The UFC returns home to Vegas for this week’s card. That means we are of course losing fights to COVID, weight cuts, and general anarchy. We soldier on. The most notable item is Kevin Holland getting a late replacement and significantly mispriced. He will be the chalkiest play in recent memory. His opponent has frosted tips for crying out loud. Whether or not to fade him is the biggest decision you face this week.

Cash Plays: 
(Sample lineup, these aren’t intended as examples of an optimal)


GPP Plays: 
(Sample lineup, these aren’t intended as examples of an optimal)

Favorite Bets: Green -295, Natividad +135, Ledet +320

Favorite Props: Fili ITD +400  

Long Shot: Williams ITD +315

Live Dogs: Fili,...