Esports DFS Playbook: CS:GO November 18
Sean Mitchell brings you all the important stats and map data to help you build winning lineups for the CS:GO DFS Nine to Five 6 4-Match slate on Wednesday!
CS:GO DFS Playbook Nine to Five 6 - 11.18.2020
Heretics (Ranked 84th in World) @ Nexus (Ranked 40th in World):
Betting Odds: Nexus -180/Heretics +140
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +110/Under -145
*This is a Swiss Round 3 best of three for Teams with a 1-1 Record.
*Heretics were winners in their most recent match played over MBAPPEEk in a 2-1 result but were losers in their four straight prior that win. They have been playing with two new players as well in Kyojin and DEVIL. This core has played less than 4 matches together. Nexus is fresh off a loss on Tuesday to Espada sending to this round for teams with a 1-1 record.
*For the Event for Heretics: Lucky 1.22 Rating, kioShiMa 1.15 Rating, Python 1.04 Rating, Kyojin 1.03 Rating, DEVIL 0.88 Rating.
*For the Event for Nexus: XELLOW 1.11 Rating, iM 1.07 Rating, SEMINTE 0.96 Rating, MhN1 0.88 Rating, BTN 0.84 Rating.
*For the Last Month of Play for Heretics (29 Maps): Lucky 1.13 Rating, kioShiMa 1.02 Rating, Python 0.98 Rating, Devil (7 Maps) 0.90 Rating, Kyojin (7 Maps) 1.02 Rating.
*For the Last Month of Play for Nexus (49 Maps): iM 1.19 Rating, XELLOW 1.12 rating, SEMINTE 0.97 Rating, mhN1 (16 Maps) 0.88 Rating, BTN 0.85 Rating.
*There is no prior head-to-head data recently for these teams.
*The first two ban maps for this match will include Nuke and Train. Heretics just so happen to be choosing Nuke as their typical first map choice lately, so this one will be thrown out and they will have to use a secondary map. Nexus is choosing Mirage near 50% of the time lately, while Heretics are going with Dust2 as their second-most chosen map lately. However, Inferno is their third-most chosen map lately and they have also won near 70% of their last six ties there, while Nexus isn’t hitting above 50% in their last 16 tries. With that said, I believe we see Mirage and Inferno in this one.
*Heretics on Inferno (15 Maps): Lucky 1.19 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.27 IMP, 86.2 ADR. kioShiMa 1.10 Rating, Kyojin (1 Map) 0.94 Rating Python 0.86 Rating, DEVIL (1 Maps) 0.86 Rating. On Mirage (15 Maps): Kyojin 1.11 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.22 IMP , 87.7 ADR (2 Maps), Python 1.10 Rating (6 Maps), kioShiMa 0.99 Rating, Lucky 0.97 Rating, DEVIL (2 Maps) 0.60 Rating.
*Nexus on Mirage (24 Maps): XELLOW 1.22 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.29 IMP, 81.0 ADR. iM 1.21 Rating, SEMINTE 1.04 Rating, mhN1 0.96 Rating (5 Maps), BTN 0.90 Rating. On Inferno (15 Maps): XELLOW 1.19 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.25 IMP, 82.9 ADR. iM 1.04 Rating, SEMINTE 0.88 Rating, BTN 0.85 Rating, mhN 1 0.84 Rating (5 Maps).
ALTERNATE aTTaX (Ranked 47th in World) @ Giants (Ranked 108th in World):
Betting Odds: ALT aTT -225/Giants +165
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +115/Under -155
*This is Swiss Round 3 for Teams with Record of 101.
*ALT aTT is fresh off a loss today in a reverse sweep of 0-2 to PACT, while Giants bested LDLC with a 2-1 result, as well. ALT aTT comes in with a little better recent form however, as they had won two-straight prior to the sweep, so this could be labeled as a bounce-back spot. Giants had lost two straight before their win over LDLC.
*For the Event for ALT aTT: slaxz- 1.36 Rating, stfN 1.12 Rating, mirbit 1.11 Rating, kressy 1.08 Rating, ScrunK 0.84 Rating.
*For the Event for Giants: obj 1.03 rating, NOPEEJ 1.01 Rating, RIZZZ 0.99 Rating, fox 0.98 Rating, pr 0.97 Rating.
*Over the Last Month of Play for ALT aTT (37 Maps): slaxz- 1.24 Rating, stfN 1.10 Rating, mirbit 1.08 Rating, kressy 1.07 Rating, ScrunK 0.90 Rating.
*Over the Last Month of Play for Giants: NOPEEJ 1.10 Rating, fox 1.04 Rating, pr 1.02 Rating, obj 0.99 Rating, RIZZZ 0.97 Rating.
*These two squads have no head-to-head matches played recently.
*The first two ban maps for this match will include Nuke and Overpass. The two first picks typical for these two squads include Vertigo for ALT aTT, and Inferno for Giants. I believe there are the two we see also.
*ALT aTT on Vertigo (8 maps): slaxz- 1.15 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.07 IMP, 74.1 ADR. stfN 1.14 Rating, kressy 1.05 Rating, mirbit 0.98 Rating, ScrunK 0.68 Rating. On Inferno (11 Maps): slaxz- 1.28 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.33 IMP, 78.4 ADR. Kressy 1.13 Rating, mirbit 1.10 Rating, stfN 1.01 Rating, ScrunK 0.93 Rating.
*Giants on Inferno (12 Maps): fox 1.20 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.35 IMP, 78.4 ADR. NOPEEJ 1.18 Rating, pr 1.13 Rating, obj 1.01 Rating, RIZZ 0.99 Rating. On Vertigo (5 Maps): NOPEEJ 1.27 Rating, 0.85 KPR, 1.27 Rating, 1.39 IMP, 93.8 ADR. Fox 1.10 Rating, RIZZ 1.00 Rating, obj 0.99 Rating, pr 0.91 Rating.
Espada (Ranked 32nd in World @ Galaxy Racer (Ranked 57th in World):
Betting Odds: Espada -195/Galaxy Racers +150
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +110/Under -150
*This is Swiss Round 3 for Teams with a 2-0 Record.
*Both of these teams were successful in victory on Tuesday to further their advance to the round of teams with an undefeated record up to this point. Espada took care of Nexus in a 2-1 result, while Galaxy Racer also won a 2-1 result of their own.
*For the Event for Espada: degster 1.57 Rating, Dima 1.15 Rating, Patsi 1.15 Rating, FinigaN 1.00 Rating, s0tF1k 0.87 Rating.
*For the Event for Galaxy Racers: FREDDyFROG 1.22 Rating, Relaxa 1.15 Rating, disco doplan 1.06 Rating, PlesseN 0.94 Rating, dezon 0.90 Rating.
*For the Last Month of Play for Espada (39 Maps): degster 1.33 Rating, Dima 1.15 Rating, Patsi 1.08 Rating, FinigaN 1.02 Rating, s0tF1k 0.93 Rating.
*For the Last Month of Play for Galaxy Racer (44 Maps): FREDDyFROG 1.12 Rating, Relaxa 1.13 Rating, disco doplan 1.10 Rating (16 Maps), PlesseN 1.09 Rating, dezon 0.98 Rating.
*There has only been one match between these two recently in 2020 and it was at the Eden Arena Malta Vibes Cup 7. Espada won both Dust2 (22-19) and Overpass (16-9) in a 2-0 Sweep.
*Top Players for Espada vs GR (2 Maps): degster +20 K-D Diff, 1.27 Rating, 83.2 ADR. FinigaN +10 K-D Diff, 1.23 Rating, 74.8 ADR. Dima +3 K-D Diff, 1.22 Rating, 84.1 ADR.
*Top Players for GR vs Espada (2 Maps): FREDDyFROG +11 K-D Diff, 1.17 Rating, 78.6 ADR. Relaxa +2 K-D Diff, 1.12 Rating, 78.1 ADR.
*The first two ban maps for this match include Vertigo and Nuke. The two typical maps chosen lately for these two teams include Overpass for GR and Mirage for Espada. However, I could easily see Espada electing to go the route of Dust2, where they have won 10 of their last 10 opportunities there. I believe we see Overpass and Mirage for this one however.
*Galaxy Racers on Overpass (19 Maps): FREDDyFROG 1.18 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.20 IMP, 82 ADR. PlesseN 1.16 Rating, Relaxa 1.14 Rating, dezon 0.98 Rating, disco doplan 0.98 Rating (3 Maps). On Mirage (10 Maps): FREDDyFROG 1.11 Rating, 0.68 KPR, 0.98 IMP, 77.6 ADR. PlesseN 1.08 Rating, disco doplan 1.03 Rating (2 Maps), Relaxa 1.01 Rating, dezon 0.84 Rating.
*Espada on Mirage (17 Maps): degster 1.05 Rating, 0.67 KPR, 1.09 IMP, 69.2 ADR. Dima 1.03 Rating, Patsi 1.03 Rating, s0tF1k 1.03 Rating, FinigaN 1.00 Rating. On Overpass (17 Maps): degster 1.29 Rating, 0.86 KPR, 1.37 IMP, 84.3 ADR. Patsi 1.10 Rating, Dima 1.06 Rating, FinigaN 1.01 Rating, s0tF1k 0.90 Rating.
SG.pro (Ranked 96th in World) @ PACT (ranked 55th in World):
Betting Odds: PACT -180/SG.pro +140
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +110/Under -150
*This is Swiss Round 3 with Teams with a 2-0 Record.
*As mentioned above, these two were winners in their previous 1-0 record rounds to move to the next round for 2-0 records. SG beat out the Copenhagen Flames in a 2-1 result, while PACT swept ALTERNATE aTTax on Tuesday, as well.
*For the Event for SG.pro: DIRATY 1.19 Rating, s1natoRRR 1.17 Rating, Kise 1.17 Rating, fame 1.15 Rating, RuFire 0.97 Rating.
*For the Event for PACT: MINISE 1.20 Rating, Goofy 1.06 Rating, lunAtic 1.05 Rating, darko 1.05 Rating, Sobol 0.96 Rating.
*Over the Last Month of Play for SG.pro (19 Maps): s1natoRRR 1.17 Rating, fame 1.11 Rating, Diray 1.06 Rating, kise 1.06 Rating, RuFire 0.92 Rating.
*Over the Last Month of Play for PACT (37 Maps): Sobol 1.12 Rating, Goofy 1.11 Rating, Darko 1.08 Rating, MINISE 1.07 Rating, lunAtic 1.01 Rating.
*These two have played one best of three match in 2020 in the Nine to Five 6 Dawn Event and PACT took it down in a 2-1 result.
*Top Players for SG.pro vs PACT (3 Maps): fame +10 K-D Diff, 1.24 Rating, 82.7 ADR.
*Top Players for PACT vs SG.pro (3 Maps): darko +16 K-D Diff, 1.19 Rating, 79.2 ADR. lunAtic +12 K-D Diff, 1.17 Rating, 81.4 ADR. Sobol +5 K-D Diff, 1.10 Rating, 81.4 ADR.
*The two ban maps that we should see for this match include Mirage and Inferno. The two typical map choices for this match include Train SG.pro, and Inferno for PACT, which we know will be a ban, thus meaning PACT will have to choose a secondary map. I believe we see them go with Dust2.
*PACT on Dust2 (12 Maps): Sobol 1.08 Rating, 0.71 KPR, 1.08 IMP, 75.6 ADR. MINISE 1.05 Rating, Goofy 1.00 Rating, darko 0.95 Rating, lunAtic 0.91 Rating. On Train (13 Maps): Goofy 1.06 Rating, 0.72 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 81.2 ADR. MINISE 1.00 Rating, darko 0.95 Rating, Sobol 0.86 Rating, lunAtic 0.81 Rating.
*SG.pro on Train (11 Maps): fame 1.12 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.15 IMP, 81.3 ADR. Diray 1.08 Rating, s1natoRR 1.07 Rating, kise 1.00 Rating, RuFire 0.88 Rating. On Dust2 (4 Maps): kise 1.33 Rating, 0.83 KPR, 1.44 IMP, 87.1 ADR. Fame 1.21 Rating, s1natoRRR 1.04 Rating, Diray 1.00 Rating, RuFire 0.70 Rating.
*Top Stacks: ALTERNATE aTTax, Nexus, Espada
*Top Plays: degster, slaxz-, FREDDyFROG, ZELLOW, fame, NOPEEJ
*Top Contrarian Stacks: SG.pro, Galaxy Racers, (I think Giants are sneaky if you wanna go there in GPP)