0.96 Rating.
FURIA (Ranked 8th in World) vs Isurus (Ranked 90th in World):
Betting Odds: Furia -1665/Isurus +725
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +205/Under -285
*This is a Round of 16 opening best of three match for this Event.
*FURIA come into this one likely pretty angry after their last two matches have resulted in a 1-2 loss to MIBR and a reverse sweep to G2. Isurus has been playing lower-level competition lately and have won three of their last four, however their most recent match was an 0-2 loss to a team called 9z.
*Statistics for FURIA Over the Last Month of Play (5 Maps): yuurih 1.15 Rating, KSCERATO 0.99 Rating, HEN1 0.89 Rating, arT 0.86 Rating, VINI 0.72 Rating. (*Reminder the level of competition they have played)
*Statistics for Isurus Over the Last Month of Play (11 Maps): deco 1.18 Rating, Noktse 1.15 Rating, reversive 1.12 Rating, JonY BoY 1.09 Rating, caike 0.98 Rating.
*These two do not have any recent head-to-head data for 2020.
*The first two ban maps for this match should include Vertigo for Isurus and Dust2 for FURIA. Both teams have been choosing to play on Inferno quite a bit lately, Isurus also taking a liking to Overpass as well. I think there is a decent shot we see Inferno and Overpass for this one.
*FURIA on Inferno (14 Maps): yuurih 1.22 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.05 IMP, 80.2 ADR. HEN1 1.17 Rating, KSCERATO 1.17 Rating, VINI 1.15 Rating, arT 1.10 Rating. On Overpass (4 Maps): yuurih 1.32 Rating, 0.88 KPR, 1.42 IMP, 95.2 ADR. HEN1 1.22 Rating, KSCERATO 1.08 Rating, arT 1.03 Rating, VINI 0.92 Rating.
*Isurus on Overpass (7 Maps): JonY BoY 1.28 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.39 IMP, 83.5 ADR. Noktse 1.10 Rating, reversive 1.07 Rating, caike 0.96 Rating, deco 0.94 Rating. On Inferno (10 Maps): deco 1.17 Rating, 0.71 KPR, 1.15 IMP, 80.1 ADR. JonY BoY 1.12 Rating, reversive 1.09 Rating, Noktse 1.02 Rating, caike 0.94 Rating.
*TOP STACKS: Complexity, FURIA, Virtus.pro
*TOP PLAYS: blameF, k0nfig, yuurih, HEN1, mir, Jame
*TOP CONTRARIAN STACKS: Spirit (If im being honest, I like VPro more)