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2022 Player Outlook

Back in 2019, we talked about Chapman's power being exceptional, but if the strikeouts got out of control, it would be tough to overcome. Well, we saw a bit of it in 2020, but it went to another level in 2021. He hit 27 home runs with 72 RBI, but he struck out in 32.5 percent of his at-bats, marking the second-straight year he posted a strikeout rate above 30 percent. His average exit velocity was two full miles per hour below his career mark and his hard hit rate dropped over eight percentage points from both 2019 and 2020. Last year, he hit a home run or struck out in 37.6 percent of his at-bats. That would be a lot better if the strikeout rate wasn't so high, and the optimist in me says that at least it dropped compared to 2020. He'll need to cut it back more, or else he becomes just another fantasy asset with good power but a drain on your batting average. The trade to Toronto drastically improves the supporting cast around him, which certainly will help the counting stats. A better offense around him won't fix his strikeout woes, but it will pad his RBI and runs scored totals, as the raw power is undoubted.

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