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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: The power has come along nicely for Reynolds, as he’s hit at least 24 home runs in each of the last three seasons, but 24 home runs with a .302 average is far more lucrative than 24 home runs with a .263 average. The batted ball profile from last year is encouraging, and one could argue that he should have had more than 24 home runs, as his expected numbers indicate that. However, let’s not overlook that his contact rates have dropped each of the last two seasons. His 12 stolen bases are interesting to dive into, because eight of his 12 stolen bases came before the end of May, and then he had just five stolen base attempts over the final 69 games of the season. 

2024 Outlook: In OBP leagues, Reynolds’ diminishing walk rate makes him less appealing, and if he hits .260 with 20-24 home runs again this season, but only steals eight bases with a .335 OBP, is he worth a selection as a top 20-25 outfielder? I'm not digging the price in drafts at this juncture.

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