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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: It was a real breakout season for Arcia in 2023 across the board for the most part. He posted a career-high in HR, R, RBI, SLG, and fWAR. There weren’t the steals we’ve seen from him in the past but that could’ve been due to his spot in the lineup or the mild injury that kept him out for about 10 games or so. Either way it was an impressive season across the board that saw him cut his K-rate to under 20-percent for the first time since 2017 — his age-22 season. 

2024 Outlook: How much of the 2023 gains we’re sustainable though? That’s a big question. His exit velocity was below league-average, and his 5.3-degree launch angle isn’t great for sustained power numbers. In fact, his launch angle was the second-worst mark of his career as was his 53.7-percent GB%. None of that is great. When looking at his xBA (expected batting average) for last year it was .246, or well below his actual .264 mark. So while his defense will keep him on the field, we could see regression offensively that knocks him back to the bottom tier of starting shortstops for fantasy.

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