CS:GO DFS Playbook – DreamHack Masters Spring 2021

G2 (Ranked 8th in World) @ Astralis (Ranked 3rd in World)

Betting Odds: G2- 155/Astralis +120

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -115/Under -115

*This is a best of three quarter-final match for DreamHack Masters Spring 2021 Event.

*G2 For Event: huNter 1.15 Rating, NiKo 1.09, AmaNEk 0.98, nexa 0.97, JaCkz 0.97.

*G2 For the Last Month of Play (27 Maps): huNter 1.15 Rating, NiKo 1.15, AmaNEk 0.97, nexa 0.94, JaCkz 0.91.

*Astralis For Event: Magisk 1.22 Rating, Bubzkji 1.13, Xyp9x 1.02, dupreeh 1.02, gla1ve 0.94.

*Astralis For the Last Month of Play (11 Maps): Magisk 1.07 Rating, Bubzkji 1.04, dupreeh 0.89, Xyp9x 0.85, gla1ve 0.78.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have played just once in 20201 with Astralis winning 2-1 with wins of 16-14 on Inferno, and 16-8 on Vertigo, with G2 winning 16-14 on Dust2.

*Top Performers For Astralis (3 Maps): dupreeh +12 K-D Diff, 1.28 Rating, 91.5 ADR. Magisk +6 K-D Diff, 1.12 Rating, 75.3 ADR.

*Top Performers For G2 (3 Maps): NiKo +11 K-D Diff, 1.13 Rating, 77.7 ADR. nexa +2 K-D Diff, 1.02 Rating, 69.6 ADR.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Mirage for Astralis and Overpass for G2. I think we will see Inferno for Astralis and Dust2 for G2.

*G2 on Dust2 (11 Maps): NiKo 1.17 Rating, 0.71 KPR, 1.21 IMP, 82.1 ADR. huNter 1.06, AmaNEk 0.90, nexa 0.89, JaCkz 0.81. On Inferno (11 Maps): huNter 1.25 Rating, 0.84 KPR, 1.29 IMP, 89.9 ADR. NiKo 1.10, AmaNEk 1.08, nexa 0.98, JaCkz 0.96.

*Astralis on Inferno (10 Maps): gla1ve 1.02 Rating, 0.62 KPR, 1.08 IMP, 72.8 ADR. dupreeh 1.01, Magisk 0.99, Bubzkji 0.88, Xyp9x 0.86. On Dust2 (6 Maps): Xyp9x 1.14 Rating, 0.67 KPR, 0.92, 78.1 ADR. dupreeh 1.06, Magisk 1.05, gla1ve 0.93.

Analysis: I think this is likely a pretty close match. I think we could easily see another three-mapper here as well. I lean G2 here, but I think they end up being chalky here so ill likely have some Astralis in tournaments. Maps favor Astralis at the moment as well.

 

FURIA (Ranked 7th in World) @ NaVi (Ranked 4th in World):

Map Odds: NaVi -205/FURIA +155

Betting Odds: 2.5 Over -115/Under -115

*This is a best of three quarter-final match for DreamHack Masters Spring 2021.

*FURIA For Event: KSCERATO 1.24 Rating, yuurih 1.15, VINI 1.12, arT 1.02, junior 0.97.

*FURIA For the Last Month of Play (26 Maps): yuurih 1.14 Rating, KSCERATO 1.10, arT 1.05, VINI 0.92, junior 0.89.

*NaVi For Event: s1mple 1.36 Rating, Perfecto 1.07, B1T 0.98, Boombl4 0.94, electronic 0.93.

*NaVi for Last Month of Play (6 Maps): See above.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have played twice in 2021 with both teams splitting a sweep with FURIA winning the most recent at ESL Pro League Season 13.

*Top Performers for FURIA (4 Maps): junior +4 K-D Diff, 1.05 K-D, 0.94 Rating. yuurih +1 K-D Diff, 1.01 K-D, 1.04 Rating.

*Top Performers for NaVi (4 Maps): s1mple +43 K-D Diff, 1.72 K-D, 1.49 Rating. Perfecto +5 K-D Diff, 1.08 K-D, 1.05 Rating.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for NaVi and Dust2 for FURIA. I think we see Inferno for FURIA and Nuke for NaVi.

*FURIA on Inferno (7 Maps): KSCERATO 1.19 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.15 IMP, 82.1 ADR. arT 1.19, yuurih 1.17, VINI 1.10, junior 0.95. On Nuke (9 Maps): KSCERATO 1.21 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.14 IMP, 83.0 ADR. yuurih 1.15, arT 1.00, VINI 0.99, junior 0.90.

*NaVi on Nuke (6 Maps): s1mple 1.42 Rating, 0.94 KPR, 1.44 IMP, 92.3 ADR. Perfecto 1.04, electronic 1.04, Boombl4 0.98. On Inferno (3 Maps): Boombl4 1.27 Rating, 0.70 KPR, 1.53 IMP, 84.6 ADR. Perfecto 1.24, electronic 1.23, B1T 1.19, s1mple 1.12.

Analysis: I think the books are correct here in favoring NaVi by a decent margin. Obviously, is s1mple gets going, the rest of his squad has some pretty good numbers on the projected maps here. I am rolling with NaVi in this one.

 

*TOP STACKS: NaVi, Astralis

*TOP CPT PLAYS: s1mple, Magisk, Bubzkji, huNter, KSCERATO, NiKo, electronic

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: dupreeh, Boombl4, Perfecto, yuurih, arT, Xyp9x, B1T