CS:GO DFS Playbook: DreamHack Masters Spring 2021 4.29.2021 (8-Match)
Betting Odds:
Gambit (-830) vs Fiend (+480)
Spirit (-135) vs G2 (+105)
Virtus.Pro (-125) vs FaZe (-105)
NaVi (-190) vs Mousesports (+145)
Complexity (-150) vs Vitality (+115)
Astralis (-160 LOL) vs Extra Salt (+125)
Heroic (-665) vs paiN (+410)
FURIA (-115) vs BIG (-110)
Just want to start off by saying these matches are all BEST OF ONE. So, with that said, everything from a 3x3 lineup construction to a 1x1x1x1x1x1 is in play for this slate and should be creative with combinations. Also, I am doing a little bit of a different playbook here, as I don’t have 6 hours to write out a full 8-match breakdown and to be flat out honest, most of it wouldn’t matter as this is going to be a coin-flip-type slate with LOTS of variance. I am simply going to give my favorite 4 players from each price tier – Top ($8K and Up), Mid 6$K to $8K), and Value ($6K and Below). Let’s talk.
TOP TIER:
1.) sh1ro (GAM) $11,000 –
Sh1ro is easily a top play on this slate for a stacked Gambit team that ranks 1st in the world. Sh1ro has amassed at least 74 or more DraftKings fantasy points in seven of his last eight contests played (mostly best of threes of course) and has a very uncanny ability to stay alive way more often than he dies as his Death Per Round for the last three month sits at a luscious 0.52, which is WELL above average for DPR. Not only that, sh1ro has averaged nearly eight First-Kills over his last five matches, along with two 1v2 clutches, and three 4K Kill Rounds for that span, as well! He likely ends up popular here, but he has the upside to break best of one slate on any given map. Not to mention this is match up is likely the best on the slate by quite a margin.
2.) s1mple (NAVI) $9,600 –
How is this guy so cheap? Well, mainly likely due to how well Mousesports has played as of late, but remember, this is just a best of one. You are shooting for MAX upside and we know what s1mple is capable of doing. S1mple has gone for over 125 fantasy points in two of his last six matches, and has topped 60 fantasy points all but one. He has averaged 8.2 First Kills over his last five matches, including three 4K Kill Rounds and two 1v2 clutches for that span. He is also an AWP player, which generally means a lower DPR than most, as their main job is to stay hidden and pick-off enemies and other than just a few (which are on this slate) he is about as good as it gets at his job. Not to mention, the last time these two played, s1mple went 78-51 K-D with 17 assists, 1.38 Rating, and 86.6 ADR.
3.) syrsoN (BIG) $8,600 –
You may notice a trend here, but I think AWP players are more prominently valuable on this slate in a best of one match up. Yes, there will be bad maps, that happens, but they will also give themselves lots of opportunities to win clutches and engage in multi-kill rounds. syrsoN is no different, and even though I do like Junior on the other side as his AWP-opponent, I think syrsoN can have some success here against FURIA. syrsoN has played well lately, putting up 60, 76.5, 73, 59, and 55.5 DraftKings fantasy points over his last five matches. He has also secured at least 9 or more First Kills in all five with three over 10, while also recording three 4K kill rounds in those five to boot. He has great form lately and BIG were on a roll before losing their last two matches after winning a Grand Final.
4.) k0nfig (coL) $8,000 –
May get some flack over not having ZywOo in this article, but look, I think he ends up chalky as always, and I think there are better plays, like one he is facing in k0nfig. K0nfig has put up back-to-back 80+ DraftKings fantasy point games over his last two matches, while going 123-86 K-D, with 10 First Kills, one 1v2 clutch, and FOUR 4K Kill Rounds! The last time he faced VIT, he went for 85 DraftKings fantasy points going 43-23 K-D, with four First Kills, a 1v2 clutch, and two 4K Kill Rounds.
MID-TIER:
1.) ropz (MOUZ) $7,800 –
Ropz is THE main player for Mouse and he has not fell below 65 DraftKings Fantasy points in his last five-straight contests played, including a hefty 101.5 fantasy point outing against NiP. Three of those were good for 70+ also. He has secured at least 7 or more First Kills in his last five matches, including one 1v2 clutch, one 1v3 clutch, and FIVE 4K Kill Rounds for that span. He gets a tough match up here against NaVi, but he did go 58-55 with 14 assists, a 1.15 Rating and a 79.7 ADR in their last meeting.
2.) oSee (XS) $7,800 –
If you want the pivot off of ropz – See oSee. oSee gets to face off against a broken Astralis team that will now have to fill a MAJOR void (especially for AWP) with device leaving for NiP a last week. oSee has hit a stride in the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Event where his squad ran runner-up to BIG. oSee has secured at least 60 or more fantasy points in his last three-straight, with his last two going for 85+. oSee is easily the best player on this Extra Salt team, and he has carried a hefty 1.31 Rating, with a 0.85 KPR, 0.60 DPR, and 1.30 IMP over his last three months of play.
3.) Jame (VP) $7,600 –
This top-price point of this mid-tier is stacked with great plays and Jame is another that plays extremely well with the AWP. Jame has put up 90.5, 54, 90, 57 and 68 fantasy points over his last five contests played, while securing at least 8+ First Kills, with three 1v2 Clutches, and three 4K Kill Rounds. Over the last three months of play, Jame has carried a 1.22 Rating, 0.73 KPR, a ridiculous 0.53 DPR, and a modest 1.15 IMP. Over the last Month of play (15 Maps), he has carried a 1.19 Rating, 0.72 KPR, 0.56 DPR, and a 1.21 IMP. He simply can get the job done and this match up is fair.
4.) FaNg (XS) $6,200 –
Since I already touted oSee, I think we could potentially run some 2-man stacks with FaNg here from Extra Salt, also. FaNg was named the MVP of the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final after Extra Salt’s run to the Grand Final. FaNg has the 4th highest rating for the tournament at 1.19 and had the third-highest K-AST% at 74.6%. He inflicted the 7th most damage with a well above average 81.5 ADR and managed a 0.76 KPR. FaNg’s fantasy lines for the tournament (excluding the Grand Final) were 75.5, 80, and 59 fantasy points. He racked up two 1v2 clutches, three 4K Kill Rounds, and TWO 5K Kill rounds in those three matches. He has a nice price here to match with oSee.
VALUE-TIER:
1.) rain (FAZE) $5,800 –
Rain comes into this one in really good form lately. He has compiled back-to-back 66 and 67 fantasy point efforts, while racking up 8 First Kills in both, and a 5K Kill Round. This FaZe team has played pretty well lately, and just fell short to G2 yesterday in the IEM Summer 2021 Close Qualifier Event. If FaZe win this best of one, I think rain could possibly have a decent part in it, so for his price, he can add some value to your lineups if so.
2.) MarKE $5,400 –
Maybe you don’t want to stack FaNg with oSee, well you can look at an even cheaper Extra Salt option here in MarKE. MarKE has also played really well in the run Extra Slat had in the FunSpark Event, putting up 42, 55.5, and 69.5 fantasy points in his last three matches. This included a shade over 5 First Kills per match, two 1v2 clutches, and a 4K Kill Round. He has shown some really nice promise with this new squad and I think this is a steal at his price against an uncertain Astralis team.
3.) Bubzkji (AST) $5,800 –
I know I have fan-boyed enough over Extra Salt, but this price on Bubz is pretty silly. I know he hasn’t played much lately, but that doesn’t mean the guy can’t play anymore. He was arguably the face of the MAD Lions org before he split to become part of Astralis. Now, it is his time to become the face of the new Astralis. Not much data to go off of, as it is rather skewed and inconsistent as he hasn’t played full matches, but I know one thing, I bet he exceeds this price point for whatever that is worth.
4.) Dexter (MOUZ) $4,400 –
Dexter gets absolutely no credit at all with this pricing. Dexter has gone for 59, 65, and 68 fantasy points in his last three of four matches. He has helped Mousesports win 9 of their last 11 matches. Over the last month (26 Maps): Dexter has notched out a 1.01 Rating, 0.65 KPR, 0.68 DPR, and a 0.95 IMP. He has collected 24 First Kills over his last three matches, along with two 4K Kill Rounds. He is a really easy match with ropz, or even a one-off as his price allows you to fit lots of studs!