THE SLATE

(w/ Implied Team & Game Totals via KenPom)

  • 7 pm ET -- Oklahoma State (69) at Baylor (81) -- 150 total

  • 7 pm ET -- Michigan State (62) at Michigan (77) -- 139 total

  • 7 pm ET -- TCU (67) at West Virginia (81) -- 148 total **DK ONLY**

  • 9 pm ET -- Nebraska (68) at Iowa (85) -- 153 total **DK ONLY**

  • 9 pm ET -- UCF (68) at East Carolina (67) -- 135 total **DK ONLY**

  • 9 pm ET -- Texas (71) at Oklahoma (72) -- 143 total

  • 9 pm ET -- Arizona State (69) at Colorado (81) -- 150 total

 

Top Guards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Austin ReavesOUUT890033.79800031.40
Oklahoma’s offense usually begins and ends with Austin Reaves running the point, and we can expect another big game from him tonight in a marquee matchup vs. Texas. Reaves is on a tear offensively right now - averaging 21.8 points, 4.7 assists, 6.7 rebounds and 38.8 DK points over the last seven games. The senior has been very active with heavy shot volume and usage as the Sooners’ clear go-to scorer and playmaker. Reaves went off for 23 points and 37 DK in the first meeting vs. Texas and we can bank on similar production in this rematch. Plus, why not roll with the Senior Night narrative for the vet?
McKinley Wright IVUCASU850030.83760029.35
Wright has been Colorado’s top playmaker all season but he’s starting to ramp it up lately with the postseason right around the corner. The senior point guard has gone for 49 and 45 DK over the last two games with his usual stat-stuffing performances. Though he went through a brief lull in the past month - in terms of his high-upside DFS ceiling - it’s certainly encouraging to see him dominate over the last week. He should have no problem being a stud tonight in an uptempo matchup vs. Arizona State where offensive production will be plentiful. He’s the GPP play at guard if you fade Reaves or Butler.
Jared ButlerBUOKST790033.68750030.76
Baylor’s best player should be a top DFS target in all formats tonight as he’s oddly priced below 8k on both sites - some of his cheapest salaries in a while. Last time out on Tuesday, Butler went for 25 points scored and 41 DK with his usual stat-stuffing production. If we take out his uncharacteristic dud vs. Kansas last week, Butler is locked in for 30+ DK with plenty of ancillary stats and heavy offensive volume. He was exactly that vs. Oklahoma State in the first meeting when he scored 22 points with 36 DK. Expect him to be right in that range once again with Baylor wanting to win every game the rest of the way following that first loss to KU.
Franz WagnerMICHMSU780029.94740028.27
If you rostered Wagner on Tuesday’s slate, you probably didn’t cash because of his unusually bad game as Michigan fell flat vs. Illinois. Short memory should be in order, though, and we can expect a bounceback effort tonight from both Wagner and this Wolverines offense. They will get a slight pace-boost vs. rival Michigan State and Wagner will return to his point-forward wing role offensively. He had scored 20+ points and 32+ DK in three of the previous four games before Tuesday’s dud - and he could easily do that again here. Plus, Wagner may take on even more scoring responsibility with Isaiah Livers dealing with an ankle injury.
Matt Coleman IIIUTOU640026.33670024.30
Texas continues to feature three dynamic guards that make up arguably the best backcourt in the country. Andrew Jones, Courtney Ramey and Matt Coleman are all viable options on this slate and they’re all priced similarly. Coleman, though, seems like the best among them because of his consistent DFS floor. The senior usually runs the point and is the Longhorns’ best assist-man right now - averaging 5.8 dimes per game over the last four while also scoring in double figures in eight of the last ten. When you combine that with his rebounding and steals upside, 30+ DK is not out of the question - just as he’s done vs. Kansas and West Virginia in recent outings.
        
Value Guards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Eli BrooksMICHMSU530020.17490018.81
While Michigan’s offense is headlined by Wagner, Dickinson and Livers - we continue to get solid DFS value from the Wolverines’ role players. Brooks is one of those who’s locked into 30+ minutes and can provide a solid fantasy floor with his variety of ancillary stats. He’s averaging 19 DK over the last ten games and has put up 19 or more DK in six of the last eight outings. Brooks’ defense and secondary scoring role will be needed tonight if Michigan wants to avoid a second straight upset - and he may even see an increase in usage with Isaiah Livers battling an ankle injury.
Rondel WalkerOKSTBU480017.5500016.02
A key injury to monitor tonight is that of Isaac Likekele, who’s missed four of the last five games with a hand issue. He was a game-time call on Monday and ended up sitting - and there’s a decent chance he’s out again tonight. If that’s the case, expect Walker to continue being a strong value as he’s moved into the starting lineup with Likekele out. Walker has put up 27, 31, 27 and 19 DK points in the four games sans Likekele as he’s seen an uptick in playing time and overall ancillary stats. Even in a tougher matchup vs. Baylor, the 5k salary range is too cheap to ignore Walker if he starts again.
Tremont Robinson-WhiteECUUCF450018.42  
On the DK slate, we have the East Carolina rotation to consider and there’s some clear value here. The Pirates are coming off a month-long COVID break and will be without three key players tonight. Most notably, Bitumba Baruti’s absence will open up some usage and playing time - and Robinson-White is one of those role players who will benefit. The junior had a down effort last time out, but he’s been performing way better than his salary indicates here. In a recent five-game stretch, Robinson-White averaged 19 PPG and 29 DK points before the COVID pause. One of those performances came against UCF in the first meeting when he had 18 points and 27 DK. If he’s doing that at sub 5k, the GPP-winning upside is there.
Kobe WebsterNEBIOWA430012.31  
Nebraska’s best player, Teddy Allen, recently left the team and his absence has now opened the door for Kobe Webster to have a much larger role. The senior Webster has started the past two games and put up 21 and 16 DK in those outings, respectively. The new starting role subsequently gives him an increase in playing time and thus more opportunity for overall DFS production. He’s taking advantage and could easily 5x his DK salary tonight in an uptempo matchup vs. Iowa.
Matthew MayerBUOKST350017.22430015.94
It’s hard to not be over-reactive in CBB DFS - but it’s also impossible to ignore what Mayer did on Tuesday. In a back-and-forth, highly competitive contest vs. West Virginia, the junior Mayer went off with a season-high 18 points and 33 DK as he played a key role in Baylor surviving on the road. Usually Mayer’s DFS ceiling is in the 20-25 point range - but he may be more involved moving forward after that performance. He’s a versatile scorer who brings length and athleticism on the defensive end - all qualities that will be needed if Baylor wants to continue on the winning train. Mayer could be a better fit in tonight’s matchup over other Bears forwards. Overall, the DFS sites have not adjusted the pricing on Mayer after Tuesday’s slate-breaking performance - and he’s well worth a GPP shot tonight.

Other Guards to Consider

  • Cade Cunningham - Oklahoma State ($9,300 DK / $8,500 FD)

  • Davion Mitchell - Baylor ($7,600 DK / $7,200 FD)

  • Courtney Ramey - Texas ($6,200 DK / $6,600 FD)

  • Mark Vital - Baylor ($5,800 DK / $5,900 FD)

  • Sean McNeil - West Virginia ($5,400 DK Only)

  • Tristen Newton - East Carolina ($5,000 DK Only)

  • Thorir Thorbjarnarson - Nebraska ($4,900 DK Only)

  • Mike Smith - Michigan ($4,500 DK / $4,700 FD)

 

Top Forwards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Luka GarzaIOWANEB980042.09  
If you’re playing on DK, we’re faced with the usual decision of whether to play Luka Garza or not. Fading him at his expensive salary has both been a mistake and the right call in the past - but missing out on 40-50 DK points is always a risk. The National Player of the Year candidate could easily dominate in this soft matchup. Nebraska is terrible at rebounding and lacks legit size to compete with true Big Ten centers like Garza - and opposing bigs usually smash. Garza himself has put up 40+ DK in four of the last six games and he’s done that in much tougher individual matchups. Expect him to feast once again and be perfectly fine in cash games.
Aaron HenryMSUMICH900032.19810030.05
With Michigan State battling for a potential NCAA Tournament bid, the offense is revolving around Aaron Henry’s playmaking and it’s made him a lot more valuable in DFS. Over the last ten games, the junior wing is averaging 19 PPG and 35 DK points as he’s getting heavy shot volume and usage for the Sparty attack. He’s now scored 20+ points and 40+ DK in three of the last five outings and will provide a safe cash floor with his ancillary stats and high-volume role. The Michigan defense is admittedly a tough matchup - but it may not matter if Henry has the ball in his hands on nearly every possession.
Derek CulverWVTCU730031.52  
On the DK slate, we get West Virginia’s high-powered offense in a favorable matchup vs. TCU. This puts Derek Culver firmly in play as he should dominate the soft TCU interior defense that routinely gets scorched by opposing bigs. Against TCU a couple games ago, Culver went off for 18 points, 14 rebounds and 43 DK as he took full advantage of this bad inside defense. Although he’s struggled in the last two outings since that slate-breaker, we should expect a bounceback for Culver as WVU would be smart to feed him in the post. He’ll likely go overlooked with Luka Garza and other stud guards in action - but fading Culver in GPP’s might be a mistake.
Hunter DickinsonMICHMSU700028.49750026.88
Despite Michigan’s dud performance on Tuesday, we should be going right back to this offense tonight against a shaky Sparty defense. In particular, expect Dickinson to feast in this matchup as Michigan State usually allows big games to opposing Big Ten centers. When he’s dominating on the glass and as a post scorer, the freshman Dickinson has 30-40 DK upside and he could easily be the highest-scoring forward on this slate. Plus, he’ll likely take on a bigger offensive role with Isaiah Livers dealing with an ankle injury. Fade at your own risk!
Isaiah AdamsUCFECU630018.38  
On the DK slate, one of the biggest injuries to monitor is that of CJ Walker. The UCF forward sat out Tuesday’s game and was in a walking boot on the sidelines. We’ll have to monitor, but it looks likely he’s out again tonight. In his absence, Adams moved into the starting lineup and basically took over Walker’s high-usage role on offense. In that start, Adams went for 19 points and 27 DK - right after he went off for 26 points and 40 DK in the game prior. If Walker is out and Adams is in that role again, he could easily break the slate at an affordable price point.
 
Value Forwards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Marcus BagleyASUUC500024.43660021.99
This is an injury situation to monitor, but all signs are pointing towards Bagley returning tonight. The freshman big hasn’t played since Feb. 11 with an ankle injury - but he was a full practice participant on Tuesday and will reportedly suit up here. He was regularly putting up 20-30 DFS points when healthy as one of Arizona State’s only talented big men. The matchup vs. Colorado is a tough one, but Bagley could easily return value for GPP’s and would likely be low-owned. Since he’s been out, DK has lowered his salary to the value range while his FD tag is appropriate.
Gabe BrownMSUMICH540014.44480013.16
As Michigan State continues to make a push for an at-large Tournament bid, some of its key role players are getting a ton of playing time in a shortened rotation. Brown is one of those who’s carved out a legit role over the past few weeks. He recently started three straight games and then still played 29 minutes on Tuesday despite coming off the bench. In the last five outings, the junior is averaging 19.2 DK points with about 30 minutes each time. Brown should be safe for 20 or so DFS points once again as he provides a solid cash floor of rebounds and other ancillary stats.
Evan BatteyUCASU470018.72490017.57
Battey has been a great source of value all season and that’ll continue tonight. The Colorado big man will have a major advantage on the boards as Arizona State is the worst rebounding team in the Pac-12. Opposing bigs gobble up plenty of rebounds in nearly every ASU game and Battey will surely be the next in line. The junior is especially dominant on the offensive glass and he’s grabbed at least six boards in four straight and five of the last six. That rebounding ability usually gives him a safe DFS floor and the upside to post 20+ DK - just as he did on Saturday vs. UCLA. At sub 5k on both sites, he’s good for cash to 4x those price tags.
Jericho SimsUTOU440019.08480017.92
It seems we always get a value play from the Longhorns’ frontcourt - and tonight's no different. This time it’s Jericho Sims, who simply should not be priced below 5k at this point. It looks like the DFS sites are overreacting from Sims’ dud effort last time out vs. Iowa State where he only played 10 minutes while in foul trouble. Yet before that game, Sims put up at least 20 DK in seven of the previous nine outings as he provided a solid floor of rebounds, defensive stats and just enough post scoring. If he stays out of foul trouble tonight, the senior center should easily return value for cash.

Other Forwards to Consider

  • Jayden Gardner - East Carolina ($8,100 DK Only)

  • Joe Wieskamp - Iowa ($7,400 DK Only)

  • Jeriah Horne - Colorado ($6,500 DK / $5,400 FD)

  • Matthew-Alexander Moncrieffe - Oklahoma State ($6,000 DK / $5,300 FD)

  • Brady Manek - Oklahoma ($5,900 DK / $5,200 FD)

  • Greg Brown - Texas ($5,200 DK / $5,100 FD)

  • Keegan Murray - Iowa ($4,600 DK Only)

Example Lineups

The Example Lineups are meant to show roster construction based on players mentioned in the Playbook. They are not meant for plug and play.

 

DK Cash FD Cash
Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
GJared ButlerBUOKST33.68$7,900 GJared ButlerBAYOKST30.76$7,500
Pivot     $7,900Pivot     
GRondel WalkerOKSTBU17.5$4,800 GAustin ReavesOUTEX31.4$8,000
Pivot     $4,800PivotMcKinley Wright IVCOLOASU29.35$7,600
GKobe WebsterNEBIOWA12.31$4,300 GRondel WalkerOKSTBAY16.02$5,000
Pivot     $4,300Pivot     
FLuka GarzaIOWANEB42.09$9,800 GEli BrooksMICHMSU18.81$4,900
PivotJoe WieskampIOWANEB29.44$7,400$7,400Pivot     
FHunter DickinsonMICHMSU28.5$7,000 FHunter DickinsonMICHMSU26.87$7,500
Pivot     $7,000Pivot     
FJericho SimsUTOU19.1$4,400 FGabe BrownMSUMICH13.15$4,800
Pivot     $4,400PivotMatthew-Alexander MoncrieffeOKSTBAY17.96$5,300
UtilEli BrooksMICHMSU20.17$5,300 FJericho SimsTEXOU17.92$4,800
Pivot     $5,300Pivot     
UtilMatt Coleman IIIUTOU26.33$6,400 UtilFranz WagnerMICHMSU28.27$7,400
PivotAustin ReavesOUUT33.79$8,900$8,900PivotDavion MitchellBAYOKST27.17$7,200
    Total$49,900     Total$49,900
   Pivot Total$50,000    Pivot Total$49,800
             
DK GPP FD GPP
Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
GMcKinley Wright IVUCASU30.83$8,500 GMatt Coleman IIITEXOU24.29$6,700
Pivot     $8,500Pivot     
GMatthew MayerBUOKST17.22$3,500 GCade CunninghamOKSTBAY32.82$8,500
Pivot     $3,500PivotRemy MartinASUCOLO20.26$7,700
GFranz WagnerMICHMSU29.94$7,800 GMatthew MayerBAYOKST15.93$4,300
PivotAustin ReavesOUUT33.79$8,900$8,900Pivot     
FIsaiah AdamsUCFECU18.38$6,300 GMike SmithMICHMSU17.65$4,700
Pivot     $6,300PivotCourtney RameyTEXOU22.91$6,600
FGabe BrownMSUMICH14.44$5,400 FAaron HenryMSUMICH20.05$8,100
Pivot     $5,400Pivot     
FDerek CulverWVTCU31.52$7,300 FMarcus BagleyASUCOLO21.99$6,600
Pivot     $7,300PivotJeriah HorneCOLOASU20.14$5,400
UtilMarcus BagleyASUUC24.43$5,000 FGreg BrownTEXOU20.47$5,100
PivotGreg BrownUTOU22.94$5,200$5,200Pivot     
UtilCourtney RameyUTOU25.29$6,200 UtilMark VitalBAYOKST18.97$5,900
PivotThorir ThorbjarnarsonNEBIOWA11.05$4,900$4,900Pivot     
    Total$50,000     Total$49,900
   Pivot Total$50,000    Pivot Total$49,800