CS:GO DFS Playbook: ESL Pro League Season 13 – 4.9.2021 (2-Match)

Complexity (Ranked 9th in World) @ NiP (Ranked 13th in World)

Betting Odds: Complexity -220/NiP +165

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -115/Under -115

*This is a best of three quarter-final match for the ESL Pro League Season 13 Event.

*Complexity For Event (15 Maps): blameF 1.21 Rating, poizon 1.16, k0nfig 1.04, jks 1.01, RUSH 0.95.

*Complexity For the Last Three Months of Play (43 Maps): blameF 1.20 Rating, poizon 1.14, k0nfig 1.07, jks 0.98, RUSH 0.95.

*NiP For Event (14 Maps): nawwk 1.17 Rating, hampus 1.11, REZ 1.09, Plopski 1.04, ztr 0.84.

*NiP For the Last Three Months of Play (43 Maps): REZ 1.07 Rating, Plopski 1.05, hampus 1.04, nawwk 1.00, zte 0.83.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have played one match in 2021 and it was a play-in best of one match for the IEM Katowice Event. NiP won that map 16-7 on Nuke.

*Top Performers For NiP (1 Map): hampus +14 K-D Diff, 1.81 Rating, 110.9 ADR. nawwk +9 K-D Diff, 1.53 Rating, 84.1 ADR. Plopski +5 K-D Diff, 1.33 Rating, 81.4 ADR.

*Top Performers For Complexity (1 Map): blameF +2 K-D Diff, 1.14 Rating, 86.1 ADR.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Dust2 for NiP and Vertigo for Complexity. We should likely see Mirage from Complexity and Overpass for NiP.

*Complexity on Mirage (16 Maps): blameF 1.23 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.25 IMP, 80.4 ADR. k0nfig 1.13, poizon 1.13, jks 1.05, RUSH 0.92. On Overpass (3 Maps): blameF 1.37 Rating, 0.86 KPR, 1.46 IMP, 99.7 ADR. poizon 1.26, k0nfig 1.03, RUSH 0.86, jks 0.83.

*NiP On Overpass (10 Maps): Plopski 1.14 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.13 IMP, 85.2 ADR. REZ 1.02, hampus 0.97, nawwk 0.90, ztr 0.86. On Mirage (8 Maps): hampus 1.12 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.28 IMP, 84.2 ADR. REZ 1.06, Plopski 0.98, nawwk 0.94, ztr 0.84.

Analysis: Little bit of a revenge narrative here for Complexity getting knocked out of IEM Katowice by this NiP team in the play-in match. I think Complexity is the better overall team here and the maps, and individual numbers are all quite better. IF NiP plays like they did against Heroic, they will get 2-0 easily in this match.

 

FURIA (Ranked 10th in World) @ Astralis (Ranked 2nd in World)

Betting Odds: Astralis -180/FURIA +135

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -105/Under -125

*This is a best of three quarter-final match in the ESL Pro League Season 13 Event.

*FURIA For Event (16 Maps): KSCERATO 1.15 Rating, arT 1.11, VINI 1.11, yuurih 1.08, junior 0.95.

*FURIA For the Last Three Months of Play (41 Maps): KSCERATO 1.13 Rating, yuurih 1.10, arT 1.07, VINI 1.02, junior 0.98.

*Astralis For Event (17 Maps): device 1.24 Rating, dupreeh 1.12, Magisk 1.07, gla1ve 0.97, Xyp9x 0.93.

*Astralis For the Last Three Months of Play (41 Maps): device 1.18 Rating, dupreeh 1.13, Magisk 1.02, gla1ve 1.01, Xyp9x 0.98.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any head-to-head matches in the last calendar year.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps we should see for this match should include Dust2 for FURIA and Mirage for Astralis. I believe we see Nuke for Astralis and Train for FURIA.

*Astralis On Nuke (3 Maps): gla1ve 1.27 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.41 IMP, 90.8 ADR. Xyp9x 1.16, device 1.11, dupreeh 1.00, Magisk 1.00. On Train (5 Maps): device 1.33 Rating, 0.92 KPR, 1.46 IMP, 83.3 ADR. dupreeh 1.13, Xyp9x 0.99, Magisk 0.99, gla1ve 0.98.

*FURIA On Train (4 Maps): yuurih 1.36 Rating, 0.86 KPR, 1.52 IMP, 86.6 ADR. arT 1.31, VINI 1.21, junior 1.21, KSCERATO 1.09. On Nuke (10 Maps): yuurih 1.02 Rating, 0.70 KPR, 0.97 IMP, 77.2 ADR. junior 0.96, KSCERATO 0.96, arT 0.90, VINI 0.85.

Analysis: I believe we see a very close match here. This is a bounce-back spot for Astralis after being swept by Gambit on Thursday. FURIA comes in on a two-match win streak and they have been playing pretty well through the whole ESL Pro League Event. I like FURIA as my doggy today.

 

*TOP STACKS: Complexity, FURIA

*TOP CONTRARIAN STACKS: FURIA

*TOP CPT PLAYS: yuurih, blameF, poizon, KSCERATO, device

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: k0nfig, gla1ve, arT, Plopski, VINI, nawwk, junior, Xyp9x