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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: After stealing a career high 18 bags in 2022, many thought Swanson could push for 20+ with the new rules in MLB. However, unlike most players, he regressed in this category, and his 10 stolen bases attempts last year were the fewest he's tried in a season since the shortened 2020 campaign! Furthermore, a .297 BABIP brough his batting average down to .244, further validating the "2022 was an outlier year for Swanson." 

2024 Outlook: While he may not be as good as he was in 2022, I expect him to be better this year than he was in 2023. He continues to make a lot of hard contact, and his xBA of .254 and xSLG of .455 indicate better things are to come for Swanson. Despite no major changes in his batted ball profile, he endured a .263 BABIP in the second half of the season, though some of his power metrics, I.E. SLG and ISO, were improved. Shortstop is pretty deep this season, but for Swanson to be going outside the top 12 players at the position makes him a great value. The return on investment should be quite lucrative if he hits .250+ with 25+ home runs and 10-12 stolen bases, not to mention 75+ R and 75+ RBI like he has in each of the last three seasons.

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